Posted on 11/08/2016 10:51:21 AM PST by Rockitz
Many 2016 polls may prove incorrect because so many Americans are undecided or else say they’re backing third parties, says Nate Silver, founder of the fivethirtyeight.com polling firm.
“Undecideds are MUCH higher than normal,” Silver said in a Tuesday morning tweet. “So risk of a polling error — in either direction — is higher than usual.”
One out of eight voters, or 12.5 percent, are either undecided or declaring support for other candidates during the last few days of the election.
That is up from one out of 32 voters in 2012, one out of 27 voters in 2004 and one out of 10 voters in 2000, when Texas Gov. George W. Bush barely beat Vice-President Al Gore.
So Silver is cautioning people to be ready for a major failure by the pollsters in predicting Americans’ last-minute choices. Clinton is likely to win, said Silver, but ...
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
TRUMP LANDSLIDE COMING...
Oh you think, Nate? Logic alone should tell you that the blacks wouldn’t turn out for Cankles like they did for Obozo.
Lib Natalie about to eat the red pill and feeding it to his following loons.
Unexpected.
BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA
The pollster CYA begins!
Do You Feel Like We Do?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V9Yq5m9eLIQ
(Listening to the Great Frampton)
Silver is running for the tall grass. Quickly.
Nate’s a Lib. Can’t expect him to use logic.
When Sauron went down, he took the Nazgul with him.
Buh-bye Nate.
When Silver says “but.....” you know he is talking out of his but_!
Oh pul=leaze. You sucked at your previous midterms right after 2012 now you wanna protect your rep by hedging on the middle. Your “models” only seem to work when a Dummycrat is gonna win...
Uh oh.
Looks like the Silver kid would prefer to not be on the Hilldenburg when it makes its final approach.
Too little, too late. When your whole purpose is using other factors to interpret the polls and beat them in accuracy, you have to be able to read the other factors not in the numbers themselves. Nate failed at this for this cycle, because he didn’t want to believe in shy Trumpers/low energy for Hillary/or something else.
This action he’s taking now is CYA at its finest, and this needs to be pinned on his reputation in future elections.
I could happily go the rest of my life without hearing about/from Nate Silver.
Translation: Don’t blame me, the electorate is whacked!
Trump supporters did not want to play the poll game and either didn’t pick up or declined to participate.
Trump support is seriously under-represented.
That said, I did the same thing that Silver does, but without the resources. We are probably using the same formulas because we get pretty close to each other's results. I would hope that this does not kill Silver's reputation, because what he does works if the polling input is honest.
-PJ
Hilldenburg
I must remember that one.
“NateSilver538: “The polls may have been wrong this year.”
I wonder if Hannity can accept that.
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