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No, Tax Cuts Aren’t Causing the Latest Deficit Spike
Issues and Insights ^ | 06/14/2019 | John Merline

Posted on 06/14/2019 10:28:10 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

The Treasury Department reported a $208 billion deficit for the month of May — which is $61 billion higher than May 2018. To put that in perspective, the deficit for the entire year of 2007 was $161 billion.

In the first eight months of the current fiscal year, red ink has already reached $738 billion. Even adjusting for inflation, the total annual federal deficit has exceeded that only six times in the nation’s history (five of them under President Obama).

Not surprisingly, the Republican tax cuts are taking the blame for this year’s extraordinary deficits.

But wait a minute. Overall federal revenues were up in May by $15 billion — that’s a 7% gain over May 2018 — the latest monthly Treasury report shows.

So where did May’s big deficit increase come from? Well, spending in that month was $440 billion. That’s $76 billion — or 21% — more than last year.

Some of that increase in spending in May was the result of a quirk of the calendar. But the same trend holds true for the fiscal year.

For the first eight months of the fiscal year (which started last October), revenues climbed more than $50 billion, compared with the first eight months of the previous fiscal year.

The press has focused on the fact that Trump’s tariffs boosted customs duties by $20 billion so far this year.

But that conveniently overlooks the fact that individual income tax revenues are up by $17 billion, and payroll taxes are up more than $30 billion. Both are signs of a healthy job market that pushed the unemployment rate to 50-year lows and is boosting wages as the labor market tightens.

Over these same eight months, however, spending exploded by almost $257 billion — an eye-popping 10% increase.

And where have the big spending increases come from? Mostly from entitlements and interest payments on the national debt.

Spending by Health and Human Services — which runs Medicare and Medicaid — is up more than $100 billion so far this year. Social Security spending is up by $47 billion. VA spending is up $26 billion. Interest on the debt, up $36 billion.

Spending on aid to children and families, in contrast, climbed a mere $1 billion.

And while overall Defense spending is up $49 billion, less than half of that — $20 billion — went toward new equipment and R&D.

So once again, we have the data showing the out-of-control spending is driving up the deficit, not Trump’s tax cuts. Yet it’s tax cuts that get the blame.

This is the swamp in action. The denizens of Washington want the government to grow perpetually bigger. So blaming deficits on tax cuts keeps the focus off the spending side of the equation.

The truth is that any tax hikes would, at best, only mask the problem of runaway entitlements, and put off the inevitable day of reckoning.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: boycotts; crime; deficit; illegals; incometaxes; medicaid; medicare; sanctions; spending; tariffs; taxcuts; taxcutsandjobsact; taxreform; tcja; trade
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To: HamiltonJay
Okay, corporate tax rates are down 20% according to numbers you were able to find.

Check this out.

Seems to me the corporate shortfall would affect less than 2% of the federal budget. Individual and Payroll taxes would more than make up for that based on their combined 83% of total Federal Budget revenues, and the fact they have increased.

It would still seem to me that spending is the problem, and the tax cut isn't.

21 posted on 06/14/2019 12:06:24 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (This space for rent...)
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To: Leaning Right

Cut people’s social security checks by 25 percent. Lift the cap to 250K. Problem solved. I swear I should run this country.


22 posted on 06/14/2019 12:12:20 PM PDT by napscoordinator (Trump/Hunter, jr for President/Vice President 2016)
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To: DoughtyOne

Did you bother to actually READ the article I posted? Obviously not.. Go actually READ the article..

The “growth” in the personal income taxes is net less than the shrinking of the corporate tax.

That results in NET reduction in income tax revenues....

The Tax Cuts are indeed partially to blame for this, and to pretend otherwise just because you don’t like that reality, is on you.

Yes, I am all for reigning in spending, but to claim that the tax laws did not negatively affect revenues, or at least so far have not, is flat out not true.

So, blaming the tax cuts (at least partially) for deficits, is not wrong, a lie or fake news....

Now, this may change over time, and personal income tax growth may indeed be more than corporate income tax decreases, but like it or not, that hasn’t happened yet.


23 posted on 06/14/2019 12:13:40 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: HamiltonJay

I have to go out now. I’ll respond later...


24 posted on 06/14/2019 12:51:25 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (This space for rent...)
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