Posted on 09/16/2016 8:26:44 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
An election analysis conducted in the Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project shows that the race has tightened considerably over the past few weeks, with Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump projected to win Florida, an essential battleground state, if the election were held today.
The project, which is based on a weekly tracking poll of more than 15,000 Americans, shows that the 2016 presidential race could end in a photo finish on Nov. 8, with the major-party candidates running nearly even in the Electoral College, the body that ultimately selects the president.
The States of the Nation project, which delivers a weekly tally of support for the candidates in every state, shows that the race has tightened in several traditional battlegrounds. Pennsylvania has been moved from a likely win for Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton to a tossup; Ohio has been moved from a tossup to a likely win for Clinton. And Florida is now considered a likely win for the Republican nominee, with 50 percent support for Trump to 46 percent support for Clinton....
(Excerpt) Read more at newsmax.com ...
Trump will take PA...
He will take WI and MI as well.. only IL and MN are states Hillary had any chances of retaining in the rust belt.
Trump is going to burn through their rust state firewall, and set the north east ablaze folks.
October the Dems will be scrambling in desperation just trying to hold onto states that none of them could even imagine would be in play.
I said it a long time ago, Hillary’s best possible performance was about 15 states and 180 EC votes... but her more likely scenario was about 10 states and 100-120 EC votes... and depending on how hard this election breaks Trump once the firewall is breached... She could be looking at a 1980ish route.
I think the only safe states for her honestly, are CA, WA, OR, MN and IL... I honestly thing anything else is very much in play.. I am not saying she will lose ever state except those... I am just saying that If I were in Hillary’s war room, I would have been telling her all election cycle, these are the ONLY states you can bet the farm on holding.. assume EVERYTHING, EVERYTHING, EVERYTHING ELSE you could lose.
You may be right, the latest IPSOS only has her up 3. So you very well could be right... but I am saying just from the start of the race where it was getting obvious Trump would be the nominee...
I would have been telling her from day one, those states were the only ones you could depend on... Obviously, could be something afoot there as well.
My general consensus at this point anyplace she’s up 5 or less on average she’s going to lose.. anyplace 5-10 is “IN PLAY”.
BS.
According to Reuters-Ipsos, Trump takes FL, Hillary wins OH and yet he’s down 4 - in their national poll?
Something doesn’t add up. Its not what we’ve seen on the ground since Labor Day.
Either Hillary never lost her lead or Reuters-Ipsos is manipulating party ID to make Hillary look better.
Take your pick.
Well I went deeper into Twitter land they are in panic mode....Someone kept screaming desperately STOPSTOPSTOP!! So I imagine it’s very VERY good for trump!! We’ll know soon!! They’re in DEFCON3..LOL! Whatever that means!!
Brandon Finnigan @B_M_Finnigan 2h2 hours ago
*wakes up*
*notices DMs*
*sees regional crosstabs*
*drinks*
*passes back out*
Was There any hint about PA?? The LOOOOONG knives or shall I say the Samurai swords are out to get trump!! There’s gonna be a lot of Kawasaki deaths among the Liberals on the night of November 8 when the mediawhores call it for trump.....WIN IT BABY... win it all the way to the White House! LOL!
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE |
Trump (R)
|
Clinton (D)
|
Johnson (L)
|
Stein (G)
|
Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 8/22 - 9/12 | -- | -- | 44.0 | 43.3 | 5.5 | 1.5 | Trump +0.7 |
| CNN/ORCCNN/ORC | 9/7 - 9/12 | 788 LV | 3.5 | 47 | 44 | 6 | 1 | Trump +3 |
| JMC AnalyticsJMC Analytics | 9/7 - 9/8 | 781 LV | 3.5 | 46 | 42 | 3 | 1 | Trump +4 |
| CBS News/YouGovCBS/YouGov | 9/7 - 9/9 | 1193 LV | 3.5 | 42 | 44 | 5 | 2 | Clinton +2 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 8/29 - 9/7 | 761 LV | 3.6 | 43 | 43 | 8 | 2 | Tie |
| PPP (D)PPP (D) | 9/4 - 9/6 | 744 LV | 3.6 | 44 | 43 | 5 | 1 | Trump +1 |
| Mason-DixonMason-Dixon | 8/22 - 8/24 | 625 LV | 4.0 | 42 | 44 | 6 | 2 | Clinton +2 |
All Florida: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein Polling Data
Was There any hint about PA??
***********
And Trump’s trend is up
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