Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

In Presidential elections, size doesn't always matter
CNN ^ | 27 August 2016 | Stephen Collinson

Posted on 08/27/2016 8:51:18 AM PDT by MeneMeneTekelUpharsin

(CNN)It's the most deceptive sign in politics.

Every four years, a presidential candidate gazes out over a vast crowd and convinces themselves the White House is there for the taking. In 2016, the general election candidate drawing the biggest and loudest crowds is Donald Trump. "We got to Oklahoma, we have 25,000 people. We had 21,000 people in Dallas, we had 35,000 people in Mobile, Alabama. We get these massive crowds," Trump said in Florida earlier this month.

"Look, if she had 500 people I would be surprised," he added, poking fun at Hillary Clinton's more intimate events.During the primaries, Trump's massive crowds did, in fact, translate to votes. But size is not always a barometer of a campaign's destiny. In fact, extrapolating electoral prospects from the size of rally crowds is often a misleading metric -- for evidence, look no further than the campaigns of Walter Mondale, Michael Dukakis, John Kerry and Mitt Romney. Bernie Sanders thrilled thousands of people in mega-rallies over the past year and a half as well.

Yet every election, candidates and aides, seeking silver linings when beset by bad polls, indulge the wishful thought that bulging rallies will mean a stampede at the ballot box. Often, they tout that mystical, yet unquantifiable, political commodity: Momentum. "Momentum's a word from physics that got hijacked by journalists and political operatives to sound scientific," said Sam Wang, a professor of neuroscience who runs Princeton University's Election Consortium. "What it means is -- 'I am excited by where I am today, I am excited by what is happening.'"

That is not stopping Trump however-just as it did not stop Sanders supporters who saw his crowds of 20,000 and up in the primary race to argue that a tsunami of enthusiasm for the Vermont senator could overcome Clinton.

(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: crowdsize; desperate; elections; excuses; medicalissues; presidential; sicklyhillary; trump
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-65 last
To: TTFlyer

OK, but either you stand by what you say, or you don’t say it. Especially not in a closed meeting. Bad optics.


61 posted on 08/27/2016 11:01:42 AM PDT by ScaniaBoy (Part of the Right Wing Research & Attack Machine)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 59 | View Replies]

To: ScaniaBoy

Quote:

“OK, but either you stand by what you say, or you don’t say it. Especially not in a closed meeting. Bad optics.”

Politicians(especially Republican politicians)rarely, if ever, “stand by what they say.” Thus, Donald Trump.


62 posted on 08/27/2016 11:04:28 AM PDT by TTFlyer
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 61 | View Replies]

To: ScaniaBoy

Romney was never going to win anything

Professor Helmut Norpoth said Obama would win reelection in January!!! LOL

https://youtu.be/nuGnpa0yreg?t=177


63 posted on 08/27/2016 11:17:58 AM PDT by KavMan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 35 | View Replies]

To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin
Stephen Collinson is real big on Bernie and his crowds.

I haven't read the article, but I'll bet Collinson doesn't mention the DNC knives in Bernie's back...

Somebody should slap the teeth out of Collinson's lying face.

64 posted on 08/27/2016 9:11:51 PM PDT by kiryandil (Hillary Clinton is not sophisticated enough to understand the Bill of Rights, either.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: trisham

Yes, I have a feeling you’re right about that post-election anxiety, as well. Nothing won ever seems to stay won, if you know what I mean. Always a battle. Always whack a mole.

Lord, hear our prayers.


65 posted on 08/28/2016 12:37:56 PM PDT by RitaOK (Viva Christ Rey! Public Education is the farm team for more Marxmsists coming, infinitum.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 57 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-65 last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson