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Southward shift: As Christianity fades in the West, "mission field" churches rise to defend faith
WORLD ^ | 7/26/03 | Gene Edward Veith

Posted on 07/24/2003 8:39:47 PM PDT by rhema

Christianity is growing at a rate that is nearly unparalleled in the history of the church. Yet this growth is primarily taking place in cultures that have not previously been Christian at all. In historically Christian societies, where for centuries upon centuries the church has thrived, Christianity seems to be fading.

In 1900, according to statistics from the website of the mission organization Synergos, Western Europe was home t0 more than 70 percent of the world's professing Christians. Today, that figure has shrunk to 28 percent. In 2025, it is projected that only about one in five of the world's Christians will be Europeans. North America had just over one in 10 of the world's Christians at the beginning of the last century. By 2025, for all of the megachurches and church-growth techniques—which seem mainly to draw on people who are already Christians, taking them from small congregations to bigger ones—the percentage is projected to decline slightly.

Conversely, in 1900, just 1.7 percent of the world's Christians lived in Africa. Today, that figure is nearly 18 percent, and it is projected by 2025 to rise to more than 25 percent. That is to say, there will be substantially more Christians in Africa than in Europe.

Asia is experiencing similar growth. In 1900 it was home to 3.7 percent of the world's Christians, but by 2025, the share of Christians living in Asia is projected to equal the share in Europe, with slightly more than 20 percent. Latin America is projected to be home to just under a quarter of the world's Christians.

This phenomenon is being called the "southward shift of Christianity," as the center of gravity for Christianity shifts from the Northern to the Southern Hemisphere. This is a tale of great receptiveness to the faith on what used to be called "the mission field," but it is also a tale of decline among the nations that used to send most missionaries.

This is evident in the 1990-1991 and 1995-1997 World Values survey, which studied church attendance. In England, the percentage of citizens who are in church on any given Sunday is 27 percent. West Germany has a church-going rate of 14 percent. In Denmark and Norway, only 5 percent bother to get up on Sunday morning. In Sweden, Iceland, and Finland, only 4 percent go to church.

This decline is directly attributable to the theological liberalism of the once-powerful state churches. In countries with churches that remain conservative, attendance is high. In the United States, where evangelical and conservative churches outpace the mainline liberal denominations, a relatively robust 44 percent of the population goes to church on a typical Sunday.

But even in Europe, several countries still have extraordinarily high church attendance. In Ireland, the percentage of the population that can be found in church every Sunday is no less than 84 percent. In Poland, over half—55 percent—go to church. In Portugal, the church-going rate is 47 percent. And in sophisticated, secularized Italy, 45 percent go to church, slightly more than in the United States.

These are Catholic countries where the church has remained conservative. Catholic churches that have gone liberal—in the United States, France, the Netherlands—have the same low attendance rate as liberal Protestants.

And it is not modernist, liberal Christianity that is sweeping through the Southern Hemisphere, but a Christianity in which the gospel is proclaimed, that believes God's Word, that refuses to conform to the world.

In fact, the so-called "Third World" churches are now standing up for orthodox Christianity against the Europeans and Americans. This is dramatically unfolding in the worldwide Anglican Communion. At last year's world Anglican conference in Lambeth, the British and American bishops pushed for a proposal to change the church's teachings on sexual morality, only to be outvoted by the bishops of Africa and Asia.

Now the battle has intensified. American Episcopalians in New Hampshire have voted in a new bishop who left his wife and child for a homosexual lover, and the Anglicans of Canada have approved same-sex marriages.

The Anglican archbishop of Nigeria, Peter Akinola—whose 17 million members outnumber those of England, Canada, and America combined—will have none of that. He has declared that churches that disobey the Bible's teachings about sexuality are heretical and that he will withdraw fellowship from any such Anglican church. Other bishops from Africa, Asia, and Australia have joined him.

