[LS]

Agree, but a) we can’t believe any polls right now, and b) in other times, a real 10-point lead would not be in any danger of erosion, and c) what was Suffolk’s LAST poll?

[springwater13]

Rubio is dangerous if the meme is that he is the only viable establishment candidate. Kasich, Christie, and Bush supporters could bolt towards Rubio in an effort to stop Trump. Trump has a big lead because the establishment lane is split four ways, but it could be a nail bitter Tuesday if Rubio has late momentum.

[ScottinVA]

Suffolk’s last was 25-27 January, showing Trump +15.

[Quicksilver]

Poll                     Date        Sample  MoE  Trump Rubio Cruz Kasich Bush Christie Fiorina Carson Spread
RCP Average              2/1  - 2/4  --      --   31.1  15.1  11.7 11.1   9.7  5.1      4.0     3.3    Trump +16.0

Boston Globe/Suffolk     2/3  - 2/4  500 LV  4.4  29    19    7    13     10   5        4       4      Trump +10
Suffolk University       1/25 - 1/27 500 LV  4.4  27    10    12   12     11   6        4       5      Trump +15

[BigEdLB]

Last Suffolk vs this Suffolk 1/25-27 was last poll.
Trump 29 (+2), Rubio 19 (+9), Kasich 13 (+1), Bush 10 (-1) Cruz 7 (-5)