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1 posted on 02/01/2016 6:21:43 AM PST by xzins
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Looks like Rubio will be the establishment’s last hope.

I expect they’ll ask Bush to drop out shortly.


2 posted on 02/01/2016 6:22:57 AM PST by xzins (Have YOU Donated to the Freep-a-Thon? https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: xzins

This is the exact margin I have been predicting here in FR for weeks:

Trump over Cruz by 7 points in Iowa.


3 posted on 02/01/2016 6:23:08 AM PST by samtheman (Elect Trump, Build Wall. End Censorship.)
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To: xzins

MailerGate didn’t help.

Cruz should have stayed drafting on Trump longer. He got out of his wake too early.


4 posted on 02/01/2016 6:23:13 AM PST by TigerClaws
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To: xzins
Same poll, different media story on top of it: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3391299/posts
5 posted on 02/01/2016 6:23:26 AM PST by Cboldt
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To: xzins

Wow...all that most probably from the “shaming” letter. Let this Cruz campaign lack of judgement be a wake up call for all campaigns in the future....there are limits.


6 posted on 02/01/2016 6:24:42 AM PST by grania
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To: xzins
Don't be surprised if Rubio comes in 1st or 2nd. He has been working the Evangelical vote in Iowa hard and the Evangelicals show up on caucus night.
8 posted on 02/01/2016 6:26:19 AM PST by MNJohnnie ( Tyranny, like Hell, is not easily conquered)
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To: xzins

Unknowns:
Weather.
Turnout.
Everybody’s second choice when their guy is too weak.

In other words, Peak Trump is somewhere around 40%. The other 60% have to think hard about who to support in light of that.

If in spite of that Trump wins, I think it’s over. Iowa plays to Cruz’s strengths. He can still do well in SEC and Trump could flame out, but both happening are unlikely.

Go Cruz! Tonight’s the night.


11 posted on 02/01/2016 6:27:29 AM PST by Uncle Miltie (Populism is what Populism does.)
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To: FReepers


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20 posted on 02/01/2016 6:35:04 AM PST by deoetdoctrinae (Donate monthly and end FReepathons.)
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To: xzins

According to the article, in order to get this respectable lead for Trump, Quinnipiac assumes a historical drop in both evangelical and very conservative voter turnout. These are 2 blocks which unsurprisingly are for Cruz.

What do they base this on? Why, for the first time in decades, would a huge number of evangelicals and very conservative voters decide to sit out the caucus?


23 posted on 02/01/2016 6:38:30 AM PST by Mangia E Statti Zitto
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To: xzins; All
Later tonight ...

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27 posted on 02/01/2016 6:41:13 AM PST by mkjessup (JimRob: "It's Trump or Cruz, all the others are amnesty pimps" (EXACT QUOTE))
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To: xzins

Ted is Cruzing into irrelevance.


29 posted on 02/01/2016 6:43:29 AM PST by Gandalf the Mauve
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To: xzins

Another poll showing Trump leading. Well if there turnot models are correct it will be a bad day for me and a good day for you.


31 posted on 02/01/2016 6:47:46 AM PST by jwalsh07 (.w)
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To: xzins

Coulda sworn I just heard the chick on Fox News say “Front runner Ted Cruz...” (while interviewing a rather subdued Karl Rove)


32 posted on 02/01/2016 6:48:58 AM PST by georgiegirl
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To: xzins

I think Rubio will finish second ahead of Cruz and the GOPe will have an on-air celebration because they’ll think they’re back in the game again. Ted had an awful last week of the campaign, and though I do support him, I realize tonight is must win for him and it doesn’t look good. New Hampshire doesn’t bode well for him either.


33 posted on 02/01/2016 6:50:32 AM PST by dowcaet
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To: xzins

Hourly Des Moines Weather Report:

http://www.kcci.com/weather/forecast


36 posted on 02/01/2016 6:56:26 AM PST by Uncle Miltie (Populism is what Populism does.)
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To: xzins

The fact is....When Trump dropped out of the debate...he automatically exposed Cruz directly into the line of fire. Cruz looked weak as a front runner. This is why he is tanking now. Brilliant tactical move by Trump!


39 posted on 02/01/2016 6:59:17 AM PST by rwoodward ("god, guns and more ammo")
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To: xzins

I will re-publish all these biased polls after Cruz is declared the winner in Iowa. Bye Bye Trump...


61 posted on 02/01/2016 7:26:16 AM PST by GregKremer (Vote Ted Cruz!)
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To: xzins; RoosterRedux; Albion Wilde; hoosiermama; Amntn; RitaOK; flaglady47; HarleyLady27; ...

YUGE Trump Iowa news ping!


73 posted on 02/01/2016 7:33:41 AM PST by Jane Long (Go Trump, go! Make America Safe Again :)
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To: xzins

The headline SHOULD read, “Liberty and the US Constitution Fade” if there is a Trump victory.


75 posted on 02/01/2016 7:33:56 AM PST by alstewartfan ("I came back as a large hippopotamus." Al Stewart)
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To: xzins

Thank you for the ping, prayers all thru today and tonight for Mr. Trump!!!


86 posted on 02/01/2016 7:37:41 AM PST by HarleyLady27 ("The Force Awakens"!!! TRUMP;TRUMP;TRUMP;TRUMP!!! 100%)
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