Maybe or maybe not. The fact is that NATO has now fired first, and that the Turks have shot down a warplane and killed two airmen in the service of a country armed with some 2,500 deployed nuclear weapons, a huge modern military, and an air force demonstrably capable of conducting long-range power-projection operations. Heck, just last week, the Russians executed their very own Arc Light raid in Syria. So this is not some tin-horn third world power that the Turks just ticked off, but an aggressive monster that can level not only Turkey but Western Europe and the U.S. itself.
The stupidity of it all, and it goes back to Obama's support of the "Arab Spring" in Syria and attempts at ousting Assad.