Posted on 10/11/2015 12:52:25 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Texas Senator Ted Cruzs presidential campaign raised $12.2 million in the third quarter, more than twice as much as the $6 million that Florida Senator Marco Rubio brought in during the same period.
Cruzs campaign said it took in 184,800 donations in the third quarter, the average coming in at $66, bringing the total Cruz has raised since launching his presidential bid to $26.5 million.
We are thrilled to see a grassroots wave of support for our campaign gaining momentum all over the country, Cruz said in a statement Thursday night. Not only are we seeing a surge of new donors and recurring donors to our campaign, but also continued growth of our organizations in the early states and all across the country.
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Within Republican circles, attitudes about his viability have begun to change. Even strategists associated with some of Cruzs rivals acknowledge that, in a historically crowded field, he may be one of the last men standing. Hes got a long way to go, but unlike some of these guys, he has a coherent strategy, he has a lot of money, he has a pretty consistent message, and hes not making mistakes, says a top Republican strategist allied with Florida senator Marco Rubio. Hes running a good campaign.
The campaign has been getting in position for a long time. Steve Deace, an Iowa-based talk-radio host who has endorsed Cruz, says that as far back as August of 2013, Cruz was asking him to set up meetings with top Iowa activists. Now, Deace says, the Texas senator has the best [Iowa] organization Ive ever seen, composed of the sort of dedicated activists who put Rick Santorum over the finish line four years ago.
Cruz also has a plan beyond Iowa. He has referred to the March 1 SEC primary, in which eight Southern states go to the polls, as his firewall: that is, a backstop against whatever losses he might sustain beforehand. This year, these Southern states will go to the polls before Florida and before the traditional Super Tuesday, a change in the primary calendar instituted by RNC chairman Reince Priebus. Most of those contests, unlike the ones that precede them, are not winner-take-all, and Cruzs goal is to win the most delegates rather than to take entire states
Hes in an incredibly strong position, says David Bossie, the president of the conservative activist group Citizens United. If Ted Cruz does not win the nomination, he is gonna come back to the United States Senate as the most powerful senator, even without the title of majority leader.
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Republican presidential candidate and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz has said that he sees himself taking Donald Trumps support after Trump eventually leaves the race. But theres another key part of Cruzs strategy to steal other peoples votes out from under them, and thats to make an appeal to the libertarians who have generally been supporting Sen. Rand Paul
Cruzs comments seemed to contain an implicit criticism of Pauls wavering on some issues important to libertarians and his working relationship with Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell.
In this election cycle, there are a lot of candidates who are running as outsiders, a lot of candidates who are saying they will stand up and fight Washington, Cruz said. I think thats fantastic but it leads to the natural next question: OK, what is your record? When have you actually stood up and fought Washington?
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Our theory has always been that you need to crush your bracket first in order to advance, Rick Tyler, a Cruz spokesperson, said, comparing the primary slog to the annual college basketball tournament
Tyler sees the GOP primary electorate as four distinct brackets of voters libertarian, evangelical, Tea Party, and establishment candidates and its clear that Cruz continues to make a play for all but the latter
Cruz has already made a strong play for the evangelical and Tea Party blocs jumping into the race as a Tea Party favorite, he immediately made a play for Christian conservative voters with an announcement from the evangelical Liberty University
If you look at where the Carson vote goes, the Huckabee vote eventually goes, the [Rick] Santorum vote, or the Rand Paul vote eventually goes, Cruz is very well positioned to be the default choice of supporters of a lot of other candidates, said Matt Mackowiak, an Austin-based GOP strategist.
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All presidential campaigns aspire to favorably change the composition of the electorate. Cruz aims to substantially reconfigure the electorate as it has recently been
Nonvoting whites, especially those without college experience, are among Cruzs principal targets. His geniality toward Donald Trump reflects the Cruz campaigns estimate that perhaps one-third of the Trumpkins have not voted in recent elections. If so, Trump is doing downfield blocking for Cruz, beginning the expansion of the 2016 electorate by energizing people whose alienation from politics has made them nonvoters.
