Breaking the Democrats' Electoral College Blue Wall Advantage

American Thinker ^ | 05/11/2015 | Richard Baehr

[SeekAndFind]

Many savvy political analysts believe the Democrats have a built in advantage in the Electoral College. Democrats have won four of the last six Presidential elections, and in all six races, they have won a collection of 18 states plus the District of Columbia, now totaling 242 Electoral College votes.

These states include all of the New England states except New Hampshire, New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Maryland, Hawaii, California, Oregon, Washington, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Illinois, Pennsylvania, and the District of Columbia. Democrats have won 5 of the last 6 Presidential contests in New Hampshire, Iowa, and New Mexico, three states with 15 Electoral College votes. Since 270 Electoral College votes are needed for victory, if history is a guide, Democrats start off with a collection of states that puts them very close to victory. The blue wall is not mythology.

Republicans also have some states where they have had a string of six straight victories, but there are only 13 of them with 102 electoral college votes: Alaska, Wyoming, Alabama, Kansas, Idaho, Mississippi, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota, South Carolina, Texas and Utah.

This comparison of 242 versus 102, is not, however, a realistic look at the GOP’s current position. There are several southern or border states, and a few western states that have been reliably Republican in the last four cycles, but voted for Bill Clinton once or twice, including Georgia, Arizona, Louisiana, Arkansas, Missouri, Tennessee, Kentucky, Montana, and West Virginia. Indiana strayed once for Obama in 2008, but otherwise has been won by Republicans in the other five most recent Presidential elections. North Carolina has also been won by Republicans in five of the last six elections, but has been decided by razor thin margins in the last two cycles

[Oatka]

I want proportional electoral allocation in Michigan.
Candidates will get electors from the districts they win.

Indeed. Until the Electoral College votes are awarded by Congressional Districts, the wall is all but unbroken.

As long as Philadelphia, Las Vegas, Chicago, and all the other metro areas override the rural conservative areas, we will continue to go downhill.

[cripplecreek]

Awarding EC votes by district knocks the hell out of cheating. In a place like Detroit they could produce a billion votes if they want and it wouldn’t make a bit of difference.

Instead they would be forced to try to cheat in GOP leaning districts which is a whole lot riskier.

[yefragetuwrabrumuy]

Actually, yes. To start with, some of the most onerous, entrenched and repulsive Republicans have been kicked out of high office. Far more, at state level, have been replaced by conservatives.

Granted in this last election, “The Empire Struck Back”, in keeping seats, taking back control of some state parties, and inserting faux conservatives into office. But it was very expensive to do what amounts to a defensive action.

And, as Napoleon observed, a static defense is slow suicide.

Comparatively speaking, Mitt Romney had a far easier time to the nomination than is Jeb Bush; and it was a waltz for McCain before him. Eventually, perhaps with this next presidential election, it is going to break the bank of the big money backers. They’ll have to do it on their own because there will not be any grass roots money flowing to their people.

So yes, the more the Republican liberals are eroded, the less they are able to fight the erosion, until that happy day when conservatives fully take control of the party.

[Organic Panic]

Look where the Obama [pbuh] is putting the illegals and Muslim refugees.