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Election Update: Reports Of A Clinton Rebound Have Been Greatly Exaggerated
Five Thirty Eight ^
| 09/22/2016
| Harry Enton
Posted on 09/23/2016 12:28:49 PM PDT by nhwingut
Hillary Clintons chances of winning the White House are still near an all-time low in the FiveThirtyEight forecasts, although theyre up a smidge from earlier in the week. Our polls-only forecast gives her a 59 percent chance of beating Donald Trump, while our polls-plus model shows her with a 58 percent chance.
Some interested parties are pointing to individual polls as evidence of a Clinton rebound, but a closer look at all the data released over the past three days suggests that those people are stretching.
(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...
TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; clinton; natesilver; polls; trump
1
posted on
09/23/2016 12:28:49 PM PDT
by
nhwingut
To: nhwingut
Nevada has her winning odds at 2/1.
2
posted on
09/23/2016 12:30:13 PM PDT
by
jetson
To: nhwingut
3
posted on
09/23/2016 12:34:20 PM PDT
by
Rusty0604
To: jetson
Yeah, not sure why he changed Nevada to blue. No new polls from Nevada since +Trump ones...
To: jetson
5
posted on
09/23/2016 12:36:40 PM PDT
by
Rusty0604
To: Voluntaryist
Lib pollsters complaining about some of those polls not including enough Hispanics. Not sure if related.
6
posted on
09/23/2016 12:37:09 PM PDT
by
nhwingut
(Trump-Pence 2016 - Blow Up The GOPe)
To: jetson
538 Nevada page looks like this
To: nhwingut
To: nhwingut
9
posted on
09/23/2016 12:38:43 PM PDT
by
AU72
To: nhwingut
Illegals don’t have landlines
10
posted on
09/23/2016 12:41:50 PM PDT
by
Mjreagan
To: nhwingut
Well, Nate is being real here & pointing out how some of these pro-Hillary polls are suspect. Something most everyone out here already knows.
To: nhwingut
Was it the NY Slimes or the Washington Compost that recently admitted that “journalists” are so frightened by the prospect of a Trump victory that they now *admit* to working for The Former Twelfth Lady?
To: nhwingut
this is going to leave a mark...
13
posted on
09/23/2016 12:51:13 PM PDT
by
God luvs America
(63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
To: jetson
They also had the anti-Brexit vote winning as well.
14
posted on
09/23/2016 12:53:32 PM PDT
by
fortheDeclaration
(Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
To: Voluntaryist
It is odd though. If you look at all the polls. It's a lot more red than blue.
15
posted on
09/23/2016 12:56:36 PM PDT
by
nhwingut
(Trump-Pence 2016 - Blow Up The GOPe)
To: nhwingut
Wow. For 538, a liberal group, to say this, is incredible.
To: Voluntaryist
They just updated Nevada.
17
posted on
09/23/2016 1:49:40 PM PDT
by
nhwingut
(Trump-Pence 2016 - Blow Up The GOPe)
To: Voluntaryist
I’m saying Nevada casinos are saying Hillary wins the presidency 2/1 odds.
18
posted on
09/23/2016 4:44:07 PM PDT
by
jetson
To: jetson
Ooohhhhhhhhh thank you lol
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