>>What are the chances of actually prying a significant chunk of the Jewish vote out of the Dems’ back pocket?
The chances of 20% from 2008 are pretty good to excellent. Seeing as Jews may well compose 8-9% of the voter turnout, which translates to close to 2% of the overall vote, that could be hugely important.
Wow, that 8-9% is an an extraordinarily high estimate. Is that Florida only?
But on the other hand, if 20% of the Jewish vote in any given state swings from the 'Rats to the Pubbies as compared to '08, Romney in effect will gain 40% of the total Jewish turnout in his vote total vs. Obama, as he gains 20% while Zero loses 20% of that turnout. (BTW, that 20% may be a bit more than generally predicted.)