USC Poll: Trump's lead expands after debate.

USC poll for LA Times ^

[NYC-RepublicanCT]

Same here... always skeptical of this kind of stuff

[DoughtyOne]

I just don’t want our side to look like some yokels buying into anything that’s out there.

The debate moderation was bad enough without this.

[FirstFlaBn]

If you have no understanding of margin of error or if you want to pretend there is no such thing, then yes, get yourself all excited.

[Pollster1]

That makes no sense. I have it on the best authority that:

(1) Trump peaked at 20% support, at 25%, at 30%, 35%, and 40% support. How can his support continue rising after all the experts, almost every professional journalist in the country, assured us he had peaked?

(2) Hillary won the debate with her superior command of policy minutia. How can Trump’s numbers go up when Hillary knows so many details about how she is going to seize absolute power over us little people?

[Maverick68]

Now is the time to turn up the heat on the “moderators” for the next two debates: Tweet them, follow them, call them out, put pressure on them AT EVERY STEP and every minute of their lives, let them KNOW we are watching for their shenanigans....

[dangus]

Man, are you desperate to shoe-horn a wet blanket! Sorry, loser! If you’d bothered to read what I wrote, you’d see I addressed MoE and how likely this movement is to be meaningful.

And since you’re too stupid to read, I imagine you’re too stupid to know what Margin of Error really means. The fact that Trump’s movement is less than the margin of error does not mean that we know it isn’t real. It means that there is a certain chance that it isn’t real.

Let me put it in real simple terms: If Candidate A has a 4 percent lead over Candidate B, and the margin of error is 4.5%, that does NOT mean that they are tied. It means that there’s about a 90% chance that Candidate A is winning.

[FirstFlaBn]

Apologize for the name calling. Now would be a goods time.

[dangus]

Or what? You’ll complain to the Diversity Counsellor that I made you feel like this wasn’t a safe place? If you want respect, read the article before you write.

[dangus]

To wit, witless:

“Or some of this lead could be noise, or some of it could be a continuation of a trend which had been noisy, but trending upward over the last few days (but had gone down slightly the previous two days).

“So it’s hard to say HOW big of a deal this trend is. But it’s hard to imagine that Hillary benefited from the debate, and that this is purely noise which will reverse itself over the next few days. The USC poll is of over 2,500 people, and Trump’s lead is approaching the outer boundaries of the 95% confidence limit.”