Posted on 04/04/2016 5:43:56 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
BOSTON, MA – Bernie Sanders is now 8 points ahead of Hillary Clinton, (51% to 43) in the Badger State, where two weeks ago he was six points down (50%-44%) to the former Secretary of State. In the GOP race, Cruz is now five points ahead of Donald Trump (40% to 35%) with John Kasich at 21%. Two weeks ago, Cruz had a 1 point lead over Trump (36%-35%). If Cruz is the primary winner, he will win 15 delegates, Cruz is also ahead in five of the eight congressional districts where three delegates will be awarded to the winner of each district. Trump is ahead in the third district 49%-24%, while the second and fourth districts appear to be toss-ups between all three of the candidates. Trump continues to struggle with likely GOP primary voters with a 43% to 53% favorable to unfavorable rating. Cruz and Kasich are viewed much more favorable among primary voters: Cruz 58%-38% and Kasich - 69%-24% favorable to unfavorable ratings. Cruz enjoys a 7 point lead among males over Trump 43% to 36% and Kasich 16%. Cruz holds a 3 point lead among women 35% to 32%, with Kasich at 28%. The poll suggests that among those voting in the GOP primary - 57% will be Republicans and 37% Independents. Among this GOP voting group, Cruz leads among Republicans 46% to 31% for Trump, and 17% for Kasich. Independents break for Trump 37% to 34% with Kasich at 28%. In contrast, both Sanders and Clinton hold very high favorable rating among likely Democrat voters with Sanders at 83% and Clinton at 70%. The poll suggests that the open Democrat primary will consists of 68% of registered Democrats and 28% Independents. Clinton leads Sanders 50%-45% among registered Democrats but trails Sanders 62% to 32% among Independents. Early voting also favors Sanders 52% to 38%. Sanders leads Clinton 68% to 22% in the 18-34 age group and 57% to 38% among voters 35-54. Clinton bounces back with voters 55-74 by 11 points (54% to 43%) and maintains her strongest edge with voters over 75, 72% to 21%. Sanders has extended his lead amongst men from 51% to 43% in ECPS previous poll to 59% to 36%, while cutting into the women’s vote for Clinton, now trailing by only 3 points 48% to 45%. Sander’s has solidified his support across the state losing only in the fourth congressional district. With the delegate counts becoming clearer, ECPS gauged the GOP electorate’s attitude towards the idea of a brokered convention. Some candidates have stated that the believe the nomination should go to the leader in the delegate count come convention time, while others endorse the standard delegate selection process of a brokered convention currently being used by the GOP. Overall, Republican respondents appear to be split exactly down the middle, 50% supporting the leading candidate being given the nomination and 50% supporting the brokered convention system. Ninety-four percent (94%) of those in favor of a majority leader being the GOP nominee were supporters of Donald Trump. Of those in support of a brokered convention, 71% were supporters of Cruz, 80% were supporters of Kasich, only 6% are supporters of Trump. In hypothetical general election match ups, Clinton leads Trump 47% to 37% and leads Cruz 46% to 43%, Kasich leads Clinton 52% to 38%. Sanders lead Trump 51% to 37% and Cruz 50% to 41%. In the Wisconsin US Senate race, Russ Feingold holds a 48% to 44% lead over Ron Johnson. Caller ID The Emerson College Polling Society poll was conducted from March 30- April 3, 2016. The GOP primary consisted of 549 likely primary voters, with a margin of error of +/- 4.1%, and the Democratic primary consisted of 542 likely primary voters, with a margin of error of +/-4.2%. The General Election sample consisted of 1,198 likely general election voters, with a margin of error of +/-2.8%. Data was collected using an Interactive Voice Response (IVR) system of landlines only and the general election was weighted by 2012 federal general election returns, the Democrat primary was weighted by age, the GOP primary was not weighted. The full methodology and results can be found at www.theecps.com.
This is an old poll. Things have changed.
Trump 2016!
That ARG poll must have you really agitated tonight. Reposting the Emerson poll again? You’ve been on Cruz propganda overdrive tonight.
It came out today.
Paragraphs are your friend.
“It came out today”
Ok, so Cruz is dropping fast from 10 up to now only 5 up. TRUMP IS “SURGING”!
not enough chalk.
Looks like a tragic plane crash in Bernie's short future.
When he wins tomorrow how would you like me to phrase my “I told you so”?
With a bullet hole uh, er, pitot tube injury to his cranium...
“You’ve been on Cruz propaganda overdrive tonight.”
Not just then, 2ndDivisionVet is always on “Cruz propaganda overdrive”.
I hope he and the other Cruz supporters, who are well intentioned, but have been taken in by the Cruz conservative pretense, wake up and realize that Cruz is either too naïve, or he is willingly the tool of the GOPe, who want to stop Trump, but don’t want Cruz either.
And the GOPe made a deal with the Dems for a Hillaey presidency.
Tech billionaires (major Dem donors) plot with GOP leaders at exclusive island resort to stop Trump
I took a looked at this Emerson poll earlier. It’s very very light on specifics.
Beauty Queen with Terminal Illness Pleads with WI Voters to Vote for Donald Trump (4-4-16)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U9zUwVEXZWI
Donald Trump Emotional Moment with Former Miss Wisconsin (3-29-16)
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3415371/posts
Clinton wonk on CNN was saying that if Bernie doesn’t get 60% in Wisconsin, he should WITHDRAW.
They must know that Hillary will lose tomorrow, and are trying to raise the bar so they can call a loss “Victory!!”
Hoping ARG is on target again like they were for NH & SC!! I’m a lifelong dem in MD (almost 56) and recently changed to GOP so I can vote for Trump April 26. Praying Wisconsin essentially eliminates Cruz & drastically curtails all this insane contested convention cacophony!!
Cruz can’t win enough delegates to reach 1237.
He should bow out or else he’ll destroy whatever chance there is to win in November.
If he continues on this path after he’s been MATHEMATICALLY ELIMINATED from winning 1237 on April 26th, then he’s on a suicidal mission to destroy our chances of beating the EASTABLISHMENT and the RATS!
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