You write off PA too easily my friend, I fully expect PA to go red election night. If OBama holds PA, it will be only by a few points.
You declare PA a Mass or NY at your peril, this state is NOT remotely those. Philly area, perhaps, but not the state. Most dems here are blue collar, blue dogs, they are not water carrying commies. Fast Eddie is no longer in the Governor’s mansion, Republicans control the state legislature and most state offices. Don’t think for one minute this is a liberal state its not.
We also sent Toomey to Washington 2 years ago, and that internet video of the Congressman ranting against red tape? That guys from a democratic bastion of ERIE, PA... don’t think that because the state has a lot of registered democrats that republicans don’t or can’t win here. I think a lot of folks will be surprised in November. If Obama holds the state, it will only be by the slimmest of margins.
New York state is surprisingly “red” but NYC is too big and too powerful - so New York is a blue state. NYC even has a “Republican” mayor and is still horrendously liberal.
Same applies to Pennsylvania. Most of Pennsylvania is conservative, but the urban areas, like Pittsburgh and Philadelphia outweigh the rest of the state - especially when there is a 110% turn out in some Philadelphia districts. It would certainly be a pleasant surprise to see PA go red, but I’d think long and hard on the resources I’d commit to campaigning in PA.