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To: HamiltonJay
Nate still has his prediction that Hillary will win at around 60%..

Actually that is down to 53.7%. And trending.

21 posted on 07/25/2016 11:27:33 AM PDT by Paradox (Opinions can evolve, but Principles should be immutable.)
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To: Paradox

Nope, that’s the “polls only forecast” when you go to all his secret sauce included forecast, He still has Clinton up nearly 60 (57.8% to be exact) which proves exactly what I am saying.

He either isn’t looking at, or improperly processing relevant data.

His inflection point on his secret sauce prediction won’t flip until far closer to election day no matter how bad Hillary is doing... he’s overweighing and over penalizing data points, because we are dealing with a disruptive election cycle.


23 posted on 07/25/2016 12:09:28 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: Paradox

Nope, that’s the “polls only forecast” when you go to all his secret sauce included forecast, He still has Clinton up nearly 60 (57.8% to be exact) which proves exactly what I am saying.

He either isn’t looking at, or improperly processing relevant data.

His inflection point on his secret sauce prediction won’t flip until far closer to election day no matter how bad Hillary is doing... he’s overweighting and over penalizing data points, because we are dealing with a disruptive election cycle.


24 posted on 07/25/2016 12:09:57 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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