The southward shift is good news for the cause of conservative Christianity. It is amusing to watch left-wing European and American multiculturalist theologians stand accused of racism, imperialism, and cultural insensitivity for imposing their modern values on cultures that do not share them. What we need now are missionaries from Africa to convert the heathen in Europe and America.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial
KEYWORDS: catholiclist; christianity; evangelism; faith; missionfield; thewest
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1 posted on 07/24/2003 8:39:47 PM PDT by rhema
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To: rhema
Ted Kennedy didn't expect this when he opened America up to massive third world immigration. The Christians coming to America are more conservative than those born here.
2 posted on 07/24/2003 8:45:07 PM PDT by DPB101
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To: rhema
Due to the rise of Catholic Christians in Africa and Asia, it makes sense to have an African or an Asian for the next pope. If whitey is turning his back on Christianity -- or the market for whitey just isn't having any growth, then the Church might as well appoint someone who can help grow the Church. An African or Asian could do just this.
3 posted on 07/24/2003 8:51:01 PM PDT by xrp
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To: rhema
Sorry, but the reason for church attendance declines is not theological liberalism. The causation is wrong. Theologically conservatiove churches draw high interest...from people receptive to conservative theology. Religion follows the market. Churches bend left mostly because the people's beliefs trend liberal on theology in prosperous countries. The second important factor is that people who become preachers and priests are not a random cross-section of society. These are people who are drawn to "helping" professions. They are significantly more left-wing than the general population, and drag their theologies left too.
4 posted on 07/24/2003 8:54:42 PM PDT by maro
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To: DPB101
Most of the really significant events in this world happen under the radar of the hero of Chappaquiddick and his ilk. As always, they are most wrong in that of which they are most certain.
5 posted on 07/24/2003 8:54:53 PM PDT by thulldud (It's bad luck to be superstitious.)
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To: DPB101
Exactly. We are relatively fortunate in our immigrants. Europe will be overrun by Muslims, the U.S. by Catholic Hispanics who share many of our values and are social conservatives.

South America has a poor record of self-governance. Most countries have oscillated between right-wing dictators and left-wing dictators. Most have mismanaged their economies. But compared to the situation among Arab Muslims, it looks pretty rosy.

The other solution, of course, would be for Americans not to abort themselves into a minority. But that doesn't seem to be in the cards.
6 posted on 07/24/2003 8:56:34 PM PDT by Cicero (Marcus Tullius)
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To: maro
Sorry, but the reason for church attendance declines is not theological liberalism.

Then explain why the (generally very liberal) oldline Protestant churches have all experienced massive dropoffs in membership over the last 40 years.

And why evangelical denominations have conversely done very well?

7 posted on 07/24/2003 8:58:14 PM PDT by The Iguana
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To: maro
I don't think the facts support you. Conservative dioceses in the United States have done relatively better than liberal dioceses. Most new priests come out of a few dioceses where the bishops are loyal to the faith.

Catholics in America didn't necessarily choose dissent. It was forced on them by the usual gang of leftists who seized the levers of power, just as they have done in the universities and the media. These leftists are now aging, and hopefully matters will improve in the future.
8 posted on 07/24/2003 8:59:48 PM PDT by Cicero (Marcus Tullius)
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To: Cicero; GatorGirl; maryz; *Catholic_list; afraidfortherepublic; Antoninus; Aquinasfan; Askel5; ...
Ping.
9 posted on 07/24/2003 9:01:30 PM PDT by narses ("The do-it-yourself Mass is ended. Go in peace" Francis Carindal Arinze of Nigeria)
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To: rhema
Western Europe was home t0 more than 70 percent of the world's professing Christians. Today, that figure has shrunk to 28 percent.

QUESTION: Of that 28%, what % is Catholic? (a protestant asking).
Not to get into a Catholic/Protestant debate, but IMO, not counting most Catholics as Christian (now be nice), if the % is high like I think it is, then there are VERY FEW Christians left in Europe. Very few.

One of our US Bible College's affiliate schools was in Portugal, but just recently closed down. Why? Because the country is almost 100% Catholic, and they didn't have any interest in the Grace message taught at our school. Some missionaries/teachers remained to help at an orphanage, otherwise, they shook the dust off their shoes and left the country.

