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New Globe poll shows Rubio closing in on Trump in N.H. (Trump 29 Rubio 19 Cruz 7)
Boston Globe ^

Posted on 02/05/2016 9:32:01 AM PST by springwater13

Edited on 02/05/2016 9:47:59 AM PST by Admin Moderator. [history]

With four days until New Hampshire's first-in-the-nation presidential primary, the Republican contest is tightening at the top and churning in the middle as one third of likely Republican voters say they could still change their mind, according to a new Suffolk University/Boston Globe poll released Friday.


(Excerpt) Read more at bostonglobe.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
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It's in both Cruz and Trump interests now to have a ceasefire and focus their attacks on Rubio. Rubio winning New Hampshire would take Trump out and also give him nearly unstoppable momentum into South Carolina where he could take Cruz out.
1 posted on 02/05/2016 9:32:01 AM PST by springwater13
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To: springwater13

Agree, but a) we can’t believe any polls right now, and b) in other times, a real 10-point lead would not be in any danger of erosion, and c) what was Suffolk’s LAST poll?


2 posted on 02/05/2016 9:34:50 AM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: springwater13

Agree. I think Trump could take the lead on this since it seems Cruz has written off NH.


3 posted on 02/05/2016 9:35:25 AM PST by austinaero
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To: LS

Rubio is dangerous if the meme is that he is the only viable establishment candidate. Kasich, Christie, and Bush supporters could bolt towards Rubio in an effort to stop Trump. Trump has a big lead because the establishment lane is split four ways, but it could be a nail bitter Tuesday if Rubio has late momentum.


4 posted on 02/05/2016 9:37:51 AM PST by springwater13
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To: springwater13

Trump’s attacks on Cruz have driven voters to Rubio. It was a gamble which Trump probably was forced to take although I think he could have played his hand better.

Neither Cruz nor Rubio’s voters are likely to migrate to Trump during the primaries, IMO. Ditto for Carson’s voters.


5 posted on 02/05/2016 9:39:56 AM PST by randita
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To: springwater13

I agree-—this is the mantra from the GOPe on Twitter, that “if only” the GOPe players all just would get behind one guy, they can “stop Trump.” No. They can stop Trump if they can all get behind one guy AND Cruz joins them.


6 posted on 02/05/2016 9:40:00 AM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: springwater13

Closing in is 10 points now? Wow. These polls mean squat until after the debate on Saturday night.


7 posted on 02/05/2016 9:40:41 AM PST by napscoordinator
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To: springwater13

It’s in both Cruz and Trump interests now to have a ceasefire and focus their attacks on Rubio. Rubio winning New Hampshire would take Trump out and also give him nearly unstoppable momentum into South Carolina where he could take Cruz out.
*********************************************************************************
Yes, time for a “ceasefire” but it would have been far better (for both camps) had not war broken out at all.


8 posted on 02/05/2016 9:41:10 AM PST by House Atreides (CRUZ or lose!)
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To: springwater13

US Senator Ted Cruz had 7 percent

No comment.


9 posted on 02/05/2016 9:41:17 AM PST by napscoordinator
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To: springwater13

Let’s hope Yeb! spends the rest of his money taking out Mario Rubco.
Mario Rubco would be a disaster for this country.
He’d likely be a Designated Loser or if he wins, he’ll give away the country by abandoning the rule of law.


10 posted on 02/05/2016 9:41:24 AM PST by Lurkinanloomin (R, Know Peace)
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To: napscoordinator
Bush had 10 percent , US Senator Ted Cruz had 7 percent

No comment

11 posted on 02/05/2016 9:42:54 AM PST by 1Old Pro
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To: springwater13

“What a difference a caucus makes,”

Why don’t they have all the primaries on the same day in every state. Then no one state could influence others.


12 posted on 02/05/2016 9:45:48 AM PST by Rennes Templar (I'm pro gun control: keep your guns under your control at all times.)
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To: napscoordinator

The “Iowa Effect”.


13 posted on 02/05/2016 9:46:06 AM PST by ripnbang ("An armed man is a citizen, an unarmed man a subject)
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To: springwater13

RCP average has Cruz in 3rd, but polling a lot higher. It’s just another poll. So I’ll just wait until the actual results come in.


14 posted on 02/05/2016 9:47:06 AM PST by Durbin
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To: ripnbang

It’s really had no effect on Trump support. It’s solid as a rock. The effect is Rubio momentum as the establishment rallies around him.


15 posted on 02/05/2016 9:47:18 AM PST by springwater13
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To: napscoordinator

I’m leaning Rubio, but it’s going to be a hoot and a half when the entire field swarms him like a school of pirahnas Saturday night. Break out the popcorn and see if he can weather the storm.


16 posted on 02/05/2016 9:49:26 AM PST by Bruce Campbells Chin
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To: randita

“Neither Cruz nor Rubio’s voters are likely to migrate to Trump during the primaries, IMO. Ditto for Carson’s voters.”

The real problem Trump has here is, if he wins the primaries, His style of personal attacks means most of these voters are not likely to migrate to him after it’s over.


17 posted on 02/05/2016 9:49:55 AM PST by Durbin
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To: springwater13

Cruz, Trump, Rubio and all other republicans need to stop the attacks on each other and get back to telling the truth about the disasters of Obama and the death of America if Clinton or Sanders would cause if elected.
Any many intelligent Freepers have worried that Cruz and Trump are going to knock each other out of the race and we will get Rubio or Jeb.


18 posted on 02/05/2016 9:50:01 AM PST by FreedomGuru (Vote out every republican that voted for the latest spending bill...)
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To: LS

Suffolk’s last was 25-27 January, showing Trump +15.


19 posted on 02/05/2016 9:51:44 AM PST by ScottinVA (If you're not enraged...why?)
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To: napscoordinator
US Senator Ted Cruz had 7 percent No comment.

And all polls showed the Mouth on Manhattan winning Iowa, some by as much as 9 pts. How'd that turn out? :)

20 posted on 02/05/2016 9:52:14 AM PST by VRWCarea51 (The original 1998 version)
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