Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Obama ahead in three key U.S. states, poll shows
townhall.com ^

Posted on 08/01/2012 7:23:14 AM PDT by tsowellfan

President Barack Obama has the edge over Mitt Romney in three key battleground states in large part because voters find him more likable than the Republican challenger, a poll released on Wednesday found.

Quinnipiac University's survey of more than 3,500 likely voters in the November 6 U.S. election found Obama ahead by 11 percentage points in Pennsylvania (53 to 42 percent), and 6 percentage points in both Ohio (50 to 44 percent) and Florida (51 to 45 percent). Obama won all three states in the 2008 presidential election.

At least 50 percent of respondents in the three states expressed a "favorable" opinion of Obama compared to about 40 percent for Romney, according to the poll, which has a margin of error of about plus or minus 2.9 percentage points...

(Excerpt) Read more at townhall.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; election2012
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-57 last
To: Uncle Slayton
This ‘stump jumper’ in Pennsylvania doesn't believe he is ahead in this state either...

msm prints only what they want to print...

have you seen the article on Mrs. Romney cost of clothing VS the cost of clothing of Michelle???? pure B.......S....as I said...MSM prints what they want..so believe NOTHING FROM THEM...

OFF FOR LUNCH AT CHICK~FILA...GREENSBURG, PA.♥

41 posted on 08/01/2012 8:27:29 AM PDT by haircutter
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: Sacajaweau

I live in PA, and I honestly don’t think Obama can win the state... I really don’t. PA is blue dog democrat territory, and Obama has been spitting in their faces for 4 years.

If Obama has a lead here at all, its in low single digits.

I can’t find anyone who is a swing voter here planning to vote for him, and many life long democrats I know are openly stating the guys a failure and they have no intention of voting for him.

11 Points is absolute CRAP.


42 posted on 08/01/2012 8:29:46 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: haircutter

I sure hope you are right. But, as a fellow Pennsylvanian, I have to remind you of three major problems: Philly, Harrisburg, and York. All three cities were handed over to blacks and hispanics. Hence, all three will deliver 90% of their votes to Obama. And those are huge numbers.


43 posted on 08/01/2012 8:39:25 AM PDT by hampdenkid
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 41 | View Replies]

To: Little Ray

You write off PA too easily my friend, I fully expect PA to go red election night. If OBama holds PA, it will be only by a few points.

You declare PA a Mass or NY at your peril, this state is NOT remotely those. Philly area, perhaps, but not the state. Most dems here are blue collar, blue dogs, they are not water carrying commies. Fast Eddie is no longer in the Governor’s mansion, Republicans control the state legislature and most state offices. Don’t think for one minute this is a liberal state its not.

We also sent Toomey to Washington 2 years ago, and that internet video of the Congressman ranting against red tape? That guys from a democratic bastion of ERIE, PA... don’t think that because the state has a lot of registered democrats that republicans don’t or can’t win here. I think a lot of folks will be surprised in November. If Obama holds the state, it will only be by the slimmest of margins.


44 posted on 08/01/2012 8:40:29 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 38 | View Replies]

To: tsowellfan
people like this guy?

45 posted on 08/01/2012 8:46:32 AM PDT by ari-freedom
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Right Brother

46 posted on 08/01/2012 8:49:34 AM PDT by Baynative (A man's admiration for absolute government is proportionate to the contempt he feels for others)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 22 | View Replies]

To: tsowellfan

Florida - Oversampled Democrat by 9 points
Ohio - Oversampled Democrat by 8 points
Pennsylvania - Oversampled Democrat by 6 points

In the same poll, other races were asked about:

FL Senate - Dem beat GOP by 7 points
Ohio Senate - Dem beats GOP by 12 points
PA Senate - Dem beats Gop by 18 points

Wow....if you ask democrats who they plan to vote for, it turns out that they vote democrat.

The real story...Obama is underperforming, when compared to these senate candidates.


47 posted on 08/01/2012 8:53:41 AM PDT by lacrew (Mr. Soetoro, we regret to inform you that your race card is over the credit limit.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: HamiltonJay

New York state is surprisingly “red” but NYC is too big and too powerful - so New York is a blue state. NYC even has a “Republican” mayor and is still horrendously liberal.

Same applies to Pennsylvania. Most of Pennsylvania is conservative, but the urban areas, like Pittsburgh and Philadelphia outweigh the rest of the state - especially when there is a 110% turn out in some Philadelphia districts. It would certainly be a pleasant surprise to see PA go red, but I’d think long and hard on the resources I’d commit to campaigning in PA.


