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You’re Likely to Get the Coronavirus
The Atlantic ^ | Feb 24, 2020 | James Hamblin

Posted on 02/24/2020 1:10:49 PM PST by 11th_VA

Most cases are not life-threatening, which is also what makes the virus a historic challenge to contain

(big snip)

The Harvard epidemiology professor Marc Lipsitch is exacting in his diction, even for an epidemiologist. Twice in our conversation he started to say something, then paused and said, “Actually, let me start again.” So it’s striking when one of the points he wanted to get exactly right was this: “I think the likely outcome is that it will ultimately not be containable.”

Lipsitch predicts that, within the coming year, some 40 to 70 percent of people around the world will be infected with the virus that causes COVID-19. But, he clarifies emphatically, this does not mean that all will have severe illnesses...

(Excerpt) Read more at theatlantic.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Extended News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: chinavirusinfo; coronavirus; covid19; disease; limbaugh; millionsdead; rush; sarscov2; talkradio
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OK - Lets do a little math … 7.7 BILLION people in the world

If:

40%-60% get the virus, that's, 3.08 - 4.62 Billion people infected.

at 1% death rate: 30.8 - 46.2 million deaths

at 2% death rate: 61.6 - 92.4 million deaths

at 10% death rate; 308 - 462 million deaths …

Likely to become the defining event of this generation ...

1 posted on 02/24/2020 1:10:49 PM PST by 11th_VA
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To: 11th_VA

Oh noes... WE’RE ALL GONNA DIE!!!


2 posted on 02/24/2020 1:12:32 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: 11th_VA

Yeah and this too shall pass and the vast majority of us won’t be the 2 percent.

And it will slash SS and medicare costs in the long run :)


3 posted on 02/24/2020 1:13:23 PM PST by dp0622 (Radicals, racists Don't point finger at me I'm a small town white boy Just tryin' to makne ends meet)
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To: dp0622

The Chinese contribution to human welfare. Excuse the sarcasm.


4 posted on 02/24/2020 1:14:11 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: 11th_VA

Well, that which doesn’t kill us, makes us stronger!


5 posted on 02/24/2020 1:14:37 PM PST by ArtDodger
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To: dp0622

Pinging Captain Trips...


6 posted on 02/24/2020 1:14:57 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: dp0622
And it will slash SS and medicare costs in the long run :)

Came to my mind, but I didn't want to say it ...

7 posted on 02/24/2020 1:15:06 PM PST by 11th_VA
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To: 11th_VA

In Italy, several of the six deaths were over 80 yrs old.


8 posted on 02/24/2020 1:15:35 PM PST by txrefugee
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COVID-19 Spreadsheet using JHU data

File XLSX

File XLS

9 posted on 02/24/2020 1:16:08 PM PST by DoughtyOne (The DNC has a taxidermist on speed dial for Nancy, Hillary, and Ruth.)
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To: goldstategop

lol

This is one of their less harmful contributions.

We’ll have to see if this kills more Chinese than communism has.

Although communism is playing a part in this mess


10 posted on 02/24/2020 1:16:24 PM PST by dp0622 (Radicals, racists Don't point finger at me I'm a small town white boy Just tryin' to makne ends meet)
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To: 11th_VA

Heck, Barry Obummer’s buddy, Billy Bob Ayers, only wants to kill 25,000,000 Americans.

https://www.thenewamerican.com/usnews/politics/item/2455-obamas-friend-ayers-kill-25-million-americans


11 posted on 02/24/2020 1:16:59 PM PST by carriage_hill (A society grows great when old men plant trees, in whose shade they know they will never sit.)
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To: dp0622

It will cause insurance companies to ‘force majeur’ and we’ll end up with single payer.

HTH.


12 posted on 02/24/2020 1:17:24 PM PST by Black Agnes
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To: 11th_VA

It’s been a long time since I had the flu, but I remember it vividly. I’m going to go, sooner rather than later, but going via the flu is not high on my list of options.


13 posted on 02/24/2020 1:17:44 PM PST by brownsfan (Behold, the power of government cheese.)
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To: txrefugee

The old people just die faster.

Some of the recent deaths in China have been 20 and 30 something medical people who were in the ICU for a month before they died.


14 posted on 02/24/2020 1:18:05 PM PST by Black Agnes
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To: 11th_VA

lol

I was half joking. I think.

I don’t want to see FReeers, including myself, suffer the pain of losing loved ones.

Mom and aunt Fran wouldn’t last a week with this virus.

And neither has any money to leave behind.

It’s a lose/lose for me :)


15 posted on 02/24/2020 1:18:55 PM PST by dp0622 (Radicals, racists Don't point finger at me I'm a small town white boy Just tryin' to makne ends meet)
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To: txrefugee
In Italy, several of the six deaths were over 80 yrs old.

Understood - a taxi driver in Asia that had a severe case, did not know he had severe Type 2 diabetes. Lot's of people with underlying diseases, that don't know about it, are likely to die.

16 posted on 02/24/2020 1:18:59 PM PST by 11th_VA
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To: 11th_VA

Even if you don’t die, if you get it there is a 20% chance you are going to be extremely sick and in the hospital for 2 to 3 weeks, likely on oxygen or a ventilator, and may very well have permanent damage to your lungs and other organs. Plus there is the risk of relapse later, which medical authorities don’t understand yet.

I hope this puts this in perspective, everyone is whistling past the graveyard on this.


17 posted on 02/24/2020 1:19:03 PM PST by kaehurowing
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To: 11th_VA

For Pennsylvania..........

So far, no cases have been confirmed in Pennsylvania. A foreign exchange student in Philadelphia was tested earlier for the virus but ‘was cleared’......”At this time, there have not been any cases confirmed in the state. .. said Brittany Lauffer, a spokesperson for the Pennsylvania Department of Health.


18 posted on 02/24/2020 1:19:47 PM PST by caww
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To: 11th_VA
Remember the Bird Flu (H5N1)? Swine Flu (H1N1)? SARS?

Maybe this time we'll have a proper pandemic, instead of just another scare.

19 posted on 02/24/2020 1:20:54 PM PST by Yo-Yo ( is the /sarc tag really necessary?)
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To: goldstategop

Naw. Just a lot of people around the world.
If you are an older male, might very well be you.


20 posted on 02/24/2020 1:21:03 PM PST by Kozak (DIVERSITY+PROXIMITY=CONFLICT)
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