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Trump is on his way to an easy win in 2020, according to Moody’s accurate election model
CNBC ^ | 10/15/2019 | Jeff Cox

Posted on 10/15/2019 11:18:11 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas

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To: SpeedyInTexas

RE: according to Moody’s accurate election model

What is their track record for the past elections in this century?


21 posted on 10/15/2019 11:36:51 AM PDT by SeekAndFind (look at Michigan, it will)
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To: InterceptPoint

At the link it says:

“The Moody’s models have been backtested to 1980 and were correct each time — except in 2016, when it indicated Clinton would win a narrow victory.”

Ooops


22 posted on 10/15/2019 11:37:12 AM PDT by TangledUpInBlue
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To: brownsfan
The Dems illegals policy is gonna backfire in their faces. The illegals come here with nothing, so they have to buy everything! Thus helping to stimulate the economy!......................😎
23 posted on 10/15/2019 11:37:31 AM PDT by Red Badger (Against stupidity the gods themselves contend in vain...................)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

He’ll win, but the war will be hard. Take what they did in 2016, what they did to Gorsuch and Kavanaugh. The “Russia investigation,” The “Ukraine investigation,” and multiply it by 5 and you have the 2020 campaign.

There will be riots in the streets. Leftists will burn buildings and march. Insane individuals will wail at the moon. The media will invent things late in the game, too late to be proven. There will be outright lies.


24 posted on 10/15/2019 11:38:04 AM PDT by I want the USA back (The further a society drifts from the truth, the more it will hate those who speak it. Orwell.)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Duh.....

Short of a complete economic collapse before next November, or some other black swan event of that magnitude, Trump will win handily.

Best case for Dems, and this is absolute best case is about 15 states plus DC... reality is, depending on who they nominate, they may not even get double digits.


25 posted on 10/15/2019 11:38:34 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: SpeedyInTexas

I’d like to see him add Nevada, Minnesota, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Virginia and Colorado. We’ll get a feel on Virginia next month.


26 posted on 10/15/2019 11:39:28 AM PDT by napscoordinator (Trump/Hunter, jr for President/Vice President 2016)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Did they factor in margin of fraud?


27 posted on 10/15/2019 11:40:08 AM PDT by Bonemaker (invictus maneo)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

That’s because the left has lost their mind and it shows. They almost make Hillary look sane


28 posted on 10/15/2019 11:41:10 AM PDT by Pollard (If you don't understand what I typed, you haven't read the classics.)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

What accurate election model. There wasn’t a single 1 in 2016.


29 posted on 10/15/2019 11:41:42 AM PDT by Harpotoo (Being a socialist is a lot easier than having to WORK like the rest of US:-))
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To: SkyDancer

We need the house back. I don’t care if it’s 5 seats. Enough of the crap they are doing. I wanted so badly for the house to stay in republican hands deserved of not. I knew this very thing would happen.


30 posted on 10/15/2019 11:41:52 AM PDT by napscoordinator (Trump/Hunter, jr for President/Vice President 2016)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

The Dimms and their Resistance idiots have forgotten how powerful incumbency is for the POTUS. The fact that there were only three one-term presidents in the last 100 years says a lot.


31 posted on 10/15/2019 11:41:57 AM PDT by NohSpinZone (First thing we do, let's kill all the lawyers)
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To: gr8eman

Is that real money?


32 posted on 10/15/2019 11:42:45 AM PDT by napscoordinator (Trump/Hunter, jr for President/Vice President 2016)
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To: brownsfan
Barring anything unusual happening

i.e. the ol' .38 Caliber Electoral Vote.

Based on how low our intel community has already stooped absolutely NOTHING would surprise me. Pray for Trump.


33 posted on 10/15/2019 11:43:09 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog (Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer)
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To: Ingtar

The electoral college adds an additional dimension of complexity to the matrix. But you would have thought that they would have accounted for this.


34 posted on 10/15/2019 11:43:46 AM PDT by dhs12345
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To: SpeedyInTexas

The dems know this; that’s why they’re desperate to talk the economy down.


35 posted on 10/15/2019 11:48:54 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Every liberal should be red-flagged.)
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To: brownsfan

It is literally next to impossible for an economy to be either talked up or talked down. This doesn’t mean statements and “jawboning” can’t cause the markets to react, we know that can happen but to actually turn a failing economy up or a soaring economy down.


36 posted on 10/15/2019 11:50:14 AM PDT by billyboy15
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To: SpeedyInTexas

But But according to Fox News Trump’s poll numbers are in the toilet


37 posted on 10/15/2019 11:53:04 AM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: hoosiermama

Absolutely correct.

That was how Hubert Humphrey campaigned for every election.
I disagreed with his policies 90% of the time. But he knew how to win elections. He was called the “happy warrior”for a reason.


38 posted on 10/15/2019 11:54:24 AM PDT by Maine Mariner
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To: SpeedyInTexas

We should take nothing for granted!


39 posted on 10/15/2019 11:56:56 AM PDT by Lopeover (We Are #TRUMPSTRONG)
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To: NohSpinZone

Hoover, Bush Sr. Carter. Four if you count Ford


40 posted on 10/15/2019 11:57:06 AM PDT by Maine Mariner
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