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Americans Still Voting With Their Feet, Fleeing Blue States
Townhall.com ^ | September 29, 2015 | Stephen Moore

Posted on 09/29/2015 5:40:54 AM PDT by Kaslin

So-called progressives love to talk about how their policies will create a workers' paradise. Why is it, then, day after day, month after month, year after year, people are fleeing liberal blue states for conservative red states?

New census data on where we live and where we moved to in 2014 shows that the top seven states with the biggest percentage increases in inbound migration from other states are, in order: North Dakota, Nevada, South Carolina, Colorado, Florida, Arizona and Texas. All of these states are politically red, except Colorado, which is purple.

Meanwhile, the leading exodus states, in percentage terms, are: Alaska, New York, Illinois, Connecticut, New Mexico, New Jersey and Kansas. These states, except Alaska and Kansas, are blue.

The latest "Rich States, Poor States" document (which I co-author), published by the American Legislative Exchange Council, finds that nearly a net 1,000 people each day are leaving blue states and entering red states. This migration is changing the economic center of gravity in America -- shifting it relentlessly to the South and West.

Travis Brown, author of the indispensable book "How Money Walks," shows that two of the leading factors behind this movement of human capital are: 1) whether a state has a right-to-work law (half the states do), and 2) how high the top state income tax rate is. Nine states have no income tax, and they are creating jobs at twice the pace as high income-tax states.

Data from the Internal Revenue Service show a similar trend. Each year, the IRS issues a migration data report that examines how many tax filers (and dependents) changed their residencies and how much income was transported from one state to another. The numbers for the most recent year (tax filing year 2013) are gigantic and put the lie to the claim that interstate migration is too small to matter in terms of the wealth and economic opportunity in one state versus another.

In 2013, Florida gained $8.2 billion in adjusted gross income from new arrivals. Texas gained $5.9 billion. Five of the seven states with the biggest income gains -- Florida, Texas, Arizona, Washington and Nevada -- have no income tax.

New York again was the big loser, with another 112,236 tax filers leaving and taking $5.2 billion with them. (So much for those TV ads trying to lure businesses into America's second-highest-taxed state with temporary tax breaks.) Illinois lost nearly 67,000 tax filers and $3.7 billion of income that it can no longer tax.

I've never met a Democrat who could come up with even a semi-plausible explanation for why families and businesses are getting out of blue states. They are leaving states with higher minimum wages, pro-union work rules, high taxes on the rich, generous welfare benefits, expansive regulations to "help" workers, green energy policies, etc. People are voting with their feet against these liberal policies.

When I debated New York Times columnist Paul Krugman this summer, I confronted him with this reality. His lame explanation for the steady migration from the liberal North to the conservative South was that "air conditioning" has made the South more livable. Americans are evidently moving because of the weather.

There are two glaring problems with this theory: California and North Dakota. During the decade ending in 2013, 1.4 million more Americans left California than moved into the once-Golden State. It's a good bet these California refugees didn't leave for more sunshine or better weather.

And if warm weather is what is attracting people to the South -- and surely there is some truth to that -- why did the coldest state outside Alaska -- North Dakota -- have the biggest population gain in percentage terms in the most recent year? The answer is that workers went to get jobs created by the Bakken Shale oil and gas boom.

By the way, California is one of the states richest in oil and natural gas, but its "green" politicians are regulating that industry out of business. So much for caring about working-class Americans.

The latest census and IRS data merely confirm what Americans can see every day with their own eyes. Red states are a magnet. There's a downside to this for sure. Conservatives have a legitimate gripe that when blue-staters relocate into prosperous red states they try to turn them blue. That's happened in New Hampshire, where Massachusetts transplants vote for the left-leaning policies they just fled.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: migration
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1 posted on 09/29/2015 5:40:54 AM PDT by Kaslin
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To: Kaslin

Unfortunately, they always bring their liberalism with them.


2 posted on 09/29/2015 5:41:58 AM PDT by circlecity
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To: circlecity
they always bring their liberalism with them.

Bingo. It's the spread of a fatal contagion to the few remaining healthy parts of a dying republic.

3 posted on 09/29/2015 5:45:54 AM PDT by peyton randolph (I am not a number. I am a free man.)
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To: circlecity

I was just going to say that. Morons. I’m in NYC so I see liberal morons all the time.

