Posted on 08/27/2016 8:51:18 AM PDT by MeneMeneTekelUpharsin
(CNN)It's the most deceptive sign in politics.
Every four years, a presidential candidate gazes out over a vast crowd and convinces themselves the White House is there for the taking. In 2016, the general election candidate drawing the biggest and loudest crowds is Donald Trump. "We got to Oklahoma, we have 25,000 people. We had 21,000 people in Dallas, we had 35,000 people in Mobile, Alabama. We get these massive crowds," Trump said in Florida earlier this month.
"Look, if she had 500 people I would be surprised," he added, poking fun at Hillary Clinton's more intimate events.During the primaries, Trump's massive crowds did, in fact, translate to votes. But size is not always a barometer of a campaign's destiny. In fact, extrapolating electoral prospects from the size of rally crowds is often a misleading metric -- for evidence, look no further than the campaigns of Walter Mondale, Michael Dukakis, John Kerry and Mitt Romney. Bernie Sanders thrilled thousands of people in mega-rallies over the past year and a half as well.
Yet every election, candidates and aides, seeking silver linings when beset by bad polls, indulge the wishful thought that bulging rallies will mean a stampede at the ballot box. Often, they tout that mystical, yet unquantifiable, political commodity: Momentum. "Momentum's a word from physics that got hijacked by journalists and political operatives to sound scientific," said Sam Wang, a professor of neuroscience who runs Princeton University's Election Consortium. "What it means is -- 'I am excited by where I am today, I am excited by what is happening.'"
That is not stopping Trump however-just as it did not stop Sanders supporters who saw his crowds of 20,000 and up in the primary race to argue that a tsunami of enthusiasm for the Vermont senator could overcome Clinton.
(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...
Hillary is going to cheat to win this election...somehow.
Sam Giancona winks
Voting fraud. Simple as that.
The RATS are experts at voting fraud.
I'm convinced fraud is the only way Killary can win in November. Hopefully Trump and his folks are working hard to counteract.
It was pointed out by the guest host on Lou Dobbs last night that Hillary is running a low profile campaign with no open rallies, but only small venues with the press locked out and attending her private donor parties.
This amazing low profile approach has proven to serve her well in the polls. The campaign is well aware that HRC doesn’t play well when put out there aggressively into the public view.
The media regularly takes her attacks for her and keeps her out of the lights.
It is amazing this serves her so well, apparently, if the funky polling means anything.
TRUMP can not draw her out in the open field, where in 2012, she was happy to be seen going toe to toe against Obama.
Seems to me the Left is unenthused about HRC if she actually shows herself and campaigns, but are willing to vote for who they “think” she is, when she stays hidden.
Either HRC knows her victory is already secured by a machine certainty, or she knows by her own internals that she is only propped up, and that will lose, therefore she is simply going through a few campaign motions.
Which is it?
Excellent analysis, Rita.
Why not? Go in with good security and a helicopter :)
Gangs are known for not wanting THAT kind of attention drawn towards their area.
Bad for business, shooting at presidential candidates.
If they did, it would like as not be some kind of careless “accident” incurred as a result of settling some unrelated gang score.
The Clinton News Network is correct; large crowds at rallies means little.
The dead never show up at the rallies yet many vote, and we know that the dead vote solidly Dhimmicrat!
It looks a lot like poll packing, yes.
That’s why Trump can not (and probably will not) be satisfied with just enough. He has to crush, not just beat.
You can't make rational decisions if you don't live in reality. The truth is there are a lot of democrats and a lot of softheads who vote democrat because it makes them feel morally superior. The off year elections don't mean squat because the gibmedats don't show up. They will be waiting in line for their Hillary checks on Nov. 8.
I looked and I found: http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2012/09/secret-video-romney-private-fundraiser
The 47-percent gaffe was in mid-September, but Romney recovered especially after the first debate where he did very well.
No presidential candidate has ever drawn the crowds or enthusiasm of William Jennings Bryan. He was defeated three times as the Democrat nominee for president.
FR and other amateur political junkies wallow in exaggerated emotions, expectations and claims when it comes to candidates. The vast majority of voters are much more ho-hum, instinctually understanding elites will get their way and the overall culture will trump politics anyway.
All Hillary has to do is gaze upon a Cemetery.
It’s full of her Voting Base.
As far as this Election goes, Que Sara Sara.
Trisham, thanks.
If this election is institutionaly “fixed” then we’ve been already undone for a very long time.
If HRC is too unhealthy to stand up and campaign, and too corrupt for words, then TRUMP should win in a landslide.
Things are so weird and upside down it causes some anxiety, nevertheless.
Per Wikipedia:
After 1920 he supported Prohibition and attacked Darwinism and evolution, most famously at the Scopes Trial in 1925 in Tennessee. Five days after the conclusion of the Scopes case, Bryan died in his sleep.
This is sadly like the Donks, to overdo things, even good things like temperance and creationism, both of which they turned their backs on in political cynicism later because their tempestuous approach didn't sell.
This is a game of Jeopardy.
“He said ‘Do not be anxious.’”
Only thing is that Slick Willie Clinton was elected twice using the "intimate" town hall tactic. Of course Ross Perot helped WJC too.
Absolutely. The anxiety will be with me until long after the election, regardless of who wins.
Rallies, sign wavings, putting signs up in right of ways have some marketing value. But if the folks who go to rallies also become volunteers, knock on doors, persuade voters, Trump is in great shape.
Quote:
“The 47-percent gaffe was in mid-September, but Romney recovered especially after the first debate where he did very well.”
That was no “gaffe.” That was one of the very few times Romney had the stones to stand up and tell it like it is.
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