Posted on 05/02/2017 6:36:28 AM PDT by blam
John R. Lott, Jr. | Crime Prevention Research Center
The Distribution of murders
The United States can really be divided up into three types of places. Places where there are no murders, places where there are a few murders, and places where murders are very common.
In 2014, the most recent year that a county level breakdown is available, 54% of counties (with 11% of the population) have no murders. 69% of counties have no more than one murder, and about 20% of the population. These counties account for only 4% of all murders in the country.
The worst 1% of counties have 19% of the population and 37% of the murders. The worst 5% of counties contain 47% of the population and account for 68% of murders. As shown in figure 2, over half of murders occurred in only 2% of counties.
Murders actually used to be even more concentrated. From 1977 to 2000, on average 73 percent of counties in any give year had zero murders. Possibly, this change is a result of the opioid epidemic’s spread to more rural areas. But that question is beyond the scope of this study. Lott’s book “More Guns, Less Crime” showed how dramatically counties within states vary dramatically with respect to murder and other violent crime rates.
Breaking down the most dangerous counties in Figure 2 shows over half the murders occur in just 2% of the counties, 37% in just the worst 1% of the counties.
(snip)
(Excerpt) Read more at vesselnews.io ...
well, it’s obvious that these are Dem counties.... first to say it?
And what would be the average age/race of those murderers?
maybe I need more coffee.. I can understand average age, but my brain stops working when I try to compute average race. lol
And the thing that is not surprising at all is that all these counties have been run by Rats for decades and that they have repeatedly claimed that they were pursuing some perceived public good when they have actually been pursuing their own self interest and in the process have actually destroyed the communities they claim they were helping. If we can’t learn from this we have a problem that can’t be fixed.
Lott also noted that the counties with zero murders have the highest rates of gun ownership.
With all that study to determine the percentages, WHY did the report NOT INCLUDE the ages, race of those who commit the murders and, the political leadership in those particular counties? Pretty self evident if one looks a bit deeper. How about a revision which includes those figures.
LA County (1st) 526 murders in 2014
Cook County(2nd) 476 murders in 2014
Half of the crime is committed by bammy’s boys. Oops. Wasn’t supposed to say that.
Yep, just a little more digging and they would find ~4% of the population is committing 51% of all murders. Let's call that 4% Martians.
If you put 25 people in a room and they were responsible for four murders that year, the one Martian in the room would have committed two of the four murders, and this would happen on average for every randomly selected group. If you were on high alert around Martians you would be racist.
Dems have always been soft on crime.
This issue was very effective against the Dems in the 60s and 70s. I have not heard much about it lately in campaigns.
We could speculate, maybe. Maybe it is rural people on meth or opioids. Maybe it is MS-13 and other Central American gangs. Maybe it's policies that disperse ghetto dwellers to less vibrant communities.
Start by declaring MS-13 a terrorist organization. Then, Trump should set up an ICE and border patrol perimeter around these counties, then flood them with federal law enforcement to help or replace local law enforcement. Flush out the illegals—presuming a lot in these areas—and help crackdown on the violence. Imagine the overall impact to gun violence stats if you shut these down, while preventing it to simply move elsewhere.
And 70% of all violent crime comes from just 6% of the population: Black males.
...LA County (1st) 526 murders in 2014
Cook County(2nd) 476 murders in 2014...
And those figures are two years old and significantly less than 2016.
According to a 2013 PEW Research Center survey, the household gun ownership rate in rural areas was 2.11 times greater than in urban areas (“Why Own a Gun? Protection is Now Top Reason,” PEW Research Center, March 12, 2013). Suburban households are 28.6% more likely to own guns than urban households. Despite lower gun ownership, urban areas experience much higher murder rates. One should not put much weight on this purely “cross-sectional” evidence over one point in time, but it is still interesting to note that so much of the country has both very high gun ownership rates and zero murders.
Interesting...
I would also expect that those are LAW ABIDING LEGAL gun owners.
In the 21st century, our Republican representatives and Think Tank folks live on gated estates and are driven by their chauffeurs to their Washington offices - they don’t see the need for law and order.
So gun free zones or highly restrictive gun law counties account for a majority of murders.
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