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Romney’s Lead Slipping in New Hamsphire Primary Recent Poll
New Hampshire Primary ^ | 10/21/11 | Insider Advantage

Posted on 10/23/2011 8:19:07 AM PDT by justsaynomore

The New Hampshire Primary is a must win for hometown Mitt Romney, but the sudden surge of Herman Cain has now put a threat to Romney’s huge lead in New Hampshire. In a recent Insider Advantage poll Herman Cain rose to 24% while Romney has fallen to 39%. Romney has been as high as 45% in previous polls. Romney has been slipping in recent New Hampshire polls, some believe due to his pressure to move the Nevada Caucus ahead of the New Hampshire Primary. mitt-romney-town-hall-new-hampshire A win for Herman Cain in Iowa could give him the momentum to make the New Hampshire Primary a race after all.

Mitt Romney ——- 39% Herman Cain ——- 24% Ron Paul ———– 11% Jon Huntsman ——- 5% Newt Gingrich —— 5% Michelle Bachmann – 5% Rick Perry ——— 2%

Source: Insider Advantage


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Front Page News; Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: backstabbers4mitt; hermancain; misogynists4romney; mittromney; newhampshire; poll; romney2lose; romney4bigdig; romney4fees; romney4obama; romney4sharia; romney4soros; romney4tarp; romney4taxes; romneycare4u; romneymarriage; strikingdistance
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To: COBOL2Java
Karl, good news! I've arranged for you to co-host Hannity's show the next few weeks.

Please tell me that you're kidding. Please? The last thing we need is that FUD-e-dud with millions in air-time selling fear of conservatism.

If it is true, I hope the reaction to it spells the end of Rove's career. I, for one, will write letters to Fox News if they do it.

21 posted on 10/23/2011 9:03:16 AM PDT by Carry_Okie (At least I have the decency to kill my food before I eat it.)
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To: justsaynomore

Cain is a puzzle for the establishment. Now of course I already is the Romney folks employing their assets in the conservative media to attack his ‘electibility’ as if we don’t know he is prolife and as if we don’t know our existing tax code is worse than any possible proposed reform. The perfect can not be the enemy of good or we will end up with Mitt Romney which is the enemy of all that we stand for.


22 posted on 10/23/2011 9:09:17 AM PDT by Maelstorm (Better to keep your enemy in your sights than in your camp expecting him to guard your back.)
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To: justsaynomore; org.whodat; cripplecreek; TADSLOS; BobL; raybbr; truthfreedom; CowboyJay; ...
Rick Perry ——— 2%

I'm going to have to stop referring to the Perry people at 3%ers.


23 posted on 10/23/2011 9:09:59 AM PDT by South40 (q days go.)
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To: Grunthor
“Rick Perry ——— 2%”
yikes.

Don't you mean hallelujah?

Apparently telling 73% of Republicans and 74% of Independents they 'have no heart' wasn't such a keen tactical strategy for the La Raza Rick Perry campaign.

24 posted on 10/23/2011 9:13:28 AM PDT by South40 (q days go.)
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To: Maelstorm

What I’m picking up from my friends and neighbors is that they like Cain’s imperfections. They like the fact that he’s able to make adjustments as he goes along and doesn’t get too locked in for political expediency.

I do think Cain is the only one who can mount a real challenge to both Romney and Obama here in Michigan.


25 posted on 10/23/2011 9:18:10 AM PDT by cripplecreek (A vote for Amnesty is a vote for a permanent Democrat majority. ..Choose well.)
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To: justsaynomore

Why is Romney popular in the Live Free Or Die state?


26 posted on 10/23/2011 9:21:26 AM PDT by Lady Lucky
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To: COBOL2Java
Karl Rove told Greta that Cain's numbers were falling and cited Real Clear Politics as his source.

I've been watching RCP polling numbers every day (graphs also but the numbers that go with them) and have the screen shots to prove Cain has risen steadily to 26% and has never dropped.


