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‘How Long Do I Have Left?’ AI Can Help Answer That Question
WSJ ^ | Apr 29, 2018 10:02 pm ET | By Lloyd Minor

Posted on 04/30/2018 9:47:07 AM PDT by Red Badger

The first patient I saw during my clinical rotations as a medical student was dying from chronic myeloid leukemia (CML). Today, with treatment, the 5-year survival rate for CML is about 90%. But when I was a student, CML was incurable. It was an early and poignant reminder of the limitations of medicine that I have never forgotten.

We didn’t understand cancer like we do now, nor did we have the tools to treat it, which meant there was agonizingly little we could do. With the national hospice and palliative care movements only beginning, our discussions with this man and his wife focused mostly on which chemotherapies might be able to prolong his life.

[snip]

For all the advancements we’ve made in biomedicine since I was in medical school, answering this kind of question with anything approaching certainty still vexes doctors. It’s a question that informs many others: How long should a dying patient “fight” a terminal illness, and when should that person focus instead on minimizing suffering? Is a day at home more valuable than a week in the hospital? Even a small improvement in our ability to gauge the life expectancy of a seriously ill patient could provide enormous value for them and their families.

A new algorithm developed at Stanford Medicine could help. Analyzing data from hundreds of thousands of anonymized medical records, the model predicts which patients are likely to die in the next 3 to 12 months. In early tests, the algorithm analyzed medical data of patients who had already passed away and correctly predicted their remaining life expectancy in 9 out of 10 cases.

(Excerpt) Read more at blogs.wsj.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Philosophy; Technical
KEYWORDS: deathcare; deathpanels; palinwasright

1 posted on 04/30/2018 9:47:07 AM PDT by Red Badger
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To: Red Badger

Bookmark


2 posted on 04/30/2018 9:51:11 AM PDT by publius911
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To: Red Badger

Once the gov death panels are set up, they’ll know when to euthanize us


3 posted on 04/30/2018 9:51:37 AM PDT by nobamanomore
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To: nobamanomore

Guaranteed to make sure you expire on the earliest date possible if you voted wrong.


4 posted on 04/30/2018 9:54:44 AM PDT by bgill (CDC site, "We don't know how people are infected with Ebola.")
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To: Red Badger

It just answers the question based on statistics gathered from other people, assuming that similar numbers lead to similar outcomes. No, they do not necessarily.


5 posted on 04/30/2018 9:57:00 AM PDT by I want the USA back (The media is acting full-on as the Democratic Party's press agency now: Robert Spencer)
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To: bgill

that’s the plan.


6 posted on 04/30/2018 9:59:28 AM PDT by nobamanomore
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To: Red Badger
My sister had CML about twenty years ago. When I first heard, my reaction was "how long does she have?". She went to the University of Washington hospital for treatment. Praise the Lord, she is still alive, with no signs of cancer.

It is not the death sentence it used to be. Not all are as curable as she was, but there is hope.

7 posted on 04/30/2018 10:00:00 AM PDT by snowtigger (Deplorable, and proud of it!!)
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To: Red Badger
"We didn’t understand cancer like we do now, nor did we have the tools to treat it"

The greatest advances in medical science have not come from Cuba or Russia or Venezuela. Socialized medicine does not pay for this sort of research. Yet, this research does treat patients where herbs and goat horns, finely ground, were recently the state of the art.

Liberals will destroy the profit motive and slow medical advances.

8 posted on 04/30/2018 10:02:38 AM PDT by outofsalt (If history teaches us anything it's that history rarely teaches us anything.)
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To: Red Badger

I have to find a new doctor. Found out over the weekend that my GP died last week of a heart attack while on vacation. You know your getting old when you start outliving your doctors.


9 posted on 04/30/2018 10:05:32 AM PDT by loucon
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To: nobamanomore

“Once the gov death panels are set up, they’ll know when to euthanize us”

Yeah, when you profess belief that the Bible is the divinely inspired word of God.


10 posted on 04/30/2018 10:09:07 AM PDT by alternatives? (Why have an army if there are no borders?)
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To: loucon

George Burns at 100 years old:

I had a doctor.

But he died........................


11 posted on 04/30/2018 10:10:33 AM PDT by Red Badger (Remember all the great work Obama did for the black community?.............. Me neither.)
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To: outofsalt

Liberals will destroy everything they touch..................


12 posted on 04/30/2018 10:11:55 AM PDT by Red Badger (Remember all the great work Obama did for the black community?.............. Me neither.)
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To: All

So I have 3 hours and 45 mins left. I think I’ll take a nap.


13 posted on 04/30/2018 10:21:37 AM PDT by JonPreston (I post To: "All" because article posters rarely contribute to their own threads)
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To: JonPreston

Lucky you, I was supposed to go last week.


14 posted on 04/30/2018 10:29:21 AM PDT by Bearshouse
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To: Red Badger

Death Panels use this information.


15 posted on 04/30/2018 10:42:28 AM PDT by shanover (...To disarm the people is the best and most effectual way to enslave them.-S.Adams)
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To: JonPreston
So I have 3 hours and 45 mins left. I think I’ll take a nap.

Ha.
I can beat that!

The last time I checked my life expectancy according to the experts and all other parameters, including my lifestyle, I had been dead for 20 years...

16 posted on 04/30/2018 11:00:02 AM PDT by publius911
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To: Red Badger

Has AI been watching me drive the corvett lately??


17 posted on 04/30/2018 11:03:20 AM PDT by kjam22
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To: kjam22

Does it have OnStar?.....................


18 posted on 04/30/2018 11:04:27 AM PDT by Red Badger (Remember all the great work Obama did for the black community?.............. Me neither.)
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To: Red Badger

No... It’s an 04 that I bought in 08


19 posted on 04/30/2018 11:07:10 AM PDT by kjam22
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To: Red Badger
Liberals will destroy everything they touch..................

See my tag line.

20 posted on 04/30/2018 11:55:28 AM PDT by NurdlyPeon (It is the nature of liberals to pervert whatever they touch.)
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