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How will Syria’s war end? Other civil wars suggest an answer.
The Washington Post ^ | September 3, 2015 | Michael O'Hanlon

Posted on 09/03/2015 7:01:41 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican

Syria’s civil war seems unstoppable. In four years, it has killed 250,000, displaced half the country’s pre-war population of 23 million, and given birth to the Islamic State, which promises to conquer the region and inspire lone-wolf terrorist attacks throughout the Western world.

The Obama administration has managed to keep the United States from a third major conflict in the broader Middle East, but its Syria policy has otherwise struggled. President Bashar al-Assad did not, as expected, tumble from power as his money ran out and his army collapsed. Efforts to create a moderate military opposition have generally failed. The Geneva peace process, intended to fashion a new coalition government, has gone nowhere. The new American-Turkish plan to create a safe zone in northern Syria may not amount to much, given the lack of available forces to establish and protect it. And even with a settlement, who will keep the peace in a country where the Syrian army has so much blood on its hands, the Islamic State and the al-Qaeda affiliate known as al-Nusra are so extreme in their ideology, and the moderate opposition is so weak and fractured?

To envision how the Syrian civil war might ultimately end, it’s helpful to think through how civil wars end in general, and then ask which approach might apply in this case.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Syria; US: District of Columbia
KEYWORDS: districtofcolumbia; iraq; kurdistan; michaelohanlon; partition; syria; turkey; washingtoncompost; washingtonpost

1 posted on 09/03/2015 7:01:41 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican

With what’s left of it they might as well bulldoze the whole country, put in a bunch of desalinization plants and make beaches.


2 posted on 09/03/2015 7:04:54 PM PDT by SkyDancer ("Nobody Said I Was Perfect But Yet Here I Am")
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To: MinorityRepublican

“The Obama administration has managed to keep the United States from a third major conflict in the broader Middle East, but its Syria policy has otherwise struggled.” In WaPo speak that means total Obama failure.


3 posted on 09/03/2015 7:11:54 PM PDT by freefdny
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To: MinorityRepublican
The Obama administration has managed to keep the United States from a third major conflict in the broader Middle East, but its Syria policy has otherwise struggled.

The Obama administration's failure to leave a stabilizing US force in Iraq is largely responsible for the savage turn taken by the Syrian civil war and the greater war in the area involving ISIS and other factions.

4 posted on 09/03/2015 7:19:11 PM PDT by Will88
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To: MinorityRepublican

We need to support and arm the Christians.


5 posted on 09/03/2015 7:19:36 PM PDT by Nuc 1.1 (Nuc 1 Liberals aren't Patriots. Remember 1789!)
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To: MinorityRepublican

I can’t read more than a sentence or two of this dribble. Who writes this stuff? Do they really get paid, or is this their high school essay?
Oldplayer


6 posted on 09/03/2015 7:23:14 PM PDT by oldplayer
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To: MinorityRepublican
The Obama administration has managed to keep the United States from a third major conflict in the broader Middle East

Really absurd to pretend Obama's policies have been a success.

7 posted on 09/03/2015 7:48:59 PM PDT by libertylover (The problem with Obama is not that his skin is too black, it's that his ideas are too RED.)
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To: oldplayer

Here’s an excellent analysis:

http://www.israelnationalnews.com/Articles/Article.aspx/17335#.VcN_CecViUk


8 posted on 09/03/2015 7:49:58 PM PDT by RushingWater
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To: Nuc 1.1

“We need to support and arm the Christians.”

Under this administration?


9 posted on 09/03/2015 7:56:31 PM PDT by Calpublican (Republican Party Now Stands for Nothing!!!!!(Except Conniving))
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To: MinorityRepublican

0bama’s only long term strategy is destroying America.


10 posted on 09/03/2015 8:12:15 PM PDT by smokingfrog ( sleep with one eye open (<o> ---)
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To: MinorityRepublican
Rather juvenile article. He completely ignores the most likely outcome--a takeover by ISIS joined by the local franchise of Al Qaeda, yielding the first complete national takeover by the Sunni terrorists. The Alawite faction of Assad will be exterminated, and the West will do nothing.

This will antagonize Shiite Iran and their Hezbollah troops. Fueled with new revenues released by Barack Obama and John Kerry, The Iranians will re-arm, reinforce, and re-supply Hezbollah, instigating further chaos along sectarian lines.

11 posted on 09/03/2015 8:19:17 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: oldplayer

Michael O’Hanlon is a career flunkie from Brookings Institution who has been all over every side of the Mideast since before the Iraq war began. He basically is a hired gun, and will write whatever slant you want from him.


12 posted on 09/03/2015 8:22:52 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: MinorityRepublican

Maybe to free Syria so the thousands of refugees can return, ISIS does have to be dealt with, I suppose Assad is a bit of a problem too. Israel does retaliate at times against Syria who is a proxy for Iran.


13 posted on 09/03/2015 8:36:01 PM PDT by BeadCounter
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To: Calpublican

Under any administration. Granted the present muslim one will not do so.


14 posted on 09/05/2015 7:32:15 AM PDT by Nuc 1.1 (Nuc 1 Liberals aren't Patriots. Remember 1789!)
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To: Nuc 1.1

The Muslim will not do it.


15 posted on 09/05/2015 9:09:25 AM PDT by Calpublican (Republican Party Now Stands for Nothing!!!!!(Except Conniving))
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To: Calpublican

No he won’t nor will his marxist party..


16 posted on 09/06/2015 11:51:11 AM PDT by Nuc 1.1 (Nuc 1 Liberals aren't Patriots. Remember 1789!)
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