Posted on 11/08/2022 8:49:00 AM PST by PermaRag
Post your final election predictions here. U.S. House, Senate, Governors, any other races you like.
Senate: The most likely reasonable expectation is in the range of GOP -1 to GOP +1. This may sound unimpressive or pessimistic, but then reality IS normally more unimpressive than fantasy. It's not totally pessimistic either: Republicans will hold their pair of highly endangered and marginal seats in North Carolina and Wisconsin, outcomes which are very far from certainties.
However: if partisan control hangs in the balance, i.e. if Republicans end up with a 51-49 majority, the filthy whore from Alaska (who will win re-election easily), will sell herself to the highest bidder like all filthy whores do; that high bidder will be the Democrats. A la Judas Jim Jeffords 20 years ago, Murkowski will switch sides and give the Democrats control. If we want REAL control we need to get to 52 somehow.
Governors: We pick up Nevada, and Wisconsin is a real tossup. Oklahoma is going to be close, but I'll say Stitt prevails. All other potential pickups, even ones that seem at least semi-plausible like Oregon (was) or Kansas will not materialize (NY, MI, MN, NM, CO, ME). We'll fail to hold PA (duh) and -- highly unpopular opinion alert -- Lake will lose in Arizona. She's too good to be "allowed" to win. And if she somehow DOES win, she'll be Evan Mechem 2.0 because the Democrats, the media and the RINOs absolutely will not let her succeed. They're surely already working on her version of the "Steele Dossier". Gotta bring her down, any way possible. If not tonight, then later.
House: GOP +13 is in the realistic range. Maybe +15 to +20 if we take at least a few of the tossups. Fortunately there are only about 2 GOP seats which are potential losses (TX-34 and MI-3) and Flores might hang on in Texas; Gibbs is toast in Michigan since the GOPe has run away hard from him. There are dozens of potential GOP pickups and we'll get about 1 of those dozens; maybe 2 dozen on a really good night.
Just hoping all the demokkkommies get “cheneyed” today.
Massive Fraud apparently.
Country wide, the perfect machines of 2020 are not perfect in 2022.
Fraudicrats doing what fraudicrats do imho.
How does it feel to have your projection set lower than even the most hardened Democrat cheerleaders?
Charlie Cook
Dave Wasserman
Nate Silver
All of them have a bigger House and Senate gain than you.
Realism is important, and the pie in the sky +72 seats nonsense that a few Freepers were posting are completely nonsensical, but I fear that you went too far in the other direction.
Does this take into account the killing, stealing, and destroying of these mid-term elections by the satanic DEMONocRATS and the Left?
House net pick up of 23 seats (harder to cheat on the House ones)
Democrats turn on the voting counts needed at about 1AM to take PA, GA, AZ and NV. They will allow a Republican win in WI, just to make it look like they didn’t suddenly win them all after everyone went to bed - Democrats 51 - 49 in Senate.
Didn’t the Pennsylvania Supreme Court ruled that undated and incorrectly dated mail-in ballots not be counted? That means Oz will win.
80+ GOP House - 58 GOP Sen
The Dems will try to win by cheating and any means possible.
I really think we CAN do better than +13 in the House, but after 2020 we can’t get too giddy.
As far as the Senate, I know that 538 is calling for Oz to prevail and Walker, and Laxalt. With everything else staying the way it is. Being here in PA, after what I saw in 2020 and what I’m seeing all around the Pittsburgh area — suburbs included — makes make think “Senator Fetterman” (and then I vomit).
I don’t have any predictions, but am hoping the so-called red wave materializes. But I’m very concerned that the red wave predictions have been over-sold. This is because I have zero trust in polls no matter what they claim. We’ll see in a few hours.
Tim Ryan OH brought in Steve Schmidt, Lincoln Project fame, to make Ryan look like a Republican to Ohio voters. They bloodied up Vance pretty good.
I would like to keep Schmidt’s losing record intact. Will the voters in OH go with Dewine and then split to Ryan?
House: 248 R
Senate: 55 R
Govs: NY, NV, MI, AZ go R
I expect a Republican big win in the House—50 seat range.
With the statewide cheating in several key states I cannot predict governor and senate race outcomes—it is like betting on a crooked poker game.
Your prediction is like the hope scenario for democrats..are you a democrat? Take it to the bank republicans win big. RED WAVE look at WA(Senate) and MI(Gov).
The dems steal either the house or senate with a 50/50 chance they steal both again. A massive red wave in state elections. The DC GOP scum roll over and allow it to happen, just like 2020. The regime takes its “mandate” starts WWIII with it. That’ll teach you to ask my opinion.
My prediction?
There will be fraud again?
Why do I expect it?
The democrat polls, where they create polls that favor their candidates. Those favorable polls are in order to do the fraud that reflects their polls predictions. Thus, a favorable poll of 5% of a candidate on their side, will provide the excuse for the fraud that reflects a favorable vote count in their favor, but it’s the fraud that will get that candidate to “win”. (Hope I made it clear).
“Democrats turn on the voting counts needed at about 1AM to take PA”
It won’t happen at 1 AM in PA, so we can all go to bed secure that Oz is leading by a solid amount, because he will be.
The downfall will take several days, even perhaps weeks. That’s how it worked in PA in 2020.
Praying IL’s Darren Bailey will pull through.
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