Posted on 02/24/2020 1:10:49 PM PST by 11th_VA
Most cases are not life-threatening, which is also what makes the virus a historic challenge to contain
(big snip)
The Harvard epidemiology professor Marc Lipsitch is exacting in his diction, even for an epidemiologist. Twice in our conversation he started to say something, then paused and said, “Actually, let me start again.” So it’s striking when one of the points he wanted to get exactly right was this: “I think the likely outcome is that it will ultimately not be containable.”
…Lipsitch predicts that, within the coming year, some 40 to 70 percent of people around the world will be infected with the virus that causes COVID-19. But, he clarifies emphatically, this does not mean that all will have severe illnesses...
(Excerpt) Read more at theatlantic.com ...
If:
40%-60% get the virus, that's, 3.08 - 4.62 Billion people infected.
at 1% death rate: 30.8 - 46.2 million deaths
at 2% death rate: 61.6 - 92.4 million deaths
at 10% death rate; 308 - 462 million deaths …
Likely to become the defining event of this generation ...
Oh noes... WE’RE ALL GONNA DIE!!!
Yeah and this too shall pass and the vast majority of us won’t be the 2 percent.
And it will slash SS and medicare costs in the long run :)
The Chinese contribution to human welfare. Excuse the sarcasm.
Well, that which doesn’t kill us, makes us stronger!
Pinging Captain Trips...
Came to my mind, but I didn't want to say it ...
In Italy, several of the six deaths were over 80 yrs old.
lol
This is one of their less harmful contributions.
We’ll have to see if this kills more Chinese than communism has.
Although communism is playing a part in this mess
Heck, Barry Obummer’s buddy, Billy Bob Ayers, only wants to kill 25,000,000 Americans.
It will cause insurance companies to ‘force majeur’ and we’ll end up with single payer.
HTH.
It’s been a long time since I had the flu, but I remember it vividly. I’m going to go, sooner rather than later, but going via the flu is not high on my list of options.
The old people just die faster.
Some of the recent deaths in China have been 20 and 30 something medical people who were in the ICU for a month before they died.
lol
I was half joking. I think.
I don’t want to see FReeers, including myself, suffer the pain of losing loved ones.
Mom and aunt Fran wouldn’t last a week with this virus.
And neither has any money to leave behind.
It’s a lose/lose for me :)
Understood - a taxi driver in Asia that had a severe case, did not know he had severe Type 2 diabetes. Lot's of people with underlying diseases, that don't know about it, are likely to die.
Even if you don’t die, if you get it there is a 20% chance you are going to be extremely sick and in the hospital for 2 to 3 weeks, likely on oxygen or a ventilator, and may very well have permanent damage to your lungs and other organs. Plus there is the risk of relapse later, which medical authorities don’t understand yet.
I hope this puts this in perspective, everyone is whistling past the graveyard on this.
For Pennsylvania..........
So far, no cases have been confirmed in Pennsylvania. A foreign exchange student in Philadelphia was tested earlier for the virus but ‘was cleared’......”At this time, there have not been any cases confirmed in the state. .. said Brittany Lauffer, a spokesperson for the Pennsylvania Department of Health.
Maybe this time we'll have a proper pandemic, instead of just another scare.
Naw. Just a lot of people around the world.
If you are an older male, might very well be you.
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