Posted on 08/23/2016 5:54:48 AM PDT by tatown
Link only.
(Excerpt) Read more at cesrusc.org ...
Must have been that thoroughly rehearsed appearance on Kimmel last night that got Hillary the lead this AM. After all, this is LA they are polling.
This is a 7-day rolling average with no polling after the Kimmel appearance. Also, this is a nationwide poll.
Is that really all it takes to change someones vote?
Louisiana and Policy speeches wearing off. Trump will have to continuously deliver his policies in the manner he did last week to sustain his upward momentum. Stong Defense, Border security, Job & Taxes and Choice in Education
..these polls are still in the “shaping public opinion” phase of the campaign—Trump leads when the data isn’t cooked...
Let the pants-crapping at the DNC commence.
exactly... he needs to be in the swing states countering the media image of him as a racist wacko loser....
A statistical tie is NOT where they want (or need) to be at this juncture in the campaign. They know that Trump will surge towards the end and needed to have a double-digit cushion by now.
I see you are taking your concern trolling all across Free Republic today.
I check this one every AM. Was really hoping the upward movement for trump would continue. Lets hope this one gets back on track.
There was a large one day spike in Black support 7 days ago that has had held the support among blacks at 14% or so for the past week. That day will fall off the 7 day roll tomorrow. Will be interesting to see how that affects both the overall poll, and the black sub group.
So nothing from Rasmussen, CNN, FOX, or any other large polling group in over a week? Seems a bit unusual.
I think they use the same group of people, just rotate when the poll them. So it could be natural to hit ebbs and flows, depending on which group you get which day, that will raise or lower certain numbers.
As this is a 7 day poll, it shows the average over the last 7 days.
But we are now over a week out from the conventions. Convention bounces have subsided.
Hillary was out of the spotlight over the weekend, which usually bodes well for her.
Trumps Louisiana visit hasn’t played out either.
In the last 7 days, Trump has had an average as low as 43.2 to as high as 45. Just a 1.8 fluctuation.
By the same token Hillary was as low as 43 and as high as 44.6 ...Just a 1.6 fluctuation.
Normal burps...that seem huge, when your nose is stuck to the monitor day after day, watching poll numbers...Like mine is.
In reality... nothing
This is statistical noise around the fundamental findings that: 1) Trump has a great shot at winning, and the media’s attempt to characterize him as imploding has been ineffective. 2) The race remains tight, at least among the traditional polling groups.
Combine these with the very real possibility that Trump’s candidacy shifts the usual voting demographics, and it remains very, very possible that this turns out to be a run away Trump victory. Anything can happen, but the fact that anything can happen is a very welcome departure from the usual pablum that the political establishment has been feeding Americans for years.
You can bet that if Crooked Hillary had any kind of a real lead, those polls would be trumpeted by the mainstream media complete with marching bands and other fanfare.
They will eventually have to start reporting polls but they are obviously stalling for time, hoping to have something "good" to report. Even a "tie" is not good news for Crooked Hillary. She was supposed to be sitting on a double-digit lead by now.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/white_house_watch
For a Moron-lennial, yes...................
This country is in deep trouble. People know that Hillary is dishonest and corrupt, but they vote for her, anyway. Basic morality does not matter to the American people anymore.
The last good poll for Trump in VA was pre convention and there were two tied polls.
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