What are the chances of actually prying a significant chunk of the Jewish vote out of the Dems’ back pocket?
Why is the Jewish vote in the Dem’s back pocket?
As with all the demographic groups, 0% of the Jews who voted for McCain in 2008 will vote for Obama in 2012. Any who switch from D to R this time around will be a gain for Romney. If that is only 10% it will be a big help. In Florida it could be enough to put Romney's margin of victory beyond the Democrat fraud capability.
>>What are the chances of actually prying a significant chunk of the Jewish vote out of the Dems’ back pocket?
The chances of 20% from 2008 are pretty good to excellent. Seeing as Jews may well compose 8-9% of the voter turnout, which translates to close to 2% of the overall vote, that could be hugely important.