Cycle after cycle, says Johnson, the percentage of true swing voters shrinks. Therefore, so does the persuadable portion of the electorate. Cruz aims to leaven the electorate with people who, disappointed by economic stagnation and discouraging cultural trends for which Republican nominees seemed to have no answers, have been dormant during recent cycles.
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Cruz is working the most distant corners of the political map, courting Republicans in the farthest-flung U.S. territories in an attempt to meet the requirements of Republican National Committee rule No. 40 (b), an obscure provision that currently stipulates that in order to receive the nomination, a candidate must win majorities of delegates in eight states or territories
Whether youre getting Texas, Michigan and Ohio, or the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico and American Samoa, each has an equal voice when it comes to nominating candidates to put them on the ballot at the convention, said Saul Anuzis, the former chairman of the Michigan Republican Party, who is advising the Cruz campaign on territory outreach and delegate counts, and helped orchestrate a recent trip to the Virgin Islands for Cruzs father, Rafael
[Cruz is] trying very hard, and frankly, when someone sends someone out here, were out in the islands, were so far away, we really appreciate that, noted Philip Flores, an influential Guam Republican and president of the Bank of the Pacific, who met with Cruz emissary Lennox.
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The problem is that his strategy is a long shot. It basically calls for Cruz to muddle through the early contests and then kick into gear a month later when Southern states head to the polls in March. And by then, it might be too late for a Cruz surge.
If it works, everyone will say its brilliant, says Craig Robinson, a Republican strategist in Iowa. But if it fails, I think this could be looked back on as the colossal mistake his campaign made.
The campaigns assumption is that Cruzs Southern firewall will hold up if he doesnt have a strong performance in the early states of Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Nevada. Yet that may be more a wish than a calculation. As Robinson points out, those early contests will produce winners and losersand that may well do much to shape the polls and the contours of the contests to come. If Cruz doesnt have a strong showing in these states, its hard to imagine his firewall appearing on March 1
Robinson suggests that if Cruz wants his rivals to implode, he might have to start explicitly attacking candidates in his brackets, such as Carson, who has a strong presence in Iowa and major support among the evangelical voters whom Cruz needs. Instead, Cruz is acting like a front-runner, setting up a firewall and avoiding direct clashes with his primary rivals.
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Will Ted Cruz pick up Trumps supporters if the mogul starts to fade? Many, if not most, reporters seem to think so. Cruz himself may think so. The data, however, strongly suggest this a fools errand.
As Ive written elsewhere (here, most recently), Trump supporters come from all factions of the GOP. Indeed, most polls show that Trump runs better among self-described moderates than among very conservative voters
Cruz is wildly popular among Tea Partiers (73-12) and very conservative voters (78-10). He is not popular with voters not part of the Tea Party (42-39). Most importantly, he is loathed by moderates. Only 18 percent of moderates have a favorable opinion of Ted Cruz; 62 percent have an unfavorable opinion of him
Cruz has based his entire career on the premise that very conservative voters are the ignored majority among Republicans. That may be true in the Republican South, but it is not true nationally. The very image that draws many Republicans to him repels or annoys a larger number. To put it in terms he might understand, a majority of Republican voters have more in common with Mitch McConnell than with him. Until he realizes that and does something to make those voters like him, Cruz will remain a polarizing figure who has no chance to become the nominee, let alone President.
