Posted on 03/12/2018 2:31:30 PM PDT by Vigilanteman
updated 2 hours ago
Conor Lamb will win Western Pennsylvania's special election race for Congress on Tuesday if there is a surge in Democratic turnout similar to what has been seen in other special elections over the past year, according to a Monmouth University poll out Monday.
The Monmouth poll's “Democratic surge” model shows Lamb collecting 51 percent of the vote compared with Saccone's 45 percent, while 1 percent of likely voters would opt for a third-party candidate and 3 percent remain undecided. The poll's margin of error is 5.1 percent.
Monmouth said Lamb holds a slim advantage within the margin of error, 49 percent to 47 percent, if the election has a lower turnout similar to what is normally seen in midterm elections. If turnout is higher across the board, similar to a presidential election year, Lamb would defeat Saccone, 51 percent to 44 percent.
Saccone held an advantage over Lamb in all three polling scenarios last month.
(Excerpt) Read more at triblive.com ...
“I think Lamb will win”
I have no doubt of it.
PA Dept of State 2018 Special Election 18th Congressional District Results
Politico 2018 Pennsylvania 18th District Special Election Result
Looks like Lamb will win. Why in the Hell do the Republicans put up a idiot like Saccone who didn’t even campaign hard?
Lord Republicans just do not know how to get the vote out in Special Elections. Hope this isn’t a trend to where we are in November.
Wow, this is close. .2% difference.
well, whatever the result of the last few votes, none of the polls was correct.
Sessions has lost the Republicans every race so far.
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