27 posted on 10/23/2011 9:22:27 AM PDT by South40 (Heartless since 1957)
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To: justsaynomore

Where did you get these numbers? I don’t see some of these results cited anywhere. Here’s the latest from what I can find:

Latest South Carolina:
(Insider Advantage, 10/16, LV)
Herman Cain 32%
Mitt Romney 16%
Rick Perry 12%

Latest Nevada:
(Project New West, 9/25-9/27, LV)
Mitt Romney 31%
Herman Cain 26%
Rick Perry 12%
Newt Gingrich 7%

It looks like you may be mistaking the Nevada straw poll for an actual poll.


28 posted on 10/23/2011 9:25:07 AM PDT by MitchellC
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To: Carry_Okie
Please tell me that you're kidding. Please?

I made it up, but wouldn't be surprised if it did happen. Hannity constantly inviting "The Architect" [retch] on his show is one of the many reasons I stopped listening to him.

29 posted on 10/23/2011 9:26:59 AM PDT by COBOL2Java (Obama is the least qualified guy in whatever room he walks into.)
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To: Maelstorm

For the two cents it’s worth...

I don’t believe that Cain is a puzzle to the “establishment” at all. I think they know that if he’s elected, he would try to fix some of the inefficiencies of our government. “Establishment” types like the status-quo. A small change here and there is fine, but anything major is a threat to their money, power and/or influence.

Same thing with Ron Paul. The “establishment” has already branded Paul as a nutcase, and they’ll try to do the same thing with Cain.

I think that the “establishment” thinks people like Cain and Paul are a threat, not a puzzle. That’s why they must be marginalized.

Romney or Perry would be a safe choice for them. Yes, a President Perry or a President Romney would fight ObamaCare and pull back on some of Obama’s ruinous policies, but other than that, are they really going to change how DC works? I don’t think so.


30 posted on 10/23/2011 9:30:44 AM PDT by Laptop_Ron (The slippery slope is fastest at the bottom.)
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To: Lady Lucky
Why is Romney popular in the Live Free Or Die state?

Locusts from MA fleeing the high taxes and settling in NH. They bring their statist attitudes with them. Similar phenomenon happened with New Yorkers fleeing to Vermont.

31 posted on 10/23/2011 9:32:47 AM PDT by COBOL2Java (Obama is the least qualified guy in whatever room he walks into.)
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To: justsaynomore

Perry ahead is 1
Louisiana: Perry 23, Cain 21, Romney 17 - Perry +2

Louisiana used to be such a nice state. Now it is a liberal cess pool. Sad. Oh well I guess there has to be one stupid state. Get off your a$$ Louisiana and get on the Cain train NOW!!!!!


32 posted on 10/23/2011 9:34:33 AM PDT by napscoordinator
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To: COBOL2Java

Backstabbing cowardly leper Mitt Romney:
"Do your duty for me. Attack the woman and the black man.
You surrogates will embrace these attacks through the media,
as when you threw elections 2008 and 2010
to the DNC ….. for ME. FOR ME.
Create, then support, the most vicious anti-GOP attacks from our northern lands,
our bought media, and our plants within the Obama team.
I will gain GOP favor by condemning the very same attacks and
ordering them opposed from our lands in the south.
Whichever way the tide runs, we will arise and only I will be left standing.”

33 posted on 10/23/2011 9:35:41 AM PDT by Diogenesis ("Freedom is never more than one generation away from extinction. " Pres. Ronald Reagan)
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To: MitchellC

A Cain supporter put that together -

Here is my ongoing poll list for the month of October (NEWEST AT THE BOTTOM)

Perry Plummets, Cain Surges in Positive Intensity
http://www.gallup.com/poll/149924/Perry-Plummets-Cain-Surges-Positive-Intensity.aspx

CBS poll - Romney and Cain tied at 17%, Perry 12%
http://www.cbsnews.com/htdocs/pdf/TheRepublicanRace.pdf

Quinnipiac University - Romney gets 22%, Cain 17% and Perry 14%
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1295.xml?ReleaseID=1655

ABC poll - Romney 25%, Cain and Perry tied for 16%
http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/rick-perry-slips-herman-cain-rises-in-bid-for-gop-nomination-poll-finds/2011/10/03/gIQASiJiJL_story.html

National Federation of Republican Women
Herman Cain – 48.9%, Rick Perry – 14.1% Mitt Romney – 13.3%
http://www.nfrw.org/news/20111002.htm

TeaCon straw poll - Cain 77%
http://www.wbez.org/story/herman-cain-wins-tea-party-straw-poll-illinois-92729

PPP
North Carolina: Cain 27, Romney/Gingrich 17
Nebraska: Cain 30, Gingrich 16, Romney 13
West Virginia: Cain 24, Gingrich 18, Romney 16
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2011/10/cainmentum.html

Tea Party Nation poll
Herman Cain 44%, Gingrich 22%, Sarah Palin 9%
http://barrington-il.patch.com/blog_posts/herman-cain-wins-another-straw-poll

Herman Cain’s New Hampshire surge found in second poll
WMUR/UNH poll - Romney at 37%, Cain at 12% and Paul at 9%.
Mitt Romney 38%, Cain 20%, Ron Paul 13%
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1011/65543.html

Midwestern Leadership Conference
Cain 52.6%, Bachmann 12.2%, Romney 11.1%
http://dailycaller.com/2011/10/09/cain-dominates-midwestern-leadership-conference-straw-poll/

Gallup
Romney 20%, Cain 18%, Perry 15%
http://www.gallup.com/poll/149990/Cain-Surges-Nearly-Ties-Romney-Lead-GOP-Preferences.aspx

Washington Post-ABC News Poll
Among GOP leaning adults - 22%, 20%, 12%
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/polls/postabcpoll_100211.html

The poll found Cain topping Obama by a narrow 43%-41%, Cain gets 24% of the African-American respondents.
http://pollposition.com/2011/10/10/cain-edging-obama/

Cain Leads South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary
Cain 26%, Romney 25%, Perry 15%
http://americanresearchgroup.com/

Cain leads Iowa caucus
Cain has 30% to Mitt Romney’s 22%, Ron Paul’s 10%
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/iowa/

Cain leads National Poll
Cain 30%, Romney 22%, Gingrich 15%
www.businessinsider.com/shock-poll-herman-cain-leads-gop-nationally-2011-10

NBC/WSJ poll: Cain now leads GOP pack
Cain 27% Romney 23% Perry 16%
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/44881446/ns/politics-decision_2012/

Lightning strikes twice: Cain 27, Romney 23, Perry 16, Paul 11
http://hotair.com/archives/2011/10/12/lightning-strikes-twice-cain-27-romney-23-perry-16-paul-11/

Cain Leading GOP Field in Florida
http://www.sunshinestatenews.com/blog/herman-cain-leading-gop-2012-field-florida

Cain Leads GALLUP poll (Cain 23%; Romney/Perry at 18%)
http://www.gallup.com/poll/150134/Romney-Competitive-Top-GOP-Rivals-Among-Conservatives.aspx

Cain, not Romney, is now the favorite to win the GOP nomination
http://dailycaller.com/2011/10/11/cain-not-romney-is-now-the-favorite-to-win-the-gop-nomination/

Economist/YouGov poll (Herman Cain 33%, Mitt Romney 18%)
http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/20111011econToplines.pdf

Cain leads SC Republican Primary (Cain 32%, Romney 16%, Perry 12%)
http://chronicle.augusta.com/news/government/elections/2011-10-17/cain-leads-south-carolina-republican-primary-race?v=1318813096

Florida Times Union/Morris Poll (Romney 32%, Cain 30%, Gingrich 11.7%, Perry 2.9%, Paul 2.7%)
http://www.scribd.com/doc/69112295/Florida-Presidential-Poll-from-Morris-News

IBOPE Zogby Poll (Cain 45%, Romney 21%, Rick Perry 7%, Bachmann, 1%)
http://www.zogby.com/news/2011/10/17/ibope-zogby-poll-cain-continues-pull-away-perry-bachmann-fading/

