Posted on 11/04/2016 12:04:41 PM PDT by winoneforthegipper
With signs of the race trending Trump in the waning days of the campaign, Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are tied in the Keystone state (46-46%, 2% Johnson, 1% Stein, 4% Undecided). Clinton has a steady lead with women (49% Clinton-44% Trump) while Trump has expanded his advantage with men (43-49%, 9/22: 42-44%). Independents prefer Trump (26-46%) but self-identified Moderates choose Clinton (57-31%).
Q: If the election for President were held today, who would you vote for: Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump, Libertarian Gary Johnson OR Green Party candidate Jill Stein?
(Excerpt) Read more at harperpolling.com ...
Only matters if its D +8.
If not, Trump will win comfortably, well outside any fraud margin.
They can only steal it if its close. Get out and vote!
Just stop. Gets old.
Bad polls? We lose. Good polls? They’ll steal it.
No enough whites in this.
It mirrors the statewide vote exactly.
A big Trump win there would net him the White House.
Pinning hopes and prayers on PA right now.
Worried about Florida.
Even demographics 16 years ago yielded only a squeaker.
Good news!
Pray for Trump momentum in the next four days!
This election definitely has a strong Bradley Effect. There has been much violence against Trump supporters, so many people will simply not admit to anyone of supporting Trump. Many people who have told their friends/families that they are voting for Clinton/Johnson/Stein or are undecided will happily vote for Trump in the privacy of the voting booth/machine.
“Too close. Philly steals it.”
Encouraging poll, but you’re right, Col.
Trump’s lead must be outside of the MOF to overcome the Filthydelphia cheat factor.
Not only that - black turnout is way down in early voting.
I expect the same trend to manifest itself on Election Day.
Trump will win FL - he’s not Bush.
http://axiomstrategies.com/abc/luzerne/
Luzerne County on 10/23 was +11 for TRUMP. If Luzerne is really representative of Pennsylvania, Hitlery is cooked.
Correction : Early signs will be FL, NC, PA, NH, OH.
see post 51
Is Luzern Scranton Wilkes - Barre areas?
I’m praying for him to win this beautiful state.
I hope you’re right.
He definitely seems popular there and claims it as his second home.
Yes, Luzerne is near Scranton and Wilkes-Barre area. Northeastern PA.
We may need PA to offset NC.
And we know that African-American turnout is down substantially in NC and FL. That is why they are doing this big concert in Philly to gin up AA turnout. Without that reaching Obama 08 and 12 levels, Hillary has no prayer. I don’t think they get that.
In 2012, the City of Philadelphia gave Obama a 500,000 vote cushion. I don’t think that Hillary gets that kind of turnout. Obama also won Alleghany County (Pittsburgh) by a substantial margin, and Luzerne County by a substantial margin.
I just don’t know if Luzerne will be a perfect statewide bellwether anymore. This county includes cities that have become 50% foreign-born immigrant latino within just the past couple election cycles. The people desperately want to vent against what happened and Trump is their voice. But that is a unique situation that does spread into neighboring counties to Luzerne, but does not exist in in central, west or SE PA.
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