Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

USC Poll: Trump's lead expands after debate.
USC poll for LA Times ^

Posted on 09/28/2016 8:14:58 AM PDT by dangus

46.7-42.6 (4.1%). Was 46.2-42.7 (3.3%).


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; bounce; debate; hillary; polls; trump; trumpbump
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-49 next last
My commentary:

This poll has skewed slightly more Trump than most. Typically, it shows Trump doing far better among young voters than other polls. So no fist-pumping, "We got this one in the bag," etc. We have to get out there and work our asses off. But it's a very encouraging sign.

The BIG news is that it's a seven-day poll, and now includes one day after the debate. In that one day, Trump has expanded his lead by 0.8%. This is POTENTIALLY yuge, because that one day of post-debate polling is getting diluted by six days that were not post-debate. He COULD go up five more points. Or some of this lead could be noise, or some of it could be a continuation of a trend which had been noisy, but trending upward over the last few days (but had gone down slightly the previous two days).

So it's hard to say HOW big of a deal this trend is. But it's hard to imagine that Hillary benefited from the debate, and that this is purely noise which will reverse itself over the next few days. The USC poll is of over 2,500 people, and Trump's lead is approaching the outer boundaries of the 95% confidence limit.

Frankly, I'm very optimistic after the debate. I don't envision him doing worse, and I don't envision her doing better, so I don't see ay subsequent debates as likely to do anything but help Trump further.

1 posted on 09/28/2016 8:14:58 AM PDT by dangus
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: dangus

Agree, she lobbed all her big bombs at him and he survived intact. The trend looks good for our guy.


2 posted on 09/28/2016 8:17:31 AM PDT by refermech
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: dangus

Hillary threw everything she had, including the moderator, at Trump, and this is what she gets.


3 posted on 09/28/2016 8:18:11 AM PDT by Genoa (deplorable)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: dangus

I hate polls and most Freepers know.

The best indicator of who is ahead would be to take a look at the people that attend the two candidates rallies. It is pretty obvious who is leading. Hitlary is not drawing the crowds and she knows it when she said.....”Why am I not leading by 50 points”? It’s pretty obvious you old cow, your about to become history and on your way to the slaughter house.


4 posted on 09/28/2016 8:19:11 AM PDT by DaveA37
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: dangus
46.7-42.6 (4.1%). Was 46.2-42.7 (3.3%). Should be: (3.5%) (if we're talking the "was" spread)

You probably copied this, so I'm not dinging you...

5 posted on 09/28/2016 8:23:50 AM PDT by DoughtyOne (41 days: Until Presdient Pre-elect becomes President Elect Donald J. Trump. Help is on the way!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: DaveA37

a large majority of dem folk dont go to rallies. maybe 25 percent who stay at home collecting a check.

so I usually dont pay much attention to that.

unless the rallies are STAGGERINGLY different. like now.

But i remember reports on here about how obama wasn’t filling auditoriums against romney and it led pundits to say youth vote wont turn out. it did.

but this time they REALLY hate her AND we may have a slight lead among them. That’s YUGE!


6 posted on 09/28/2016 8:28:49 AM PDT by dp0622 (IThe only thing an upper crust conservative hates more than a liberal is a middle class conservative)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: DoughtyOne

Hillary’s Hans spasm video during the debate needs to go viral.


7 posted on 09/28/2016 8:32:48 AM PDT by A CA Guy (God Bless America, God Bless and keep safe our fighting men and women.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: dangus

“President Trump.” Get VERY used to saying it, kids. This country will flourish under President Trump.

Imagine a classy, beautiful, proud first lady in Mrs. Trump. Gone are the frumpy threads that she crammed her prodigious posterior into. Someone who beams the pride of representing the United States.

“There is a life about to start when tomorrow comes!”


8 posted on 09/28/2016 8:33:51 AM PDT by VideoPaul
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: A CA Guy

Hand spasms need to go viral for Hillary.
On my smart phone and so often it gets inventive for me. :-)


9 posted on 09/28/2016 8:35:00 AM PDT by A CA Guy (God Bless America, God Bless and keep safe our fighting men and women.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: Genoa

Plus she was Botoxed-up the wazoo and pumped full of meds and I predict she will not come close to this level of performance again. It’s like on Star Trek when Dr. McCoy refuses to inject the bad guy with stronger dope “It’ll kill him Jim!”.

