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Breaking the Democrats' Electoral College Blue Wall Advantage
American Thinker ^ | 05/11/2015 | Richard Baehr

Posted on 05/11/2015 7:20:32 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

Many savvy political analysts believe the Democrats have a built in advantage in the Electoral College. Democrats have won four of the last six Presidential elections, and in all six races, they have won a collection of 18 states plus the District of Columbia, now totaling 242 Electoral College votes.

These states include all of the New England states except New Hampshire, New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Maryland, Hawaii, California, Oregon, Washington, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Illinois, Pennsylvania, and the District of Columbia. Democrats have won 5 of the last 6 Presidential contests in New Hampshire, Iowa, and New Mexico, three states with 15 Electoral College votes. Since 270 Electoral College votes are needed for victory, if history is a guide, Democrats start off with a collection of states that puts them very close to victory. The blue wall is not mythology.

Republicans also have some states where they have had a string of six straight victories, but there are only 13 of them with 102 electoral college votes: Alaska, Wyoming, Alabama, Kansas, Idaho, Mississippi, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota, South Carolina, Texas and Utah.

This comparison of 242 versus 102, is not, however, a realistic look at the GOP’s current position. There are several southern or border states, and a few western states that have been reliably Republican in the last four cycles, but voted for Bill Clinton once or twice, including Georgia, Arizona, Louisiana, Arkansas, Missouri, Tennessee, Kentucky, Montana, and West Virginia. Indiana strayed once for Obama in 2008, but otherwise has been won by Republicans in the other five most recent Presidential elections. North Carolina has also been won by Republicans in five of the last six elections, but has been decided by razor thin margins in the last two cycles

(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016; bluestate; democrats; electoralcollege; electoralvote; electoralvotes; nationalpopularvote
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1 posted on 05/11/2015 7:20:32 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

After a few more years of the federal government seeding America’s small towns and cities with hundreds of thousands black muslims from Africa and Arab muslims from the mid-east, coupled with the millions of illegal aliens Obama is bringing in across the Rio Grande, it won’t be long before democrats will have an insurmountable majority in national elections.


2 posted on 05/11/2015 7:27:30 AM PDT by Iron Munro (We may be paranoid but that doesn't mean they aren't really after us)
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To: SeekAndFind

We are in trouble, battling uphill.


3 posted on 05/11/2015 7:29:13 AM PDT by Lake Living
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To: Iron Munro

After all the White Christians are dead or deported they will still be blaming them for their miserable meaningless unhappy lives.


4 posted on 05/11/2015 7:31:27 AM PDT by Awgie (truth is always stranger than fiction)
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To: SeekAndFind

I want proportional electoral allocation in Michigan.

Candidates will get electors from the districts they win.


5 posted on 05/11/2015 7:32:48 AM PDT by cripplecreek ("For by wise guidance you can wage your war")
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To: SeekAndFind
This wouldn't be so much of a problem if the states hadn't ceded so much power to the Federal government over the decades.

As well as participating in the ruse in which the federal government taxes the citizens directly and then dangles the funds in front of the states in the form of "grants", "guaranteed loans", etc., in exchange for its compliance.

6 posted on 05/11/2015 7:35:59 AM PDT by Texas Eagle (If it wasn't for double-standards, Liberals would have no standards at all -- Texas Eagle)
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To: SeekAndFind

Seriously, if the Republicans leadership keep foisting utterly worthless candidates for POTUS on the party, they will continue to lose big. This time they want Jeb Bush or Romney again, both of which are losers.

And the leadership are more than willing to throw the match to the Democrats to prevent a conservative from winning. Until the party is purged of its Whig, RINO, and GOP-e Chamber of Commerce types, it is destined to fail. It is a slow and steady process, but hopefully conservatives can show them the door.


7 posted on 05/11/2015 7:36:58 AM PDT by yefragetuwrabrumuy ("Don't compare me to the almighty, compare me to the alternative." -Obama, 09-24-11)
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To: SeekAndFind

The way for Republicans to win Pennsylvania is to scare the bejeezus out of voters about Democrat gun grabs.


8 posted on 05/11/2015 7:38:38 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: SeekAndFind
The GOP’s path to victory would be to adopt the approach already used by two states, Maine and Nebraska, in which the party that wins the state’s popular vote wins two Electoral College votes (associated with the two Senators), but the candidate who wins in each congressional district wins one Electoral College vote for his party.

Republicans should have done this in Pennsylvania in 2013 or 2014 before they lost the Governor’s race. The rule change in this state might have pocketed the GOP as many as 13 Electoral College votes, even if they lost the state, the same as winning an extra Virginia.

The GOP here in Pennsylvania had solid majorities in both houses of the legislature, just such a bill introduced, and a GOP governor who had just been solidly elected in 2011. It was our RINO state GOP chair who made sure the bill never made it out of committee.

His dumb@$$ed excuse was that we could win all 20. If so, it would have been a blow out election where the GOP won 320 or more electoral votes and the extra seven would've made no difference in the outcome.

His real reason was loss of influence in the national GOP organization which, as we all know, tilts heavily to the RINO side far out of proportion to national numbers.

The big problem is not the order of the primaries, the marathon structure or anything of the sort so much as it is the allocation of delegates.

A fairer system would award:

  1. One fifth of the delegates based on electoral vote value.
  2. One fifth of the delegates based on GOP congressmen, U.S. Senators, governor and control of state legislatures.
  3. Three-fifths of the delegates based on the ability of the state to actually deliver electoral votes to the GOP presidential ticket in November.