48 posted on 08/01/2012 8:57:40 AM PDT by Little Ray (AGAINST Obama in the General.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 44 | View Replies]

To: ari-freedom
People like this guy?

(People didn't know this guy)...perhaps now they do...he is America's biggest racist...not POTUS but PFBO.

49 posted on 08/01/2012 8:58:26 AM PDT by yoe (Vote for your Country, not a political party.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 45 | View Replies]

To: tsowellfan

Quinnipuke is wrong.


50 posted on 08/01/2012 8:59:09 AM PDT by GeorgeWashingtonsGhost
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: tsowellfan
Polls like these? The U-6 & U-5 methods. (Alternative Measures of Labor Underutilization for States), Third Quarter of 2011 through Second Quarter of 2012 Averages'.

Polls are 99% Propaganda!

51 posted on 08/01/2012 9:05:14 AM PDT by yoe (Vote for your Country, not a political party.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: tsowellfan
...Polls are 99% Propaganda!

....maybe - all polls should be taken with a grain of salt.....Do your own research!

52 posted on 08/01/2012 9:08:16 AM PDT by yoe (Vote for your Country, not a political party.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Little Ray

Philly yes, Pittsburgh no.

Pittsburgh only has a population of 350,000 or so in the city proper... don’t be fooled by BS my friend, I’ve lived here since 1986.

PA is not in the bag for Obama. If he holds this state it will be by the slimmest of margins.

Pittsburgh proper/allegheny county is a democratic bastion, the rest of the region not even close. And even the democrats that do live in SWPA are by and large not socialist whackos, they are blue dogs, and most I know have turned there back on Obama. 20% of Democrats in national polls are openly admitting they are going to vote Romney, PA is no different... Write of PA at your peril.


53 posted on 08/01/2012 9:13:35 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 48 | View Replies]

To: henkster

Au contraire, Carter, if you got to know him, and I did, was very unlikable, a mean-spirited liar.


54 posted on 08/01/2012 9:15:42 AM PDT by Ace's Dad (Reagan ELF; when the Gipper stood up to the USSR, once again.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: RIghtwardHo

No one is putting their heads in the sand here. Let’s face it, we are seeing polls over-sampling Dems by more than 8% percentage points over the GOP. DO YOU REALLY BELIEVE THAT???? That’s absolutely massive and not likely to be accurate.
The ENTIRE purpose of these polls is to demoralize the conservative base by oversampling Dems. If you think that these polling outfits have fidelity to the truth, you would have to agree that the MSM is not biased.
Romney may be a crummy candidate, but OMG 0bama is down there with Lucifer.


55 posted on 08/01/2012 9:37:28 AM PDT by grumpygresh (Democrats delenda est; zero sera dans l'enfer bientot.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: tsowellfan
You're still unemployed but gosh darn isn't that Obama a swell guy and that Romney? Well, he's a bit of a square.

/s

56 posted on 08/01/2012 10:44:53 AM PDT by newzjunkey (Pontius Pilate 'voters' are arrogant, delusional, lilly-livered collaborators.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: tsowellfan

“Quinnipiac University’s survey of more than 3,500 likely voters in the November 6 U.S. election found Obama ahead by 11 percentage points in Pennsylvania (53 to 42 percent), and 6 percentage points in both Ohio (50 to 44 percent) and Florida (51 to 45 percent). Obama won all three states in the 2008 presidential election.”

No matter how you try to spin it, this is VERY bad news for the Romney campaign.

Pennsylvania is “out of reach” this time around. Mr. Romney is going to lose there.

However, in order to win the electoral college, Romney MUST win BOTH Ohio AND Florida. He has no chance without those two states.

In both states, Romney just can’t “make the sale”.

Ohio is especially troubling. An 11-point spread is going to be a tough row to hoe. But Ohio, Florida and Virginia are states that are nearing “the tipping point” — and may soon “topple” towards “the blue”, perhaps for good.

Can’t figure Florida. Obama won there in ‘08 by the narrowest of margins, yet the state seems poised to vote for him again — can’t the old folks down there understand the threat that ObamaCare poses to them?

Maybe things are going to change, and I hope they do. But right now, if this poll is to be believed (and any Quinnipiac poll should be taken with a large dose of salt), things aren’t looking so good.

Remember 2 years ago, when folks here at FR were putting up posts to wit:
“My dog could beat Obama”?
“A coke could beat Obama”?

What happened?


57 posted on 08/02/2012 8:01:32 PM PDT by Road Glide
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-57 last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson