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In the key 2018 battlegrounds, Trump's support is as high as ever
Vox ^ | August 4, 2017 | Jeff Guo

Posted on 08/04/2017 10:52:21 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

Why Democrats can’t really crow about the president’s declining approval numbers.

Ever since Inauguration Day, the public’s faith in the president has been eroding. According to the latest Gallup surveys, only about 38 percent of Americans approve of Trump’s performance, which is down roughly 5 points from February. Vox’s own polling, conducted in partnership with SurveyMonkey, shows a similar drop — from 46 percent at the outset of his term to 41 percent in July.

For the president’s critics, these slipping approval numbers seem like vindication. They show that Americans aren’t blind to the disorder in the White House — that at least some Trump supporters are second-guessing their president.

But what does this mean in practical terms? American politics, by design, has never perfectly followed public opinion. After all, Trump never had a majority of Americans rooting for him. He won the Electoral College but lost the popular vote. What’s important isn’t his popularity nationwide but his approval rate in key parts of the country.

Democrats, for one, hope that the growing disenchantment with the president will translate into congressional victories come 2018. But according to an analysis of more than 50,000 respondents of Vox/SurveyMonkey polling, the prospects of a midterm Democratic surge still look shaky.

Most of the decline in Trump approval, it turns out, occurred in congressional districts that are already solidly red or solidly blue. In the closest Republican districts, opinions of the president haven’t budged at all over the past six months. Overall, Americans may be growing weary of Trump’s chaotic administration — but it seems the Americans who will matter the most politically next year have yet to change their minds.

Close Republican districts are an anomaly

Over the past six months, Vox and SurveyMonkey have been polling Americans about their opinions....

(Excerpt) Read more at vox.com ...


TOPICS: Campaign News; Polls; State and Local
KEYWORDS: 2018; 2018election; 2020; battlegroundstates; polls; trump

1 posted on 08/04/2017 10:52:21 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Low approval numbers for Trump are made up fake polls.

The media and Congress are pathetic.

Nobody buying their crap anymore.


2 posted on 08/04/2017 10:54:13 AM PDT by dforest
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To: dforest

What’s the support for the Democrats? It’s even lower.


3 posted on 08/04/2017 10:54:59 AM PDT by dfwgator
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Fake democrat news


4 posted on 08/04/2017 10:55:16 AM PDT by enumerated
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Lessons of the primary season - fake/made-up/manipulated polls. Pollsters who are interested in shaping public opinion, not accurately reporting it. Corrupt media.

Remember them.


5 posted on 08/04/2017 10:57:56 AM PDT by bigbob (People say believe half of what you see son and none of what you hear - M. Gaye)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

GOD HELP THE DEEP SEWER IF THEY TRY TO GET OUR PRESIDENT OUT OF OFFICE!!! Civil war II with ammo!!!


6 posted on 08/04/2017 11:00:42 AM PDT by RoseofTexas
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

We need to puck up some Democrat Senate seats!


7 posted on 08/04/2017 11:02:06 AM PDT by Lopeover (The 2016 Election is about allegiance to the United States!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
if e-vote and e-vote counting machines remain in use for the next presidential election, it's a given, Trump will be turned out, providing the DC swamp creatures have allowed him to live that long
8 posted on 08/04/2017 11:05:45 AM PDT by drypowder
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To: Lopeover

We need to dump the Amnesty Senators in 2018

Corker, Hatch and Flake all voted for Rubio’s amnesty

Cantorize them or they WILL vote for another amnesty


9 posted on 08/04/2017 11:05:56 AM PDT by Lurkinanloomin (Natural Born Citizen Means Born Here Of Citizen Parents - Know Islam, No Peace -No Islam, Know Peace)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

It very likely higher since these clowns like to skew their fake polls against Trump.


10 posted on 08/04/2017 11:24:18 AM PDT by Red Steel
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To: dfwgator
What’s the support for the Democrats? It’s even lower.

And Congress is at 14%.

They only thing to learn from this article is that after a year of merciless and unprecedented negative reporting, Trump is still likely to win re-election.

11 posted on 08/04/2017 11:25:27 AM PDT by Vince Ferrer
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To: Vince Ferrer

Those not all in for Trump lost. Think Heck/Ayotte. 2 more elections. Heller is looking at the same thing. We will have to make up those loses in red states.


12 posted on 08/04/2017 11:50:09 AM PDT by DIRTYSECRET (urope. Why do they put up with this.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

C’mon 2018. More Americans are becoming informed. HOORAY Americans.

DEPOPULATE criminals, conmen, collectivists, Clintons, deceivers, dirtbags, d’rats, liars, looters, marxists, morons, mohammedans, reprobates, rinos, repugnants, scumbags, socialists, tyrants and totalitarians from the body politic.

It’s easy to...

live - free - republic

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O7-Qa92Rzbk


13 posted on 08/04/2017 11:55:11 AM PDT by PGalt
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Oh noes. Let the pearl clutching begin 😱😱😱😱😱
14 posted on 08/04/2017 12:21:38 PM PDT by Nifster (I see puppy dogs in the clouds)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Subjective polls (e.g. Approval) have notoriously bad samples...over-sampling in easy to reach blue urban areas and under-sampling rural areas. This is because it’s much cheaper and there is no accuracy test for the results, like there would be in a presidential election. These are just noise at this point, pushing forward the agenda of the paying customer who initiated the poll.


15 posted on 08/04/2017 12:29:23 PM PDT by Mozzafiato
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Prior to November election, I was being polled 3-5 times a week...on a landline.

Since election: NOT ONE SINGLE CALL....These ‘polls’ are garbage. Someone is paying for phony data.


16 posted on 08/04/2017 12:44:02 PM PDT by ridesthemiles
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Give Vox credit where it counts, for running this story, even though they are massively left-wing.

So, good new for Trump. His hard-core supporters (like me) are holding tight. We have yet to be given a reason to dislike him...if anything, we only like him more (think Gorsuch, or real-men in the military, for example).


17 posted on 08/04/2017 1:47:36 PM PDT by BobL (In Honor of the NeverTrumpers, I declare myself as FR's first 'Imitation NeverTrumper')
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