Posted on 10/05/2016 10:26:40 AM PDT by mandaladon
(Reuters) - The forces influencing the U.S. presidential election favor Republican nominee Donald Trump to win the popular vote - but even proven prediction models face "the most difficult election by far to predict accurately," a political forecaster with a three-decade winning streak said on Wednesday.
History Professor Allan Lichtman of American University in Washington has accurately predicted the popular result in presidential elections since Republican President Ronald Reagan defeated Democratic challenger Walter Mondale in 1984.
Although the number of ballots cast by voters for each candidate counts, it does not ultimately determine who takes the White House. In a process known as the Electoral College, the candidate who wins a majority of 538 electoral votes is the victor. Each state and the District of Columbia is allocated a certain number of those votes, and the candidates have to amass them state-by-state on Election Day.
While Lichtman's "Keys to the White House" analysis predicts a popular victory by Trump, some other models, such as FiveThirtyEight's and The New York Times', have given Democratic rival Hillary Clinton a large probability of victory.
Lichtman joined Reuters Global Markets Forum to discuss his take on Campaign 2016. What follows are excerpts from that conversation.
Question: Why is Trump your favorite to win?
Answer: With respect to my prediction, my "Keys" system is based on 13 true/false questions where an answer of "true" favors re-election of the White House party - the Democrats. They have exactly six "false" keys against them, just enough to predict their defeat.
(Excerpt) Read more at yahoo.com ...
Just in case the election isn’t sufficiently rigged, Hillary and Obama are busy studying the recent electoral activities in Zambia. DOJ is preparing the covering documents.
Because this is a self-evident point that many Americans easily forget
Election fraudsters have no intention of allowing hillary to lose.
Even then it is not official until the House and Senate accept the tally.
The left never dies and they don't fade away like old soldiers, they just regroup and continue.
Gosh...
Upset the verdict of history?
We can’t have that.
Whatever the hell that means.
When I look at last night’s debate, Kaine was acting like they were behind. Maybe their internal polls are not painting the rosy picture that the media portrays.
“Does this pinhead think “the verdict of history” is that Americans must lose their country?”
In a word, yes.
This lichtman idiot is funded by taxpayers’ money. He is a “professor” in VA. How pathetic. What a complete waste of taxpayers’ money.
Translation: "If I predict it accurately I won't get invited to all those great cocktail parties and Democrat testimonial dinner-dances..."
And the scorched earth policy begins the day after the election loss, before the officeholders even change.
Those who were susceptible to the type of indoctrination offered on most College campuses since the 1940s, believe that patriotism is an impediment to their cloud gathered vision of a one world order. They do not think like anyone who is loyal to his fellow countrymen, or who truly respects their historic achievements. That is a major part of our present problem. (Or how else could Obama possibly have been elected.)
Forget the “predictions” — just be sure to get out and vote for Trump.
Let the pundits figure out afterwards how to explain a Trump victory.
There is indeed a lot at stake, specifically the survival of the entire nation.n
Verdicts are often overturned by higher courts. Welcome to the court of the silent majority that you have awakened.
Electing a Muzzie TWICE upset the verdict of history, whatever that means.
A Trump victory would ‘upset the verdict of history’: Allan Lichtman>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Well, actually the verdict of history is against Obama, Hillary and people who believe them:
Read it here:
Barrack Obama: The Quintessential Fascist
http://www.americanthinker.com/2009/05/barack_obama_the_quintessentia_1.html
These people are losing their minds.
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