    And, yes, Wyoming might actually end up with more delegates than Massachusetts under this formula. If it is unfair, then it is unfair to Wyoming, which has delivered 12 of 12 possible electoral votes to the GOP ticket over the last four election cycles whereas Massachusetts has delivered exactly 0.

    If conservatives had any sense we would demand that delegate allocations be based on three sets of fifths:

    1. One fifth based on population or a state's electoral votes.
    2. One fifth based on GOP governors, senators, congress seats and houses of the state legislature they control.
    3. Three fifths based on electoral votes actually delivered to the GOP nominee over the last six or so presidential cycles.

9 posted on 05/11/2015 7:39:47 AM PDT by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: SeekAndFind

The democrats did it one state at a time. Go through on a state by state basis and you will find how they built that wall. In New Hampshire they allow same day registration. Ergo, people in Massachusetts can drive across the border and vote twice. In other states it is farm subsidies that do the trick. In Virginia they simply bloated the size of the Federal Government and moved the workers to Northern VA. In Pennsylvania, 200% of the population vote 100% democrat. An on and on and on.

I hate to say it but the only way to reverse this course is on a state by state, brick by brick plan. I am not sure that can be done prior to 2016.


10 posted on 05/11/2015 7:42:39 AM PDT by FlipWilson
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To: SeekAndFind

This is due to them realizing they were fighting a GOP advantage at the same time the GOP was squandering it.


11 posted on 05/11/2015 7:43:28 AM PDT by Ingtar (Capitulation is the enemy of Liberty, or so the recent past has shown.)
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To: Lake Living

Most all these “blue” states have a single Democrat machine run large city or area. Look at ‘08 and ‘12... you will see many times Obama won these areas by many more votes than he won the state. In some of these cases I must wonder if the “Chicago Rule” is in effect... “everybody gets to cast a ballot, but the votes have already been counted”. IMHO the Dem opposition to voter ID is not just letting illegals vote, but it allows illegal votes to be “manufactured”... without requiring a real person (legal or not) to actually enter a voting booth. If ya know what I mean.


12 posted on 05/11/2015 7:45:28 AM PDT by FiddlePig
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To: SeekAndFind; All

The solution to this is for folks in Blue and Purple states with a GOP Majority in the State Houses, to start NOW convincing their State Legislatures to pass legislation awarding EVs by Congressional Districts rather than a statewide winner-take-all. This is Constitutionally o.k. and it is doable.


13 posted on 05/11/2015 7:52:32 AM PDT by Din Maker (Gov. Susana Martinez of NM for VP in 2016)
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To: SeekAndFind

The only difference between the Democrats and Republicans that I can see is that the GOP actually advances the Democrat agenda faster.


14 posted on 05/11/2015 7:53:02 AM PDT by chris37 (Heartless)
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To: SeekAndFind

If the Republicans start standing for something, they have a good chance.

In 2014, several governorships changed from Dem to Republican.

==

Arkansas had 2 Dem Senators, 3 or 4 Dem House Representatives, and a Dem governor when Obama took office. Since then, all of those have reverted to Republican.

It took a Republican to deseat Blanche Lincoln in 2010 and another Republican to deseat David Pryor in 2014.

Now, the Senate, House and Governorship are all Republicans.

Since 2008, Arkansas has done a complete flip from Democrat control to Republican control. Many of those Republicans, however, are of the moderate variety, so it is difficult to see much improvement.


15 posted on 05/11/2015 7:56:01 AM PDT by TomGuy
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To: SeekAndFind

Electoral College is scam put in place to help Politicians


16 posted on 05/11/2015 8:00:46 AM PDT by molson209 (Blank)
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To: molson209

RE: Electoral College is scam put in place to help Politicians

Well, for that,we have to blame our founding fathers who gave us this “scam” ( Note the quotes ).


17 posted on 05/11/2015 8:05:14 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: molson209

BINGO it’s came to pass if voting counted they wouldn’t let us do it.
The good old boy club knows more than the voter.


18 posted on 05/11/2015 8:05:23 AM PDT by Vaduz
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To: yefragetuwrabrumuy

It is not going to happen.

Mark Levin keeps going on about 'we need a new Republican Party.'

It is not going to happen. It didn't change from within with Reagan. It didn't change from within with Goldwater.

The GOP elites/moderates are too comfortable with the status quo -- whether they win or lose. They still get their turn at the government money troughs.

When will conservatives finally get enough of their Battered Conservative Syndrome? No matter how much mud is thrown at them -- from their own party, no matter how many Congressional committee seats get pulled from them in retaliation from the GOP leadership, no matter how little reelection money they get, the conservative just hang in their and keep saying that things will improve with the next election.

Have things improved?
19 posted on 05/11/2015 8:06:53 AM PDT by TomGuy
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To: SeekAndFind
There are a sufficient number of eligible voters in almost all states who do not vote the democrat ticket to allow a non democrat candidate to win all national elections. Despite, or because of, their numerical disadvantage, the democrats have been able to unite their party on a national level while republicans have become severely fractured. In the democrat party, republicans are enemy number one but in the republican party, enemy number one is most often the opposite wing of the party, with democrats being a remote second or third focus. You can go back to the elections of Carter, Clinton, and Oboma and easily construct a model where the republican party could have won in a landslide had they achieved the same level of unity as democrats. This is still a center/right country and in a simple two way race between the broad republican and democrat philosophy, the republican should win every time. However, as long as a substantial number of the two major factions of the republican party remain biterely divided and express that division by either voting third party or not voting, the democrats, although a minority party, will win.
20 posted on 05/11/2015 8:59:15 AM PDT by etcb
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