PPP
Iowa: 26% Cain, 18% Romney, 12% Gingrich, 11% Bachmann, 10% Paul, 6% Perry, 1% Huntsman, 0% Santorum
New Hampshire: 39% Romney, 24% Cain, 11% Paul, 5% Bachmann, 5% Gingrich, 5% Huntsman, 2% Perry, 0% Santorum

Ohio poll: Cain takes lead in GOP presidential race (Cain 34 Romney 19)
http://www.daytondailynews.com/blogs/content/shared-gen/blogs/dayton/ohiopolitics/entries/2011/10/18/ohio_poll_cain_takes_lead_in_g.html

NBC News/Marist Poll 2012 South Carolina (Cain 30%, Romney 26%, Perry 9%, Gingrich 6%)
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2795021/posts

Azimuth Poll - Texas Primary (Cain 33%, Perry 18%, Romney 7%)
http://www.fontcraft.com/azimuth/?p=113

Cain leads Nevada GOP poll (Cain 31%, Romney 29%, Gingrich 20%, Paul 10%, Perry 4%)
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2011/oct/21/cain-tops-field-again-nevada-gop-straw-poll/

Illinois GOP Poll (Cain 23.4%, Romney 20.6%, Gingrich 7.6%, Perry 7.2%, Paul 6.6%)
http://illinoisreview.typepad.com/illinoisreview/2011/10/illinois-gop-voters-prefer-cain-in-siu-poll.html

IOWA - University of Iowa poll: Cain 37% Romney 27% Ron Paul 12% Perry 6%
http://news-releases.uiowa.edu/2011/october/102111Hawk%20Poll%20Topline.pdf

Civitas Poll: Cain Leads Obama in N.C. (46% to 41%)
http://www.nccivitas.org/2011/civitas-poll-cain-leads-obama-in-n-c/

Is Herman Cain’s 9-9-9 Proposal on the Right Track? (Only 10% of people have a negative view) 52K votes
http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2011/10/19/is-herman-cains-proposal-on-right-track/

O’Reilly Poll (Cain 60%, Romney 40%) 22K votes
http://www.foxnews.com/on-air/oreilly/2011/10/14/bill-oreilly-herman-cain-factor


34 posted on 10/23/2011 9:36:46 AM PDT by justsaynomore (Cain 2012 - http://teamcain.hermancain.com)
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To: justsaynomore

If Cain even gets close to Romney (much less beats him) in New Hampshire, Romney would be done for.


35 posted on 10/23/2011 9:44:30 AM PDT by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama = Epic Fail)
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To: MitchSouthFla.

That’s crazy talk, I don’t want Perry to quit, I want him to spend every cent he has to destroy Romney, clearing the way for a Cain landslide.


36 posted on 10/23/2011 9:45:45 AM PDT by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama = Epic Fail)
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To: justsaynomore
In the 2000 primary McCain won only the following 7 states vs Bush:

new hampshire
michigan
arizona
vermont
maryland
connecticut
rhode island

Romney should be expected to win all 7 of those, thus the way to judge Romney's true strength is to see how far ahead he is in those 7 states, and if he is ahead at all in the other 43.... when you look at it that way, you see how bad a position Romney is really in.

37 posted on 10/23/2011 9:49:30 AM PDT by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama = Epic Fail)
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To: justsaynomore
Texas: Cain 33, Paul 19, Perry 18 - Cain +14

Just dayum....

Even Ron Paul beats Perry at home. Give it up, Rick. It ain't happenin.

38 posted on 10/23/2011 9:54:32 AM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

I think Cain will win Arizona. His support there is huge right now, esp with the tea party.

He gave this barn burner of a speech this week
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2796593/posts


39 posted on 10/23/2011 10:05:31 AM PDT by justsaynomore (Cain 2012 - http://teamcain.hermancain.com)
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To: TexasFreeper2009
One talk show host out of Boston has noticed that even in NH, where
Romney has a place, he rarely can get even 40% support.

And he generally likes Romney, except for a couple of things,
RomneyCare, in particular.

40 posted on 10/23/2011 10:06:44 AM PDT by Calvin Locke
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