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2020 polls: Shock poll puts Trump ahead in Pennsylvania and Michigan - prompting expert row
Yahoo News ^ | Oct 30, 2020 | Joe Sommerlad,Gino Spocchia and Justin Vallejo

Posted on 10/31/2020 2:05:50 PM PDT by 11th_VA

Positive polls placing Donald Trump ahead in Pennsylvania and Michigan has led to a fight over prediction accuracy among establishment and upstart pollsters.

An exclusive poll for The Independent, meanwhile, found the majority of Americans believe Trump has harmed the standing of the US in the world.

In Texas, Trump says he is “way ahead in Texas” despite opinion polling showing a statistical toss-up in the Lone Star State. Joe Biden’s running mate Kamala Harris is visiting the state on Friday as Democrats increasingly believe they can cause an upset.

It comes as the state’s 2020 voter turnout surpassed its 2016 total, four days ahead of Election Day, in a milestone that is expected to fuel Republican concerns about the party’s election chances.

Nationally, more than 85 million ballots have been cast, more than 60 per cent of the total vote in 2016...

(Excerpt) Read more at yahoo.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2020election; michigan; paping; pennsylvania; polls
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Oh crap - who leaked the news ?
1 posted on 10/31/2020 2:05:50 PM PDT by 11th_VA
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To: 11th_VA
In the past century we've gone from no polls, to moderately accurate polls, to can't-miss polls, to Fake Polls.

We are now back where we started.

2 posted on 10/31/2020 2:07:39 PM PDT by Simon Foxx
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To: 11th_VA

it’s a shock only for the rats, who once again, will be shocked at Trump winning a 2nd term!


3 posted on 10/31/2020 2:08:55 PM PDT by SgtHooper (If you remember the 60's, YOU WEREN'T THERE!)
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To: 11th_VA

It looks to me like the dims know they are going to suffer an embarrassing loss. Biden sounds angry and defeated while Trump appears happy and confident.


4 posted on 10/31/2020 2:10:01 PM PDT by JoeRed
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To: 11th_VA

“Joe Biden’s running mate Kamala Harris is visiting the state on Friday as Democrats increasingly believe they can cause an upset. “

Wasn’t she just run out of the state on a rail?


5 posted on 10/31/2020 2:10:54 PM PDT by JPJones (More Tariffs, less income tax.)
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To: 11th_VA

Holy crap. Talk about bias news. ...”where he appears to be hemorrhaging support in response to his blundering response to the coronavirus pandemic.”.
Meanwhile back in their country Boris is shutting the country down for a month.


6 posted on 10/31/2020 2:11:45 PM PDT by willk (A bias news media is not a free press.)
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To: 11th_VA

I am shocked shocked that the mass media lied.

Shocked! ;-)


7 posted on 10/31/2020 2:12:05 PM PDT by cgbg (Biden n-2020: Criminal enterprise using cokehead as bagman. Pronounced: Bye Done.)
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To: JoeRed

“ Biden sounds angry and defeated while Trump appears happy and confident”

I tend to agree. Trump’s demeanor at rallies doesn’t seem like that of a guy whose internal polling shows him well behind. Maybe he’s just a good poker player, but he does seem in good spirits.

We’ll find out soon enough.


8 posted on 10/31/2020 2:13:06 PM PDT by NittanyLion
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To: JPJones

That was the “other Kamala”....


9 posted on 10/31/2020 2:13:14 PM PDT by cgbg (Biden n-2020: Criminal enterprise using cokehead as bagman. Pronounced: Bye Done.)
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To: JoeRed

I think Biden just got the “Pat Caddell” talk.


10 posted on 10/31/2020 2:13:30 PM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: 11th_VA

The reason Harris is in Texas is because the rats know no one likes her. But they can’t put her in the basement too, so they have to put her somewhere to act like she’s campaigning, but will not cause her unlikeable self to lose something that is not yet lost.

They know Texas is a lost cause, so they send her there so that she can’t screw up something in, say, New Jersey.


11 posted on 10/31/2020 2:13:46 PM PDT by HIDEK6 (F God bless Donald Trump.)
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To: 11th_VA
Positive polls placing Donald Trump ahead in Pennsylvania and Michigan has led to a fight over prediction accuracy among establishment and upstart pollsters.

There is a theory that pollsters will have their polls closer to reality (vs. Biden ahead by 20 or something ridiculous like that) when the actual election day is very near. I'm thinking this is what is going on. Trump was never as far behind Biden as the polls suggested.

Or, a thought occurs, that maybe since "Slow Joe" has been out and about lately, people are seeing, and hearing, for themselves how frail and cognitively slow he actually is.

12 posted on 10/31/2020 2:14:02 PM PDT by LibertarianLiz
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To: HIDEK6

Good point.


13 posted on 10/31/2020 2:14:18 PM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: JoeRed

Be prepared to puke blood sometime in the next 30 hours.


14 posted on 10/31/2020 2:15:48 PM PDT by coaster123 (Hate has a home here.)
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To: 11th_VA

Those poll numbers are TOTALLED skewed. They are missing one large, important demographic. If you include the deceased, there is a very comfortable lead for Hidin’ and Heels-up.

In all seriousness, it is up to the Republican Party to ensure that the dead don’t vote on November 3!


15 posted on 10/31/2020 2:18:51 PM PDT by A Formerly Proud Canadian (I once was blind but now I see...)
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To: 11th_VA
An exclusive poll for The Independent, meanwhile, found the majority of Americans believe Trump has harmed the standing of the US in the world.

The effect of Biden's campaign advertising without any response.

And it is a ridiculous, false narrative - the opposite is quite true. A big barrage of campaign ads showing the multiple signing ceremonies of peace treaties, improved trade relations, etc. would have negated this nonsense. The media did not cover this to any degree - which is why campaign advertising is effective as you get around media blackouts.

16 posted on 10/31/2020 2:23:28 PM PDT by Republican Wildcat
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To: coaster123

What is going to happen in 30 hours?


17 posted on 10/31/2020 2:26:11 PM PDT by JoeRed
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To: coaster123

Hopefully not. But hope is not a plan


18 posted on 10/31/2020 2:26:35 PM PDT by redgolum (If this culture today is civilization, I will be the barbarian)
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To: JPJones

Dunno about that but she got run out of central Texas in a bus!


19 posted on 10/31/2020 2:27:16 PM PDT by bigbob (Trust Trump. Trust the Plan)
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To: dfwgator; MinuteGal

Probably, but he forgot all about it ten minutes later.


20 posted on 10/31/2020 2:27:17 PM PDT by Peter W. Kessler ("NUTS!!!")
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