Posted on 07/25/2016 10:12:30 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
(DATA-AND-CHARTS-AT-LINK)
Actually that is down to 53.7%. And trending.
BWAAHAHAHAHAHAH
Nope, that’s the “polls only forecast” when you go to all his secret sauce included forecast, He still has Clinton up nearly 60 (57.8% to be exact) which proves exactly what I am saying.
He either isn’t looking at, or improperly processing relevant data.
His inflection point on his secret sauce prediction won’t flip until far closer to election day no matter how bad Hillary is doing... he’s overweighing and over penalizing data points, because we are dealing with a disruptive election cycle.
Nope, that’s the “polls only forecast” when you go to all his secret sauce included forecast, He still has Clinton up nearly 60 (57.8% to be exact) which proves exactly what I am saying.
He either isn’t looking at, or improperly processing relevant data.
His inflection point on his secret sauce prediction won’t flip until far closer to election day no matter how bad Hillary is doing... he’s overweighting and over penalizing data points, because we are dealing with a disruptive election cycle.
“WOW that is a HUGE jump..just a few weeks ago I think he gave Trump a 10 percent chance of winning”
Indeed. This is almost unbelievable.
Can anyone recommend a good electoral college map site?
I’ve been to a few sites, and they all show Hillary winning all the battleground states, plus a few others Romney won last time.
We know the national polls recently show Trump narrowly ahead now, but as we all know, the election is really 51 separate elections, for electors to the electoral college.
That’s where state by state polls really would be useful.
Like this one site showed Mississippi and Georgia as battleground states, too close to call right now. It shows Pennsylvania for Hillary, when polls in that state show a tight race.
Heck if somehow Mississippi doesn’t go Republican, Trump andthe GOP would be in big trouble elsewhere as well.
I guess I’m saying, I would love to see a site, in which polls in each state are used, to predict the outcome in each state, not just a nationwide poll.
Who will win the presidency? (Trump 56.7%, Hillary 43.3% chance)
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-gop/3452767/posts
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