You know what the next line is...


10 posted on 09/28/2016 8:35:33 AM PDT by bigbob (The Hillary indictment will have to come from us.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: A CA Guy

Did her hand have a spasm? Am I missing something?


11 posted on 09/28/2016 8:35:38 AM PDT by DoughtyOne (41 days: Until Presdient Pre-elect becomes President Elect Donald J. Trump. Help is on the way!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: dangus

FYI, I’ve been accused of being a Cruz bot, in the worst, ugliest ways. I’ve only ever wanted the most conservative president we could have. Right now, my choices are Trump, Johnson, Stein and Clinton. Like 90%+ of Cruz’ former supporters, I find the choice absolutely clear.

When Republicans threaten to nominate a bad candidate, I can be tempted by the notion that it’s only four years, and we’re better to lose one race for four years, than to lose the having a viable alternative forever.

This is clearly not the case. It is now plain as day who the Democrats in sheep’s clothing have been (Bush, Dole, McCain, Romney), and who the simply nut jobs are (Beck). Trump has nothing but his promises and his willingness to invest his own race, but they are good promises.

Also, I’m not sure this time democracy will survive four more years of Bush-Clinton-Bush-Obama-Clinton.

I respect that Cruz took a LONG time healing the horrible attacks on his marriage before he endorses Trump. If we were purely rational creatures, he should have endorsed Trump at the convention. But if someone goes after my wife as viciously as Trump did, knowing she’s emotionally fragile, I’d struggle greatly with the notion that I was being asked to “throw her under the bus” for the greater good of the nation.

That said, I am very glad that Cruz is at long last doing what’s best for the nation. Maybe he decided it’s what’s best for his long-term career. I don’t care right now. Maybe I will in four years. Today, I only care that he’s on the right side now.

My wife hates Trump personally. But she recognizes Clinton is evil and her policies are terrible. I tell her, “our nation is more important than whether Trump deserves to win as a human being.”

God bless Trump. If he is not a sincere Christian, may God convert him. I do believe that Trump is presently seeking to know what is best for America. May God continue to guide him. If he needs it, may that soft whisper in Trump’s ear become a great and loud horn.

May America never forget that we need to do God’s will first, and may all Christians ever seek first the continual renewal and conversion of America towards Christ.


12 posted on 09/28/2016 8:40:53 AM PDT by dangus
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: A CA Guy

Hillary’s Hans spasm video during the debate needs to go viral.
++++
Her WHAT?


13 posted on 09/28/2016 8:41:53 AM PDT by InterceptPoint (Ted, you should have endorsed. Big mistake.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: DoughtyOne
Did her hand have a spasm? Am I missing something?

Looks like it...

also the video that someone set up showing Hillary givingt hand signals to the moderator guy

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3474300/posts?page=22

Thread and video above.

14 posted on 09/28/2016 8:42:50 AM PDT by spokeshave (In the Thatch Weave,..Trump's Wing Man is Truth.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: dangus

Just like Reagan/Carter. The press and pundits all thought Carter won. Now everyone universally says how great Reagan did.


15 posted on 09/28/2016 8:44:03 AM PDT by Defiant (The Koran is the Mohammunist Manifesto.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: A CA Guy

IS HILLARY BEING JUMP-STARTED?


16 posted on 09/28/2016 8:44:08 AM PDT by Jeff Chandler (Everywhere is freaks and hairies Dykes and fairies, tell me where is sanity?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: spokeshave
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3XSuG5aCFGs

direct link to video

17 posted on 09/28/2016 8:45:30 AM PDT by spokeshave (In the Thatch Weave,..Trump's Wing Man is Truth.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: All

I feel, really, really sorry for her inner circle, given her penchant for throwing tantrums....and ashtrays.

Actually, I don’t feel bad for them one bit....


18 posted on 09/28/2016 8:46:48 AM PDT by Maverick68 (p)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: dangus
if someone goes after my wife as viciously as Trump did

Nice of you to decide to vote for Trump and ignore the vicious attacks. What was it he did to Cruz's wife, I can't remember?

19 posted on 09/28/2016 8:48:05 AM PDT by Defiant (The Koran is the Mohammunist Manifesto.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: Genoa

No Hillary and Holt threw everything at him, and he is still standing and leading.


20 posted on 09/28/2016 8:53:14 AM PDT by Kozy (new age haruspex)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-49 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson