Posted on 10/11/2016 5:37:31 PM PDT by Ravi
GOP gains continue...
(Excerpt) Read more at sos.iowa.gov ...
10/11/16: DEM-128,421; GOP-95,888; UAF-57,190
10/06/14: DEM-112,009; GOP-79,955; UAF-47,443
10/09/12: DEM-174,318; GOP-103,171; UAF-77,421
Trending close to 2014 which is favorable. Huge Dem drop-off and significant UAF drop-off and modest GOP drop-off from 2012.
FYI
Estimated turnout this year will be 1.5 million Iowans give or take 50 to 100 thousand. We are at about 20% turnout already based on absentee REQUESTS.
Excellent
Iowa is looking very good compared to 2012.
Florida seems “similar” to 2012.
North Carolina looks a bit worse compared to 2012.
Iowa and Ohio is in the bag. Just need North Carolina, Florida and PA to win! I’m actually very optimistic about PA. I think it will be the big surprise on election day.
Although NC behind 2012 levels, there is no reason to think that on election day blacks will turn out for Cankles. I think that model can be tossed.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.