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1 posted on 06/12/2019 9:32:50 AM PDT by MMaschin
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To: MMaschin

SeeBS reported last night that Biden was leading Trump 53 to 40.

SeeBS also said Biden was beating Trump in Florida, North Carolina and Arizona.

Like I said, SeeBS.

Next they’ll be telling us the Easter Bunny is real.


2 posted on 06/12/2019 9:37:27 AM PDT by july4thfreedomfoundation (President Trump IS The Resistance!)
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To: MMaschin

Many years ago I taught statistics, including survey sampling, at the University of Washington.

The author’s analysis is a bit simplified, but correct.

Thanks for posting.


3 posted on 06/12/2019 9:38:01 AM PDT by EternalHope
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To: MMaschin

I call bull$h!t. Quinnipiac is a bunch of leftist scum.


4 posted on 06/12/2019 9:39:38 AM PDT by Vaquero ( Don't pick a fight with an old guy. If he is too old to fight, he'll just kill you.)
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To: MMaschin
I would throw any poll results out the window. Not only were the 2016 polls highly inaccurate, but the lamentations of pollster Frank Luntz during the election night news coverage of the results were very telling.

What he said, in effect, was that the 2016 polling data was useless because a huge number of people responding to the polls deliberately lied in their answers.

He was particularly upset because the EXIT POLLS were incorrect. He pointed out that this could only mean one thing: Not only were many Trump supporters unwilling to tell pollsters who they INTENDED to vote for; they also simply lied about who they DID vote for.

5 posted on 06/12/2019 9:40:04 AM PDT by Alberta's Child ("Knowledge makes a man unfit to be a slave." -- Frederick Douglass)
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To: MMaschin

Sshhh! Don’t let the RATs know....

Let them keep thinking they’re winning until the final, bitter end.


6 posted on 06/12/2019 9:40:48 AM PDT by bryan999
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To: MMaschin

1) poll taken too early (e.g., before any Dem indictments occur, before the Wall is more significant, etc)
2) Biden and the others have not had any exposure to voters for what they really are
3) not clear if registered or likely voters or what


7 posted on 06/12/2019 9:41:13 AM PDT by ReaganGeneration2
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To: MMaschin

This is why President Hillary became President, because she was so far ahead in the polls.


8 posted on 06/12/2019 9:44:07 AM PDT by samtheman (Biden is their Hindenburg. Harris will be their Hitler once Hindenburg is elected.)
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Thanks so much for your support to this point... I personally apprecaite it...
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9 posted on 06/12/2019 9:46:13 AM PDT by DoughtyOne (This space for rent...)
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To: MMaschin
Remember that over 95% of the media hate and despise Trump. So when you see their "polling", bear in mind that they will do every possible thing that they can to skew their polling to Trump's disfavor.

So long as Trump is in office, we'll never see an honest poll in mainstream media. They will never allow Trump to be over 50% approval either.

The internal polls (which we will never see) will have it right so as the election season gets into gear, look to see where the candidates are campaigning.

If Trump is still campaigning in PA, FL and WI in the final days of the campaign, it's going to be a nail-biter. If however Trump is in OR, VA, CO and NH in the final day, the question becomes how large will Trump's victory be.

I think Hillary's campaign knew she was in trouble in those final days of 2016 (when MSM was busy putting together glossy covers of "Madame President") because they were seeing her internal polls - and probably afraid to show them to Hillary herself.

11 posted on 06/12/2019 9:54:14 AM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: MMaschin

We know there are Democrats in the Republican party as moles and for precisely instances like this one: “I am a registered Republican”, but I still prefer Hillary and hate Trump”...


13 posted on 06/12/2019 9:55:59 AM PDT by Innovative
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To: MMaschin

WHO answers POLLS these days??


14 posted on 06/12/2019 9:56:38 AM PDT by Ann Archy (Abortion....... The HUMAN Sacrifice to the god of Convenience.)
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To: MMaschin

Another phony poll. Nothing new.

As I and others keep saying, ignore all polls, just be sure to get out and VOTE in the actual election.


15 posted on 06/12/2019 9:58:02 AM PDT by Innovative
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To: MMaschin

This poll is agitprop intended to get Millenial Democrat Radicals to shaddyap and get behind Biden.


16 posted on 06/12/2019 9:59:35 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog (Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer.)
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To: MMaschin

I think you’re onto something and your point about Aftrican American and Hispanics is a good one.

According to the odious NBC article linked below, Trump got 8% of the African American vote and 29% of the Hispanic vote. In the poll, he’s at 12% and 33% in a head-to-head with Joe Biden, plus there’s an additional 4% of “Don’t Know”. 4% of African Americans “don’t know” if they would vote for Trump. I think we can safely conclude that it’s really 16% (ie double) and 37%.

Seems pretty unlikely that he could do that much better with African Americans and Hispanics and be so far behind Biden overall.

https://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/2016-election-day/trump-did-better-blacks-hispanics-romney-12-exit-polls-n681386


18 posted on 06/12/2019 10:04:17 AM PDT by edwinland
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To: MMaschin

Quinnipiac polls should be disregarded out of hand after their huge misses in 2018. They were terrible. I’ve mentioned in several threads their final Florida polls which had Gillum and Nelson each winning by 7. That’s so far outside the margin of error and such a bad miss, that none of their polls should be taken seriously after that.

Their polls have been consistent outliers in regards to the President.


19 posted on 06/12/2019 10:05:23 AM PDT by TexasGurl24
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To: MMaschin

LOL


23 posted on 06/12/2019 10:17:51 AM PDT by Pirate Ragnar
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To: MMaschin

Shhheeh..WE KNOW WHAT YOURE TRYING TO DO THERE!!...It’s all about putting enthusiasm in a boring old white man’s campaign....


25 posted on 06/12/2019 10:26:44 AM PDT by RoseofTexas
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To: MMaschin

This is why it is NECESSARY to wait until numbers are in.

Then, you can tell HOW MANY BALLOTS, that you have prepared, will need to be counted.

GEEZ, don’t those pollsters know anything.


26 posted on 06/12/2019 10:37:33 AM PDT by Maris Crane
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To: MMaschin

Forget it folks....Joe Biden is just following the 2.0 path used by Democrat, Criminal, failure, POTUS Loser, Hillary Clinton. The Polls are both “Fake News & a big joke to boot!!! Biden has no crowds of eager, cheering motivated, supporters, no energy, no stamina, no agenda....no, nothing...period. Bye, bye, Joe Biden!!! Trumpie wins 2020 POTUS in a historic landslide!!!

Catch the Trumpster in Orlando, Florida, Massive Political Rally next Tuesday evening, June 18, 2019 at the “Amway Center Arena in Orlando, Florida!!! RNC predicts 30,000 plus, Trump supporters will attend!!!


27 posted on 06/12/2019 10:43:30 AM PDT by JLAGRAYFOX (Defeat both the Republican (e) & Democrat (e) political parties....Forever!!!)
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To: MMaschin; All

Yawn. These polls are meaningless, yet the nail-biting, pearl-clutching Moonbats fear, with baited breath that Biden’s numbers are slipping. Who cares?


29 posted on 06/12/2019 10:56:02 AM PDT by Cobra64 (Common sense isnÂ’t common anymore.)
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