Posted on 01/31/2016 6:24:22 PM PST by Isara
Des Moines - In the final Des Moines Register/Bloomberg poll, Donald Trump leads the field at 28 percent with Ted Cruz in second place at 23 percent and Marco Rubio in third at 15 percent.
What's remarkable is that Trump is leading despite fact that's he's a deeply polarizing figure among Republicans: Nearly half of likely caucusgoers (47 percent) view him unfavorably, while 50 percent view him favorably. Trump's +3 favorability rating is well behind the favorability ratings of Ben Carson (+50), Marco Rubio (+49), and Ted Cruz (+37). Polling analysts note this is highly unusual:
...
"It makes you scratch your head," J. Ann Selzer, the pollster who conducted the Des Moines Register survey, tells me. "The field is so big--that's part of it. You've got more popular candidates not getting the first-place vote."
The poll found that Trump would lose a two-man race against Cruz by 18 points--53 percent to 35 percent. Close to a majority of Iowa caucusgoers (48 percent) have become less comfortable with Trump winning the GOP nomination. And the largest percentage of caucusgoers (37 percent) said the nomination of Trump would be "not OK" with them. (Just 20 percent said the same of Cruz and 15 percent said the same of Rubio.)
...
(Excerpt) Read more at weeklystandard.com ...
Oh, don't you see? The fewer people who watch, the higher the ratings go. Sort of like the head scratcher here, the more people vote for Trump, the lower his favorability rating / the less he is liked.
Are you not familiar with Thomas' confirmation hearing? It was brutal -- because he was black! The Democrats turned it into a "high-tech lynching".
And I can assure you, as a Texas voter, that there was absolutely no affirmative action associated with Cruz's election to the Senate. He ran as a conservative Texan. There was no pandering to the Hispanic vote; Cruz doesn't even speak Spanish well enough to pander.
Weekly Standard? This is your source?
So voting for the last two flip flippers didn’t work, but somehow Trump will?
You are so emotionally attached to the man... Please look semi critically at what you are doing.
Voting for someone espousing universal healthcare coverage as recently as YESTERDAY...?
Does that REALLY sound like someone we need to support...?
Obama 2.0
No I never had Cruz on a pedestal, but I did admire for standing up for the people in Texas that voted him in and chastising the frauds in the senate.
I don’t like this mailer thing at all, no matter who was responsible, but it doesn’t change my concerns about Trump.
I feel like I don’t really know the man, his personal life story is definitely a mixed bag.
I’m concerned about which Trump would be president if he wins, man of the people or man of his buddies and elite equals. I’m waiting to see how things progress. I think a defeat in Iowa for him might be good. Setbacks can improve character.
No, i rely on logic not emotion. (Never fall in love with a politician, you’ll be disappointed every time)
I like both Cruz and the Don.
Positions no one else took up, made Trump more of an upfront candidate for his leadership against the GOPe.
Agree with you on the issue of Universal Healthcare, but the invasion of people from the mid-east is paramount.
This morning I finally heard an MSM news report mentioning Trumps comments on the shaming letter, but little detail. Has this had more play in Iowa media? SO far as weather is concerned it appears that the bad part of the storm won’t hit until midnight and later. It could impact candidate travel.
Here is an interesting article polling between 300 and 400 likely voters in Iowa and New Hampshire. It is interactive with a dot to click for Democrat and Republican answers on things like how much would different weather conditions affect your voting, and how important is climate change to you. It also lists recent polling data and percentage of votes for top 3 Pubs and top 2 Dems.
https://weather.com/news/news/weather-channel-poll-likely-voters-iowa-new-hampshire
So if Obama suddenly cracked down on immigration from the Middle East, you’re fine with him?
“Has this had more play in Iowa media?”
googling shows some TV coverage in Iowa:
https://www.google.co/?gws_rd=ssl#q=cruz+mailer+iowa+secretary+of+state&tbm=nws
The real danger to Cruz though, is the fact that Iowa is a caucus state, where small groups from each Precinct gather and debate amongst themselves. A few articulate and passionate folks can easily sway the undecideds or those not fully informed. All it will take for the Trump supporters is to bring one of these mailers to each caucus.
https://www.google.com/?gws_rd=ssl#q=cruz+mailer+iowa+secretary+of+state&tbm=nws
Please don’t click on the link in my original post. I made an editing error. The above is the correct link.
“I’m disappointed. You have been a strait shooter in the past. There is nothing true in your post.”
I obviously don’t have personal knowledge. But the facts are well-reported.
http://www.politico.com/story/2015/06/donald-trump-donations-democrats-hillary-clinton-119071
Just for my clarification, When did Senator Cruz give up his Canadian citizenship, and when was the senatorial election?
Sorry, forgot the strip club part:
Has Trump given up his British citizenship, given his mother was Scottish, thereby making him eligible?
Of course not. Because we don’t care what stupid citizenship laws are in other countries.
All the birther stuff is stupid.
Currently, he is a citizen of the US.
Weather he is eligible to run for prez is still not determined, and will not be determined on these pages, although it does need to be addressed once and for all.
However, that is not why he fails to generate much interest other than on these same pages. His citizenship is pretty far down the list of his unfortunate negatives.
I think a lot, if not most, of the negatives are nonsense promoted by the Rubio camp.
In particular, Megan Kelly effectively apologized for using misleading video to try to paint Cruz as soft on immigration.
Sessions was very clear that Cruz was the person who killed the Gang of 8 -— yes, by using sneaky and underhanded methods -— but that is what it takes to destroy the RINOs that run the Senate.
Thx for the polling/weather data, very interesting stuff. I’ve more concerns about that shaming letter online than in newspapers. But regardless it was one of the worse strategies/ideas I’ve seen in a campaign and something I’d expect a democrat rather than a republican. Let’s see how it plays out.
Thinking voters are not swayed by megan.
Cruz appeared the perfect candidate, but as the months wore on, his rap and presentation just did not ignite, until he started to pay attention to what resonated, and massaged his presentation, which gave him a slight boost, but in the end, he just does not appear sufficiently kick ass and take names.
I imagine him as president debating with senators and representatives on the merits of this and that.
That is not going to even began to turn the ship of state, much less put on steam in another direction.
What he believes is one thing, but what he is willing to do to get it done is another.
Not sufficiently impressive at this time.
You’re correct Cruz is pretty dry.
I’d love to combine the showmanship and charisma of Trump with the substance of Cruz and maybe the looks of George Clooney, but I’d also like to have Superman’s powers and have a torrid romance with Wonder Woman.
Given the choice between flash and substance, I choose substance.
But, then, I drive an old Defender.
post 8
*like*
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