Posted on 02/05/2016 10:38:12 AM PST by GodGunsGuts
Texas senator Ted Cruz appears to have the support of a plurality of the most active local Republicans after winning the straw poll Thursday night at the final Sumter County GOP meeting before the South Carolina primary.
Cruz, whose campaign also sent surrogates to the meeting to speak on his behalf, received 33 percent of the vote among the partisan crowd, well ahead of Presidential hopefuls Donald Trump and Dr. Ben Carson, each of whom received 15 percent in the straw poll to finish tied for second. Florida senator Marco Rubio finished fourth in the poll, with 13 percent.
Slightly surprisingly, the top governor in the poll turned out to be Ohio executive John Kasich, who received nine percent of the support from those in attendance, while former Florida governor Jeb Bush, despite his campaign sending former Florida senator Mel Martinez to speak as a surrogate at the meeting, received only seven percent support. Kasich, Bush, and New Jersey governor Chris Christie – who received two percent support – have been cast together by the national punditry, theoretically in a hard battle with Rubio in the upcoming New Hampshire primary to become the “establishment†candidate.
Carly Fiorina, and Rand Paul, who this week withdrew from the race and was not on the ballot but was written in, rounded out the poll, each receiving two percent of the vote. Two percent of those polled declared they were undecided.
Yes. I do think that Newt deserved SO much of the credit (this one NEVER gets old) ....
Newt Gingrich hands Juan Williams his arse in the South Carolina debate ....
You have 3 more days to celebrate. Enjoy. :-)
The last 13 polls in Iowa were wrong.
The RCP was off by 8 points for the Trump vs. Cruz matchup.
Totally agree with you.
There is something about someone speaking to first principles that does resonate with people. As a conservative I tend to listen for the person who best describes first principles and has shown action to support those words.
My first election, after I became aware of this important point, I decided that the best candidate is one who understands how economics effects regular people and most importantly, is that person pro-life. If a person understands the life issue concerning the unborn they will be sensitive to other life issues.
At the time of the Gingrich win, he was the one explaining himself the best on those issues.
Those two issues are at the heart of what our Founders called "the will of the people."
And that is why the GOPe and the media work like dogs to muffle the message as it pertains to our most important principles.
Most of the time polls are highly accurate. Iowa is an outlier.
How can you say that most of the time polls are accurate, when most of the time one can't even verify a poll.
And the most verifiable polls in Iowa, the last 13 polls, were all off by an average of 8 points.
Gee, thanks!
Plus or minus 8 points makes the poll, uh, sort of useless.
Have you not been paying attention the last 8 years or so? The inaccuracy of the polls is talked about in every election. Just to name a few recent ones, they missed the KY governor's race by a lot; missed the British elections by a lot; the last midterms; etc... Polls in the aggregate can tell us about potential trends. But the idea that they are going to give us an accurate view of the final percentages is silly.
The only time the polls are not accurate for the most part is in a caucus like Iowa. They are almost always wrong every year. The regular primary polls generally get the winner right. If you are not polling well then you may feel the polls are inaccurate. :-)
They get a lot more wrong than just the caucuses. They were WAY off on the KY governor’s race for one example. But since Trump relies so much on the polls to make himself look like a “winner” I understand why it is so important to you to believe they are accurate.
Well get back to me Tuesday night about 10 PM. LOL!
I think Trump will win NH - they like NE liberals and RINOs, so he is a good fit. But I think he will win by less than 10 points, and that will be portrayed as a loss for him.
Who does he think he is? What right does he have to win that?
Winning by 10 pts will be a landslide. LOL!
Going from a 22 point lead to less than 10 point win in less than a week will be portrayed as a loss for Trump - count on it. It is the perception more than the reality.
Only to you my friend. Everyone else will consider it a landslide. the press will call it a major win. LOL!
Yes !! I love it.
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