And then we have the nuts shouting on each corner about communism or the end of the world :)


4 posted on 09/29/2015 5:48:52 AM PDT by dp0622
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To: Kaslin
Americans Still Voting With Their Feet, Fleeing Blue States

And bringing with them the bad ideas that wrecked the places from whence they are fleeing.

5 posted on 09/29/2015 5:49:06 AM PDT by DiogenesLamp ("of parents owing allegiance to no other sovereignty.")
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To: circlecity

You are so right....People leave New York because of Democrats rule and Taxes....them come to Florida and VOTE for the Democrats here.....How can people be this Stupid???


6 posted on 09/29/2015 5:49:09 AM PDT by mastertex
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To: Kaslin

Goes to show. Why are blue states in so much financial trouble where red states are not? OTOH I live in Washington state which is a blue state but I don’t want to leave it. BTW, there are more red states than blue.


7 posted on 09/29/2015 5:54:37 AM PDT by SkyDancer
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To: circlecity

Yep. We don’t need anymore trash. Got plenty of it arriving from Mexico daily...


8 posted on 09/29/2015 5:55:23 AM PDT by jsanders2001
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To: circlecity

“Unfortunately, they always bring their liberalism with them.”

Question: Why is it that liberals reject the Constitution and welcome subverting it without saying they oppose it?

They’re doing revolution without declaring a revolution.

Absolutely amazing.

IMHO


9 posted on 09/29/2015 5:57:26 AM PDT by ripley
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To: circlecity

It’s a kind of liberal political jihad against the rest of America. They trash where they live and then leave the mess behind. Only to trash their destination.


10 posted on 09/29/2015 6:03:33 AM PDT by ModelBreaker (')
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To: circlecity

>Unfortunately, they always bring their liberalism with them.

I have a strong feeling that the welfare class of the blue states aren’t moving. The working class is. I bet more than half are Republican voters.

Blue states are going to financially implode. California has a higher % of people in poverty than Mississippi, lol.


11 posted on 09/29/2015 6:07:10 AM PDT by struggle
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To: circlecity

Not always, we moved from NJ to VA and brought strong conservatism with us.


12 posted on 09/29/2015 6:10:13 AM PDT by Maris Crane
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To: circlecity

My town, in one of the most conservative parts of the U.S. for decades, used to be known as a place with a church on every corner, which is actually true.

Now most of them in the middle of town have signs saying “all love is equal”, and one even has that stupid rainbow flag on it.


13 posted on 09/29/2015 6:10:26 AM PDT by VanDeKoik
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To: ModelBreaker

How Muslim of them.


14 posted on 09/29/2015 6:10:33 AM PDT by elcid1970 ("I don't like Islam and I don't trust Muslims.")
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To: circlecity
they always bring their liberalism with them.

Like the spread of a cancerous tumor.

15 posted on 09/29/2015 6:21:38 AM PDT by Skooz (Gabba Gabba we accept you we accept you one of us Gabba Gabba we accept you we accept you one of us)
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To: struggle

I think recent electoral results in Colorado and Florida indicate that there has been an influx of Dem voters. A lot of working class people in the blue states are still liberal. A classic case would be a NYC policeman or fireman. They get to retire in their 50’s, thanks to their union. Even after they move away to Florida, the union will still be in their blood.


16 posted on 09/29/2015 6:22:11 AM PDT by lacrew
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To: Kaslin

I think some of it is politics and economics, but a good percentage of it is about avoiding winter. This year, there seems to be a mass exodus out of the northeast for warmer climates.

See you in Port Charlotte! I love New Hampshire, but I hate snow more.


17 posted on 09/29/2015 6:25:43 AM PDT by Poser (Cogito ergo Spam - I think, therefore I ham)
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To: circlecity

I’d like to some statistics on this — I’d imagine that at least some of them are conservatives heading for more agreeable pastures.


18 posted on 09/29/2015 6:27:26 AM PDT by Wyrd bið ful aræd (Exsurge, Domine, et judica causam tuam)
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To: Kaslin

We left the socialist republik of Washington for northern Michigan this year.


19 posted on 09/29/2015 6:29:09 AM PDT by MarMema
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To: mastertex
You are so right....People leave New York because of Democrats rule and Taxes....them come to Florida and VOTE for the Democrats here.....How can people be this Stupid???

Since they are already Democrats, the question answers itself.

20 posted on 09/29/2015 6:35:19 AM PDT by Disambiguator (Cis-American)
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