Posted on 10/14/2016 8:58:33 AM PDT by justlittleoleme
At least this D / R / I split is not badly skewed - maybe even a little in Trumps favor. So, there is a good chance he really is behind 3-4 points in NH. But, I think think that the enthusiasm gap makes NH possible for Trump to win.
D 30
R 33.3
I 36.7
M 53
W 47
Hillary is lazy. She again has men doing her work and a few women. If the media were honest, they’d ask why men have to do all the work for Hillary if she wants to be the first women president. And I could care less about trump’ s video and other crap. What does that have to do with running the country? Nothing!
I live in Minnesota, and last week I was taking my granddaughter to school, she’s 13. I asked her who all the kids were supporting, and was surprised to hear her say TRUMP. I asked why they weren’t supporting Clinton, and she said, “everyone knows she’s a liar.” She said that “everyone thinks that Trump loves the country, and doesn’t lie nearly as much as Clinton.”
I don’t know if that means anything, but I do know that the younger kids like 13, tend to support the candidates their parents support. My daughter, who voted for 0bama twice, is voting for Trump. She said that she’d like to see a woman become president, but “not Hillary, she is a liar, has no empathy, and only cares about herself.”
I agree. It looks like the trend is slowly going in Trumps favor.
“Rubio may have won. Cruz... No way”
It does not matter the Republican candidate. The media will come out with the same material on them that they did with Trump. I would assume Rubio has a “past”. If not they will make one up.
“So, there is a good chance he really is behind 3-4 points in NH. But, I think think that the enthusiasm gap makes NH possible for Trump to win.”
I agree. I also think this can be said for some other states. It is the enthusiasm gap. GO TRUMP GO
Iused to call myself a Conservative. I don’t any longer. Now I simply call myself a Red, White, and Blue American. The “Conservatives” have disgusted me. They continue with their fault finding and refuse to look at the Big Pixture. i think there are a lot like me.
NH is much like MA in the sense that it’s a completely red state except for the cities.
That may be hard to believe to some but it is true.
Trump and his campaign believe New Hampshire and Maine are in play. He has two rallies scheduled for tomorrow, one in each state. Both states seem to have a sort of reverse Mason-Dixon line, with the southern areas closer to Boston favoring Clinton and the more northerly rural areas supporting Trump.
Why wait? Let the purging start now.
They poll in zip codes they know will yield the desired ratios.
Yup.
I first stopped calling myself a Republican.
Then I stopped calling myself a Conservative.
I’m a Nationalist and a Patriot. My essential views have been consistent for decades.
2012 turnout is subject to interpretation:
It depends on if the measure is % of eligible adults or eligible voters. It was 2% Dem advantage of eligible adults, but 5% of eligible (registered) voters.
As of 2012. registration was D 36% of eligible voters and GOP 27% with I (or neither) 24%.
There are no doubt pollsters who are doing D+9 just because of that number, applying a screen.
The data I have seen states that GOP party affiliation has increased significantly in the last few years, bringing the two major parties closer in terms of percentage of the population.
Independents now represent some 40% of the population, and the two major parties split the difference, with the Democrat party maintaining an advantage of no more than 4 or 5 points.
There will be many Democrats voting for Trump, and there will be few Republicans voting for Hillary. Independents should also break for Trump over Hillary.
Hopefully, the enthusiasm gap is real. If it is, it should help Trump. Also, the general headwinds favor Trump (see Brexit and numerous other local and federal elections all over the globe).
Thus, polls which oversample of Democrats in the +9 or +11 range are clearly not representative of public sentiment, and indeed serve primarily the Establishment goal of propping up a weak Democrat candidate.
The Revolution is ON!
Vote Trump!
Well, again, the question is how did they get D+9.
Did they apply a screen, or did they sample randomly and that’s who answered the queries?
This:
http://www.people-press.org/2016/09/13/1-the-changing-composition-of-the-political-parties/0_2-2/
is a chart showing party identification, leaners included. It’s D+4 sampled Jan-August this year. Again, can’t get official measure because many states register without party affiliation.
Rubio is the kind of candidate that conventional, professional Republicans love.
______________________________________________
Hitlery’s brown shirts would have savaged Rubio, who has real skeletons in his “closet.”
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.