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And so it begins . . . The least like scenario (turnout similar to a presidential election year) grabs the headline while the next least like scenario (turnout similar to a mid-term) is in second place. What isn't mentioned is the most likely scenario, turnout for a special election, which is predicted at 30% based on absentee requests.

District 18: Show up an vote for the frumpy old guy whose military experience is at least authentic. The photogenic young guy went straight from boot camp to a cherry-picked assignment in OKINAWA where he spent less than two years behind a desk working with legal papers where he was allowed to transfer into the reserves and an appointment to a federal prosecutor's office by you know which administration.

Who else gets a deal like that?

1 posted on 03/12/2018 2:31:30 PM PDT by Vigilanteman
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To: Vigilanteman

Lamb is running as a populist.

Saccone is running as GOPe scum.

Be worried.


2 posted on 03/12/2018 2:33:50 PM PDT by Jim Noble (Single payer is coming. Which kind do you like?)
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Thanks so much for your support to this point... I personally apprecaite it...
FReepers, it's far beyond time to wrap up this FReep-a-thon.  Lets do it today.  Please chip in.


President Donald J. Trump and the Free Republic of the United States of America
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3 posted on 03/12/2018 2:34:35 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (01/26/18 DJIA 30 stocks $26,616.71 48.794% > open 11/07/16 215.71 from 50% increase 1.2183 yrs..)
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To: Vigilanteman

I hope the voters turn out for Saccone.

Another fake poll?

Have we got the voting fraud problem fixed yet?


4 posted on 03/12/2018 2:34:49 PM PDT by generally ( Don't be stupid. We have politicians for that.)
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To: Vigilanteman

Saccone Wins!!


5 posted on 03/12/2018 2:34:56 PM PDT by mplc51
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To: Vigilanteman

Monmouth is a liberal poll.

Predicted Hillary would win PA. How did that turn out?


6 posted on 03/12/2018 2:36:03 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Vigilanteman

Who else gets a deal like that?


Reality Winners?


7 posted on 03/12/2018 2:36:50 PM PDT by txhurl (The Final Thunderdome: Two Americas enter, One America leaves.)
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To: Vigilanteman

I hope the voters turnout for Trump this time. Let’s not have a rerun of Alabama. Please.


10 posted on 03/12/2018 2:39:45 PM PDT by sam_whiskey (Peace through Strength.)
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To: Vigilanteman

The only poll that matters is tomorrow

Lets wait and see, sometimes these polls help out side cause it gets our side to vote.

Remember Hillary was suppose to win in landslide, according to a Monmouth University poll...........


13 posted on 03/12/2018 2:45:36 PM PDT by Trump.Deplorable
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To: Vigilanteman

Media campaigning against Trump.


14 posted on 03/12/2018 2:45:57 PM PDT by QuigleyDU
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To: Vigilanteman

Polling organisations are under the control of the Marxists.

Get out and vote for the Trump candidate PA!

Trump is the only honest man left in Washington, the only one we can trust.

His endorsement means everything to me


15 posted on 03/12/2018 2:49:58 PM PDT by WashingtonFire (President Trump - it's like having your dad as President)
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To: Vigilanteman

ask hillary how that headline worked out for her.


16 posted on 03/12/2018 2:50:20 PM PDT by JohnBrowdie
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To: Vigilanteman

Monmouth had Clinton over Trump 48 - 44 on election eve. This is a suppress the vote poll.


19 posted on 03/12/2018 2:53:49 PM PDT by Lagmeister ( false prophets shall rise, and shall show signs and wonders Mark 13:22)
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To: Vigilanteman
Send PajamaBoy in to campaign for Lamb!


20 posted on 03/12/2018 2:54:10 PM PDT by COBOL2Java (The bigger the government, the smaller the citizen)
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To: Vigilanteman
The poll's margin of error is 5.1 percent.

In other words, pure bulls***.

22 posted on 03/12/2018 2:55:08 PM PDT by Lazamataz (What America needs is more Hogg control.)
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To: Vigilanteman

This is Monmouth, famous for these sorts of polls all throughout the Republican campaign. I can’t remember them ever being right. It’s more like flipping a coin.


24 posted on 03/12/2018 2:55:48 PM PDT by Greetings_Puny_Humans (I mostly come out at night... mostly.)
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To: Vigilanteman
....The Monmouth poll's “Democratic surge” model shows Lamb collecting 51 percent of the vote...

Well, we'll see, won't we.

25 posted on 03/12/2018 2:56:34 PM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: Vigilanteman

Perspective:

http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2018/03/12/in-pennsylvania-special-election-silence-democrat-conor-lamb-speaks-volumes-to-trump-voters.html


26 posted on 03/12/2018 2:57:02 PM PDT by DarthVader ("The biggeest misconception on Free Republic is that the Deep State is invulnerable")
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To: Vigilanteman

You’d get better results by flipping coins than with the liberal dingdongs at Monmouth that has anything to do with Trump.

“Monmouth Polling Director is Rabid Anti-Trump”
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3481393/posts


29 posted on 03/12/2018 3:04:57 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: Vigilanteman

I am predicting Lamb wins 60-39%. But the margin of error for my prediction is 42.1%.


30 posted on 03/12/2018 3:09:35 PM PDT by FlipWilson
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To: Vigilanteman
Their assumption:

..“Democratic surge” model shows...

If met by a Trump surge, it's going to be goodbye Dembot.

33 posted on 03/12/2018 3:14:58 PM PDT by Red Steel
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