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Its possible, just possible, that the final battle to become the 2016 GOP standard-bearer will come down to a pair of first-generation Cuban-American, first-term senators. Yes, Im talking about the same Republican Party that has proven so incompetent in reaching out to Hispanic voters that it followed up its 2012 post-mortem determination to get better at it by, arguably, getting worse. Not that a final showdown between Sens. Ted Cruz of Texas and Marco Rubio of Florida will necessarily help on that score, but more on that later
Maybe this is the year that an outsider upends the system and the political laws of physics stop working, but I feel safe betting that this years outsiders will join the likes of Herman Cain, Wes Clark, Steve Forbes, Pat Buchanan and Pat Robertson as notable also-rans. But the Trump-Carson-Fiorina axis does illustrate that the angry, anti-establishment section of the GOP electorate is alive and well. And each of the last four sets of contested Republican primaries (going back as far as 1996, when Pat Buchanan won New Hampshire and exhorted his supporters to mount up and ride to the sound of the guns) has boiled down to an anti-establishment candidate against an establishmentarian. So where do the disaffected GOP voters go?
Of the potential anti-establishmentarians, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee had his turn as last-outsider-standing in 2008 and former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum had his in 2012. Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul took time out of his presidential campaign this week to work on his simultaneous senatorial re-election while one of his super PACs abandoned him. Who does that leave? Cruz, who has been auditioning for the role since he joined the Senate, has transparently positioned himself to scoop up the angry Trump voters when he folds and also has a bigger share in the average of polls (6.2 percent) as Huckabee (3), Paul (2.3) and Santorum (0.5) combined. If theres an anti-establishment establishment, Cruz is its candidate
Rubio versus Cruz would set up a striking optimism-versus-anger choice of the GOP.
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If we look at traditional campaign data, which under the smoke and veneer of Campaign 2016 still matters, what we will find is that Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) 100% is laying down a hell of a ground game and has tons of cash with not nearly the burn rate that even Jeb Bush has. Cruz stands to profit the most from the collapse of Carson, Fiorina, and Trump all of whom are playing on the outsider advantages right now. Those advantages will start to go away as more traditional and necessary campaign tactics and strategies kick in like, for example, ballot access
While conservatives will gravitate rapidly to Cruz, the more establishment oriented people who recognize the party still needs a fresh face and chage will likely go to Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) 92%. Already Im hearing that both Walker and Bush donors are looking at Rubio as their next pick. Rubio has the highest positives of any of the candidates and is, in fact, the one Republican that the Democrats desperately fear because of his perceived ability to attract women, young voters, and Hispanics
Theres still a lot that could change. But right now to me it looks like we are headed toward a Cruz vs. Rubio primary and, given how well the outsiders are doing currently, Cruz has a slight advantage.
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(VIDEO-AT-LINK)
Ronald Reagan would characterize those "insults and rebuttals" differently:
With all this horse****, I know theres a pony here someplace.
I own a bar and I talk to people all the time. Before Trump I was leaning Cruz or maybe Paul but I knew the NBC issue was going to hurt Cruz I just did not know how badly so I asked my customers about Cruz. A lot (low information voters) hardly knew anything about him so they had no opinion. But to the man the folks that knew Cruz all said he was ineligible. This is Texas so that is not good.
I was still backing him but then Trump got in the race and made my number 1 issue (illegal) immigration his number 1 issue so I switched to Trump.
I'm happy I switched Cruz has made some bad calls Patriot Act, TPA primarily. Trump may not get things right at first but other then the Kim Davis (queer marriage) thing he usually comes around.
Amnesty and Corruption will be key issues
Let’s take “amnesty” ;The only guy in this race who has been against amnesty and offered a method of ending it from the start has been Santorum. When Levin had him on his show this past week. Santorum charged ;”Trump is all over the place on his positions”. When Levin asked Santorum if he was going after just Trump on the question. Santorum responded; “None of the announced candidates are against “amnesty” except myself because I don’t really know where Trump stands because he’s changed his positions on it., Implying he wouldn’t claim he was the only candidate taking that position if Trump hadn’t changed his ..
What Santorum didn’t mention was also Trump’s position on accepting “Syrian refugees” which from the outset was let them in. But changed to; After Walker came out with “No, we got enough problems” which went ignored because Trump had such broad media coverage , Two days later. Trump took the same position, then expanded on it He’s done the same on Russian involvement in Syria. This should be a problem for Trump supporters as it proves to be for them to consider other candidates in this race..
