Posted on 03/20/2020 4:48:32 PM PDT by CheshireTheCat
A non-peer reviewed study, funded by grants from the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation and published this week, found that China could have prevented 95 percent of coronavirus infections if its measures to contain the outbreak had begun sooner.
The research from the University of Southampton suggests that Chinese officials should have listened to the coronavirus whistleblower, Dr. Li Wenliang, when he tried to sound the alarm on December 30.
(Excerpt) Read more at independentsentinel.com ...
Loral gave them 25 years of hi tech.
Not a Chinese cover-up. It was a Chinese attack.
Bad aim.
The US should charge China for damages and erase a large chunk of our debt held by them.
Pretty funny.
Full report PDF File, 29 pages.
Points from the article:
"If NPIs [Non Pharmaceutical Intervention - ed] could have been conducted one week, two weeks, or three weeks earlier in China, cases could have been reduced by 66%, 86%, and 95%, respectively, together with significantly reducing the number of affected areas."
This is a polite way of explaining China... made mistakes. If China started raising the alarm in December (maybe November, but lets not offend the Chinese government here), then this could be avoided. Then this would be another SARS or Swine Flu as far as controlling it. Both of which were bad, but manageable without causing hysteria.
"Results
"We estimated that there were a total of 114,325 COVID-19 cases (interquartile range [IQR] 76,776 - 164,576) in mainland China as of February 29, 2020, and these were highly correlated (p<0.001, R2=0.86) with reported incidence. Without NPIs, the number of COVID-19 cases would likely have shown a 67-fold increase (IQR: 44 - 94), with the effectiveness of different interventions varying. The early detection and isolation of cases was estimated to prevent more infections than travel restrictions and contact reductions, but integrated NPIs would achieve the strongest and most rapid effect. If NPIs could have been conducted one week, two weeks, or three weeks earlier in China, cases could have been reduced by 66%, 86%, and 95%, respectively, together with significantly reducing the number of affected areas. However, if NPIs were conducted one week, two weeks, or three weeks later, the number of cases could have shown a 3-fold, 7-fold, and 18-fold increase across China, respectively. Results also suggest that the social distancing intervention should be continued for the next few months in China to prevent case numbers increasing again after travel restrictions were lifted on February 17, 2020.
"Conclusion
"The NPIs deployed in China appear to be effectively containing the COVID-19 outbreak, but the efficacy of the different interventions varied, with the early case detection and contact reduction being the most effective. Moreover, deploying the NPIs early is also important to prevent further spread. Early and integrated NPI strategies should be prepared, adopted and adjusted to minimize health, social and economic impacts in affected regions around the World."
Two issues with Covid-19 is a person can be contagious for up to two weeks (?) without getting sick, and it sticks around on surfaces for several hours or days, depending on the surface. This means a person could get exposed in several different ways before contracting it.
"Social distancing", which in practice means shutting down a area and its economy and jobs for a few weeks, is not a popular at all. Except that it may be necessary to give public health and industry the time needed to mount a more effective response.
It was..but at the end of it I thought about the Dr who tried to get the word out. Did he succeed in at least keeping some of the numbers down? I dont know...but I hope he is remembered in history books.
A non-peer reviewed study, funded by grants from the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation and published this week, found that China could have prevented 95 percent of coronavirus infections if its measures to contain the outbreak had begun sooner.
There was a Congressman on Tucker Carlson tonight who is demanding reparations from China for the damage they have done. He says the US should cancel the $1 Trillion in treasuries that the Chinese hold.
Sounds like a plan.
According to this report, the first case was nearly unconscious in a Chinese hospital bed on December 18th, 2019.
The was the day Democrats voted for impeachment.
Obviously a racist study... /CNN
These two headlines tell how much of the spread occurred:
January 18: Despite the presence of the coronavirus, Wuhan holds a “potluck” banquet for 40,000 families to try and break a world record, The New York Times reported. (The 40,000 came from and returned all over the world)
January 23: Wuhan is finally locked down, even though about 5 million people had already left the city without being screened by that time.
So it’s
“Bat Soup Clazy”
.
Otherwise it’s
“Weaponized!”
.
Chinese lose Face
So Sad
Trump should talk with the leaders of Spain, Italy and other European countries and Japan and other asian countries affected by this, and get everyone to agree with a 50% tariff to be paid by China on all Chinese exports. This has devastated western economies and was 100% preventable.
THIS IS THE TIME TO HOLD CHINA ACCOUNTABLE.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.