Posted on 11/02/2012 11:47:47 AM PDT by ScottinVA
With four days to go, President Obama and Mitt Romney are tied in the critical battleground state of Ohio.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters finds Obama and Romney each with 49% support. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, while one percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Ohio remains one of eight Toss-Up states in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections. Obama won the Buckeye State in 2008 by a 52% to 47% margin.
At the beginning of the week, Romney held a slight 50% to 48% advantage. It was the first time Romney has taken even a modest lead in the race of Ohio's 18 Electoral College votes since late May, but the two candidates have been within two percentage points of one another since then.
Forty percent (40%) of Ohio voters say they have already cast their ballots, and among these voters, the president has a comfortable 56% to 41% lead.
Both candidates earn better than 90% support from voters in their respective parties. The president is ahead 50% to 41% among voters not affiliated with either major political party.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
In April, Ras had Walker losing.
Monday, April 02, 2012 A majority of Wisconsin voters now support the effort to recall Republican Governor Scott Walker. A new Rasmussen Reports statewide survey shows that, if the recall election was held today, 52% of Likely Voters would vote to recall Governor Walker and remove him from office.
Unless God is Mormon, Mitt’s in big trouble then.
About that 50-41 advantage among indies for Obama. The recent polls are all over the map with that group. Here are the most recent measurements of indies:
Gravis Marketing (10/27) — R 53, O 41
UC Ohio Poll 10/25 - 10/30) — R 32, O 46
SurveyUSA (10/26 - 10/29) — R 48, O 37
If nobama is up 15 in early voting and 9 w independents how is it a tie ?
We didn’t need a study to tell us we’re not supposed to hire undocumented workers.
Sounds like the indies are going to make up their mind “in the booth.”
Lol that’s good. However, it was not one if the traits.
That fat ffff Christie was up to something and it wasn’t just helping his state. Like you say he could and would have gotten federal help anyhow. He was wayyy over the top in gushing praise about Obama personally.
It was a big blow to Romney and this country - to put Obama on his fat back and attempt to carry him across the finish line.
I guarantee there was a political back-door deal going on there.
You aren’t the only one having trouble with those numbers.
People are going to laugh when Tuesday night comes and Romney carries Ohio by 150,000 votes.
Bottomline. It’s a close race. I am relying on what I heard from Bill Cunningham on Hannity’s show yesterday. He guaranteed a Romney win in Ohio. He predicted the opposite in 2008.
Heard the same comments. Lets hope his on the ground read is the right one.
Also, will be interesting to see if the projected 50,000 person turnout for a Romney event comes true
I hear ya! Just my personal opinion, I think Romney is going to win Ohio by a much larger margin then any poll has shown. I think a lot of folks are keeping quiet or telling pollsters the opposite for fear of being called raciest and such. I really think the silent majority has quietly laid low until election day.
I wonder what affect the power outages had on the ability to get a representative and comparative poll.
If you average the number it is R-43.34 O-41.17
Pollsters are all counting on a huge Dem turnout (anywhere from +5 to +9). Early voting indicates it is not gonna happen. Obama’s early voting numbers are way below 2008 across the board. When people vote Tuesday the last things that will go through their minds will be jobs, debt, gas etc. Not Sandy.
Newt just double down and said Romney 300 EV. CNN new poll has O+3 in OH with Romney winnng Indies +2 (seven point shift from last week).
Just hang in there...don’t go wobbly because if you do, I might.
Thanks.
Considering it was a blue state storm, I’d say it makes it even worse.
:)
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