Posted on 05/29/2015 7:06:29 AM PDT by Kaslin
Day after day, year after year, the hole that climate scientists have buried themselves in gets deeper and deeper. The longer that they wait to admit their overheated forecasts were wrong, the more they are going to harm all of science.
The story is told in a simple graph, the same one that University of Alabamas John Christy presented to the House Committee on Natural Resources on May 15.
The picture shows the remarkable disconnect between predicted global warming and the real world.
The red line is the 5-year running average temperature change forecast, beginning in 1979, predicted by the UNs latest family of climate models, many of which are the handiwork of our own federal science establishment. The forecasts are for the average temperature change in the lower atmosphere, away from the confounding effects of cities, forestry, and agriculture.
The blue circles are the average lower-atmospheric temperature changes from four different analyses of global weather balloon data, and the green squares are the average of the two widely accepted analyses of satellite-sensed temperature. Both of these are thought to be pretty solid because they come from calibrated instruments.
If you look at data through 1995 the forecast appears to be doing quite well. Thats because the computer models appear to have, at least in essence, captured two periods of slight cooling.
The key word is appear. The computer models are tuned to account for big volcanoes that are known to induce temporary cooling in the lower atmosphere. These would be the 1982 eruption of El Chichon in Mexico, and 1992s spectacular Mt. Pinatubo, the biggest natural explosion on earth since Alaskas Katmai in 1912.
Since Pinatubo, the earth has been pretty quiescent, so that warming from increasing carbon dioxide should proceed unimpeded. Obviously, the spread between forecast and observed temperatures grows pretty much every year, and is now a yawning chasm.
Its impossible, as a scientist, to look at this graph and not rage at the destruction of science that is being wreaked by the inability of climatologists to look us in the eye and say perhaps the three most important words in life: we were wrong.
Instead of scientists call them “Climate Prognosticators.”
They hate that.
What were Al Gore’s prediction from 20 years ago?
No polar bears.
Oceans 2 feet higher. Major cities under water
Hurricanes of devastation over and over...
How about Haruspices ? In ancient Rome there were a group of religious divinators who predicted the future by examining the entrails of chickens and other animals. It’s just as scientific !
So we are to believe a .2C temperature change in the last 36 yeas has caused famine, floods and droughts? And the more the temperature flat lines the more insistent they become. They use the term “Climate Deniers” but in reality they seem to be in state of denial.
Thank you!! I always endeavor to get to the crux of the biscuit!!
Predicting the past was easy, the future not so much.
Liberals are making too much money to ever admit they are wrong.
If the “models” they use to do 100-year forecasts were actually any good, they could set them to the conditions of 1915 and run a 100-year forecast that matches the actual historical record for the last century.
If they could do that, they would have and they would be trumpeting it from the rooftops.
The fact that they haven’t means they can’t, and the models are garbage.
The technical term is “unvalidated”.
That gets half a bingo.
When politicians start to get laughed at when climate change is being used as the other talking point would be the other half of the bingo IMO.
They are not “climate scientists”. They are mealy-mouthed, oily, perfidious, Progressive, revolutionary scu*bags with a totalitarian mindset that leads to prison camps, confiscation, and the usurpation of power through pure democracy and the dictatorship of the proletariat.
IMHO
Later
As long as they can shout: Cold, hot, rain, hurricane, drought, snow, earthquake, volcano, weather... oops meant never:-)
“We really need to stop calling them scientists. Its an admission that they have credibility. There is nothing scientific in their research methods.”
Exactly! This post hits the nail on the head! This is pure politics, not science.
“They are not climate scientists. They are mealy-mouthed, oily, perfidious, Progressive, revolutionary scu*bags with a totalitarian mindset that leads to prison camps, confiscation, and the usurpation of power through pure democracy and the dictatorship of the proletariat.”
We should begin calling all of them “Grubers.” You left out the key word, they are all ARROGANT!
Never. They still adhere to the BS from Carson’s Silent Spring, and that was decades ago.
“We should begin calling all of them Grubers. You left out the key word, they are all ARROGANT.”
I promise to do better next time.
:-)
IMHO
Global Warming on Free Republic
When they run out of ways to redefine "Right". IOW, probably not in our lifetimes, maybe ever.
You're right - of course. But what can we call them?
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