Now let take the EX-IM bank issue; Here us where Cruz really shines. But it could have gotten buried on the weekend the story broke. Because that’s the weekend Trump went after Walker which had the media all over his attack. If it weren’t for the rare Sunday senate session and the Cruz filibuster exposing the corruption and cronyism involved with the Export Import bank there’s a good chance nobody would know about it. Or the raw courage it took for Cruz to do so.
Only a small percentage really turn out to attend these lenghty wintertime caucus meets. Both have worked besieged christian groups. Despite whatever polling results show now both will be there. And of these two one will come in 1st and the other 2nd come March.
If you look at where the Carson vote goes, the Huckabee vote eventually goes, the [Rick] Santorum vote, or the Rand Paul vote eventually goes, Cruz is very well positioned to be the default choice of supporters of a lot of other candidates, said Matt Mackowiak, an Austin-based GOP strategist.
Shhh, they are giving away the strategy.
“To put it in terms he might understand, a majority of Republican voters have more in common with Mitch McConnell than with him.”
Author does not provide evidence.
Therefore, I think he shows his bias, says what he believes to be true rather than what actually is true. McConnell’s approval numbers among republicans cannot be very high.
“Republican presidential candidate and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz has said that he sees himself taking Donald Trumps support after Trump eventually leaves the race.”
This is purely wishful thinking. I like Ted Cruz but he was polling poorly before Trump got in the race and he is still polling poorly. Under what assumption does Ted Cruz think the strong frontrunner is going to leave the race? Just suddenly the ground will shake and all Trump supporters will change their minds and go with Cruz? That is not going to happen.
Is Ted Cruz a natural-born citizen eligible to serve as president? [Yes! And I support him! JimRob]
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3084490/posts
Yes Ted Cruz Is Eligible To Be President
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/3054472/posts
Report: Ted Cruz could ride Tea Party support to White House [birther trolls stay out! JimRob]
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3086488/posts
You, by definition, are a birther troll.
Ted Cruz is not just “ mudding “ through the early contests as this article has stated.
Ted Cruz is running a strong ground game also in Iowa and South Carrolina.
See my tagline.
It’s called not having confidence in their product that Donald TRUMP will go all the way, why else would they belittle Ted Cruz ?
They know deep inside their consciences that there is always a possibility that Donald Trump will fade and not be the nominee, that is what nags them.
For the most part you don’t see most of the Ted Cruz supporters panicing.
And if they are they were never in the Ted Cruz camp anyway, but fence sitters.
So, you’re looking for another Obama?
Herd Brained Mentality low information Voters who do not take the time to vet their candidate or could careless because he talks a good game and is popular.
They are being used as a tool of fools, pawns, Trump is pulling their chains to get a desired effect.
The carpet will be pulled from under them soon enough where there will be gnashing of teeth and waling.
What they seem to ignore is that many of Trump’s supporters have come on over from the Hillary Clinton camp and will soon willingly go back over to whom ever they agree upon who will be the DNC front runner.
The “ Moderates “ and Democrats have gravitated towards Donald Trump.
Wake the heck up people, you are being played like a fiddle.
Donald Trump is using them as pawns, pulling their chains and it’s working.
I guess many will avoild reading the warning signs or even ignore Red Flags and proceed to go over a washed out bridge to their determent.
The Herd Brained Mentality..... Proceed at all costs...
Because back in their subconscious there is a nagging feeling that they are not totally confident in their product and that there is a remote possibility that their candidate is a ready made primetime ShowHost candidate that might just fizzle out.
He doesn’t have much skin in this game only spending $ 2 million so far.
That doesn’t bother me. I’m not interested in electing a Washington insider who is buddy-buddy with the establishment anyway. If you take that position, then I’d imagine someone like Lindsey Graham would look the most appealing to you.
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#18 good, informative post.
Ted Cruz has MOMENTUM on his side, and that is a huge factor in winning a race.
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