Posted on 07/31/2015 2:06:09 PM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer
Global climate models aren’t given nearly enough credit for their accurate global temperature change projections. As the 2014 IPCC report showed, observed global surface temperature changes have been within the range of climate model simulations.
Now a new study shows that the models were even more accurate than previously thought. In previous evaluations like the one done by the IPCC, climate model simulations of global surface air temperature were compared to global surface temperature observational records like HadCRUT4. However, over the oceans, HadCRUT4 uses sea surface temperatures rather than air temperatures.
There’s a common myth that models are unreliable, often based on apples-to-oranges comparisons, like looking at satellite estimates of temperatures higher in the atmosphere versus modeled surface air temperatures.
This new study has shown that when we do an apples-to-apples comparison, climate models have done a good job projecting the observed temperatures where humans live. And those models predict that unless we take serious and immediate action to reduce human carbon pollution, global warming will continue to accelerate into dangerous territory.
(Excerpt) Read more at theguardian.com ...
There’s nothing wrong with the computer models, it’s reality that’s jacked.
Reality isn’t doing what we said it would: the planet is obviously a racist, sexist, homophobe that’s mad that America elected a black man as president.
Repeat after me — the weather isn’t accurate. The climate models are.
So the fellow pictured would envy what’s happening in the propaganda department today?
Betcha Josef Mengele would be proud of Planned Parenthood.
Well, they definitely produce the results the America-hating communist liberals are looking for.
LOLOLOLOLOL! Right. And I have some beach front property here in NV. Well, when the sea levels rise over 5000ft that is. By early though.
Well I’ve lived in Oregon about 3/4ths of my life. Every year it rains and rains during the fall/winter/spring.
Didn’t do that this year, it was sunny and cold, now it’s the hottest here I’ve ever remembered it being.
Data ist Data,schweinhundt! Jaaaa!!!
MoonBeam will push for even harsher measures to battle climate change.
Meanwhile , Europe sits.. As ice sheets advance..
Get me the Popa on line 3.. I got Al gore on one and and that indian rapist bastard pashnuri?? Rashnuri?? Oon line 2.
We need a strategy.
Funny, I don't think they are accurate at all............Computer modeling isn't SCIENCE........................It's tinkertoys with data................
All you have to do is “correct” all of the data going in.
No warming? Then just change the early temperature data to show lower temperatures in the past.
have they found any models that can predict the past??
This month is averaging 7 degrees colder than this month last year.
Where do I find that in a climate model?
Finally pushing global warming in July/August instead of December/January, they're getting smarter.
Its easy to develop a model that fits the data when you are willing to “adjust” the data to fit the model.
According to the "corrected" temperature data, it was really damned cold back in the 1930s, so that means it is getting warmer and the climate models are correct.
Apparently, all of that dust during the Dust Bowl was really snow and ice.
Models predicted News York would be under water this year. Are you sure they are accurate?
Quite picking and choosing what to include in your model and you will have a much more complex and accurate model.
I guess that bottle could ‘hold out’ for only so long.
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