Posted on 08/09/2022 10:22:26 AM PDT by cotton1706
A striking bit of counterprogramming from Politico during “bedwetting season” for the GOP, as news sites are overflowing today with Democratic optimism. “With Deal in Hand, Democrats Enter the Fall Armed With Something New: Hope,” the Times proclaims. “Inside Biden’s hot streak, from the poolside to the Capitol,” WaPo promises. Politico itself has a piece headlined, “Biden suddenly is piling up wins. Can Dems make it stick?”
It’s not just media hype. The latest generic ballot average at FiveThirtyEight shows, uh…
That’s the first time Democrats have led on the generic ballot since mid-November 2021.
Is the great red wave of 2022 receding before it’s arrived? Not if you believe the GOP’s internal polling. Although whether you think these numbers reflect the true state of affairs in Republican “reach” districts or whether they’ve been “skewed” somehow and leaked strategically to boost righty morale at a moment of extreme bedwetting is up to you to decide.
Four surveys conducted in late July reveal close races in open seats in Oregon, Colorado and California that President Joe Biden carried by between 11 and 15 points in 2020. Taken all together, GOP operatives view the data as a sign that Biden’s sinking approval numbers could drag Democratic candidates down enough to bring deep blue turf into reach…
Altogether, the tightening polls suggest that some super-blue seats could be in play in November, which would mean Democrats may have to expend precious resources there on defense — especially because they lack well-funded incumbents.
(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...
World ends at 10, increasing Democrat chances in mid-terms. Film at 11.
The generic is meaningless.
Polls by district are important.
Biden never really won by 10 points in those areas to begin with. The steal was on in all districts across the country. This is why the are now using the FBI to try and stop him. They know they can’t win.
It’s going to be a slaughter this fall for democrats…
Roughly 3 months to Election Day..
Been telling folks for nearly a year now, we are heading into a cycle that is likely going to make 1994 and 2010 look wonderful for them by comparison…
I fully expect GOP to gain 80ish seats on the low end, and will not be surprised if they get triple digit gains.
Just 3 more months…
Watch the Dems go nuts pushing through all kinds of crazy crap (or try to). They know they won’t get anything passed after November
This is why these primaries are so important! Even a weak MAGA candidate can get swept into office on the upcoming red wave! We have to nominate MAGA candidates! Wisconsin - get out and vote today!
It was a slaughter in 2020.
Like between the warring Russians and Ukrainians, I don’t believe any of them.
There have already been some D+12 districts in reach. I believe the Trump FBI raid will backfire. It seems everything Democrats do goes in the wrong direction. That is to be expected given their competence. I guess the question should be, are Republicans more competent than Democrats. I really don’t know in the aggregate.
Won by, or stolen by 10pts?
No it’s not. Screw the Republicans. I’m done with them.
Cowards all.
Brandon didn’t “win” jack doodly.
This is all so predictable. Every election cycle the Republicans show strength in polls but as it closer to the elections that polling shows the Democrats narrowing. This all psyops .
And in a blink of an eye Biden blows it for the dems with this stupid raid.
After adjusting for fraud, those ten-point Biden wins were mostly tossups or Trump wins.
Allah’s Pundit the Trump hater again. No articles about the FIB raid?
Hillary by 11. Only thing you need to know.
Public polls are worse than useless. 538 only releases data to help the Democrat party, same goes for the big polls commissioned or reported by the MSM. Senate will probably come down to the level of cheating the Rats accomplish in Maricopa county in AZ, and Fulton county in GA.
The FBI raid may knock the Mississippi decision off the front burner of the electoral minds in the mushy middle.
“There have already been some D+12 districts in reach.”
That’s one hell of a reach, and I’d be interested to know which districts those are. Looking at a list of D+12 or worse districts, nothing jumps out as likely to be close at all.
Being in PA like yourself, I certainly hope you aren’t including the open district that contains the city of Pittsburgh, which is approximately at that D+ level; it’s actually only D+8, somehow. Yeah I know Cook shifted it a while back from a rating of 100% Certain Democrat to only Extremely Highly Likely Democrat or whatever wording they use.
Republicans will take that district — which unfortunately happens to be my district — several years after pigs learn to fly, if even that soon. That’s despite the fact that the ultra-racist Democrat nominee is a moonbat “squad” wannabe. So it will surely be closer than usual in 2022, but only in the most rosy pipe-dream scenario does that one flip (but it sure would be great).
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.