Election 2012: Ohio President: Obama 49%, Romney 49%

Rasmussen Reports ^ | 2 November 2012 | Scott Rasmussen

[fortheDeclaration]

Was that the day of the recall election, because I remember everyone saying it was a tie?

In April, Ras had Walker losing.

Monday, April 02, 2012 A majority of Wisconsin voters now support the effort to recall Republican Governor Scott Walker. A new Rasmussen Reports statewide survey shows that, if the recall election was held today, 52% of Likely Voters would vote to recall Governor Walker and remove him from office.

[delapaz]

Unless God is Mormon, Mitt’s in big trouble then.

[ScottinVA]

About that 50-41 advantage among indies for Obama. The recent polls are all over the map with that group. Here are the most recent measurements of indies:

Gravis Marketing (10/27) — R 53, O 41
UC Ohio Poll 10/25 - 10/30) — R 32, O 46
SurveyUSA (10/26 - 10/29) — R 48, O 37

[prov1813man]

If nobama is up 15 in early voting and 9 w independents how is it a tie ?

[JediJones]

We didn’t need a study to tell us we’re not supposed to hire undocumented workers.

[JediJones]

Sounds like the indies are going to make up their mind “in the booth.”

[flutters]

I just came back from TRYING to see Romney in Etna. Couldn't get anywhere near the place. Cars were having to park a few miles away and walk to where the rally was. And like you, I have seen very few Obama signs and a lot of Romney signs. Yesterday I stopped by the Reynoldsburg election headquarters and they had some brochures left; no signs and no stickers.

[Toespi]

Lol that’s good. However, it was not one if the traits.

[over3Owithabrain]

That fat ffff Christie was up to something and it wasn’t just helping his state. Like you say he could and would have gotten federal help anyhow. He was wayyy over the top in gushing praise about Obama personally.

It was a big blow to Romney and this country - to put Obama on his fat back and attempt to carry him across the finish line.

I guarantee there was a political back-door deal going on there.

[Clump]

You aren’t the only one having trouble with those numbers.
People are going to laugh when Tuesday night comes and Romney carries Ohio by 150,000 votes.

[patriotspride]

Bottomline. It’s a close race. I am relying on what I heard from Bill Cunningham on Hannity’s show yesterday. He guaranteed a Romney win in Ohio. He predicted the opposite in 2008.

---

Heard the same comments. Lets hope his on the ground read is the right one.

Also, will be interesting to see if the projected 50,000 person turnout for a Romney event comes true

[nhwingut]

Obama is getting a small surge from indies because of Sandy.

Agreed. And here's what I think. And I know about as much historically and politically as anyone else.

But the Sandy bump was quite small (I mean the race is still tied), and come the weekend, when Romney hammers home the facts and figures relative to the economy (i.e. unemployment rate is 7.9%, and higher than it was $6 trillion dollars and 4 years ago), and as the NY/NJ corridor gets more frustrated with lack of FEMA help, and Lybia drips out even more... I think the race tilts towards Romney on Monday, and he wins by 3-4 points as I predicted last week.

That's just my opinion. I know many, as did I, wanted a blowout/preference cascade type election (and we were getting there pre-Sandy) but we are in a heck of a lot better position today than we were 4 years ago (down anywhere from 6-13 points nationally).

It's deadlocked. We can win this thing. Fingers crossed and many prayers.

[CELTICGAEL (Celt)]

I hear ya! Just my personal opinion, I think Romney is going to win Ohio by a much larger margin then any poll has shown. I think a lot of folks are keeping quiet or telling pollsters the opposite for fear of being called raciest and such. I really think the silent majority has quietly laid low until election day.

[Raycpa]

I wonder what affect the power outages had on the ability to get a representative and comparative poll.

[Perdogg]

If you average the number it is R-43.34 O-41.17

[trappedincanuckistan]

Pollsters are all counting on a huge Dem turnout (anywhere from +5 to +9). Early voting indicates it is not gonna happen. Obama’s early voting numbers are way below 2008 across the board. When people vote Tuesday the last things that will go through their minds will be jobs, debt, gas etc. Not Sandy.

[Perdogg]

Newt just double down and said Romney 300 EV. CNN new poll has O+3 in OH with Romney winnng Indies +2 (seven point shift from last week).

Just hang in there...don’t go wobbly because if you do, I might.

[ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas]

Thanks.

[wolfman23601]

Considering it was a blue state storm, I’d say it makes it even worse.

[CELTICGAEL (Celt)]

:)