10 posted on 07/24/2003 9:10:00 PM PDT by bets
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To: rhema
Bump for later
11 posted on 07/24/2003 9:16:03 PM PDT by cpprfld (Who said accountants are boring?)
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To: rhema
The two countries in Europe where Americans are most popular (according to polls) are Ireland and Poland. Both are Catholic countries with relatively high church attendance. Maybe a coincidence but an interesting corollary.
12 posted on 07/24/2003 9:52:35 PM PDT by Malesherbes
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To: rhema
SITREP
13 posted on 07/24/2003 10:51:35 PM PDT by LiteKeeper
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To: rhema
Rest in peace Bill Bright!

Well done ... good and faithful servant!
14 posted on 07/24/2003 10:54:14 PM PDT by bonesmccoy (Defeat the terrorists... Vaccinate!)
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To: bets; Cicero
From The Atlantic Monthy The Next Christianity
In the global South (the areas that we often think of primarily as the Third World) huge and growing Christian populations—currently 480 million in Latin America, 360 million in Africa, and 313 million in Asia, compared with 260 million in North America. . .

Today across the global South a rising religious fervor is coinciding with declining autonomy for nation-states, making useful an analogy with the medieval concept of Christendom—the Res Publica Christiana—as an overarching source of unity and a focus of loyalty transcending mere kingdoms or empires. . .

By mid-century the global total of Anglicans could approach 150 million, of whom only a small minority will be white Europeans or North Americans . . .

Africa had about 16 million Catholics in the early 1950s; it has 120 million today, and is expected to have 228 million by 2025. The World Christian Encyclopedia suggests that by 2025 almost three quarters of all Catholics will be found in Africa, Asia, and Latin America. The likely map of twenty-first-century Catholicism represents an unmistakable legacy of the Counter-Reformation and its global missionary ventures . . .

Of the 18 million Catholic baptisms recorded in 1998, eight million took place in Central and South America, three million in Africa, and just under three million in Asia. (In other words, these three regions already account for more than three quarters of all Catholic baptisms.) The annual baptism total for the Philippines is higher than the totals for Italy, France, Spain, and Poland combined. The number of Filipino Catholics could grow to 90 million by 2025, and perhaps to 130 million by 2050 . . .

Though Pentecostalism emerged as a movement only at the start of the twentieth century, chiefly in North America, Pentecostals today are at least 400 million strong, and heavily concentrated in the global South. By 2040 or so there could be as many as a billion, at which point Pentecostal Christians alone will far outnumber the world's Buddhists and will enjoy rough numerical parity with the world's Hindus . . .


15 posted on 07/24/2003 11:19:18 PM PDT by DPB101
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To: Malesherbes
Good observation in post 12.

"But even in Europe, several countries still have extraordinarily high church attendance. In Ireland, the percentage of the population that can be found in church every Sunday is no less than 84 percent. In Poland, over half—55 percent—go to church. In Portugal, the church-going rate is 47 percent. And in sophisticated, secularized Italy, 45 percent go to church, slightly more than in the United States."

Ireland is, of course, part of the UK, which supported the war in Iraq.
Portugal supported the war in Iraq.
Italy supported the war in Iraq.
Poland not only supported the war, but directly participated.

16 posted on 07/25/2003 12:28:51 AM PDT by Bonaparte
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To: Cicero
Europe will be overrun by Muslims, the U.S. by Catholic Hispanics who share many of our values and are social conservatives.

Like Catholic Mexico where there are more abortions per year than in the United States?

17 posted on 07/25/2003 1:15:09 AM PDT by superloser
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To: Bonaparte
Ireland is, of course, part of the UK

Not really. Ireland is its own republic of sorts. They negotiated out a rather interesting "independence" from England. Do a web search on Michael Collins for more information.

18 posted on 07/25/2003 1:17:26 AM PDT by superloser
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To: rhema
In England, the percentage of citizens who are in church on any given Sunday is 27 percent

Gack! It's much lower that that, I would be surprised if 5%, and most of those are senior citizens.

19 posted on 07/25/2003 1:24:05 AM PDT by alnitak ("That kid's about as sharp as a pound of wet liver" - Foghorn Leghorn)
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To: BibChr; logos
BTTT
20 posted on 07/25/2003 5:33:26 AM PDT by rhema
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